Handicappers' Race Results

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Monmouth Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MTH-1   Win (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.40  
MTH-2   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $23.40 $23.40 17.40
MTH-3   Win (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $18.00 $18.00 10.00
MTH-4   Win (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $8.20  
MTH-5   Win (6/3/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
MTH-6   Win (6/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $40.80 $40.80 32.80
MTH-7   Win (9/4/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $20.40  
MTH-8   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:142 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCEL ROSE 5 4 2½ 2nk 1½ 11 11 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 110 4.00 3.20  
MO TOWN ANNIE 7 6 3 31 2½ 21 21 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 29% 2.40 3.00 P
LUV U MARY JANE 4 1 1½ 1nk 3 35 312¼ (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 112 3.50 41% 1.40 2.70 S
SANTAFE EXPRESS 3 2 4 5 65 48 412¾ (lucas bonnie)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
GINETTES ON FIRE 2 5 5 4 4 5 515 (cruz jesus)VARGAS A 117 3.50 4.50  
WELCOMETOMYWORLD 1 3 63 6 76 710½ 618 (david carl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 3.90 DH
RAINOUT 6 7 75 7 5 6 618 (torres r)COTTO L 121 10.00 5% 19.00 48.70 DH
 
MTH-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:222 :45 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE CARATS 1 3 11 1½   1½ 1hd (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 7% 13.80 10.70 W
VIVID DREAMS 6 1 31 2½   2½ 2hd (pletcher a)FERRER C 118 2.50 1.20  
FEARLESS KRISTIE 5 4 5 5   3 35 (pino v)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50 53% 0.90 1.90 S
PEP RALLY 3 2 21 34   4 4 (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 13% 6.70 3.80  
CONSEILLANTE 2 6 4 4   55 58 (brown chad)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 9.20  
CAST YOUR NET 4 5 6 6   69 613 (king clarenc)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00 39.40  
SCR  NOTABLE QUEEN               (camejo)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
 
MTH-3   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUFF HELLO 7 1 45 1½   1 13 (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.50 12% 7.00 8.00 W
CATCH THE SMOKE 1 5 57 4   2 23 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 4.20  
POLAR WIND 6 6 612 6   4 33 (moore)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00 11.50  
FEAST 4 2 3½ 3   3 46 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
JET WINGS 2 4 1½ 2½   5 511¼ (maragh s)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
NEWBOMB 3 3 2½ 52   6 631¾ (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 3.20  
RIVER DOG 5 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 25% 3.00 3.80  
 
MTH-4   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:223 :464       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO SOPHIA'S 3 3 53 42   2½ 12 (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 3.10  
SUMMER'S COMIN 5 5 4 31   32 22 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 6.00 13.60  
VIVID ARTISTE 4 4 64 6   5 33 (spina charle)RIVERA R 112 6.00 19.80  
RED HEAD ITALIAN 7 1 11 1nk   43 4 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 46% 1.20 0.70  
BINGO'S BIRKIN 1 2 21 2nk   1½ 5 (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.00 26% 2.90 4.80  
MOLLY'S A BULLET 6 6 32 5   6 69 (margotta an)VARGAS A 117 4.50 5% 19.00 11.20  
DEE DEE SIX 2 8 74 7   7 712½ (cipriano robert)MARTIN MATTIE 110 15.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
J WILLARD 8 7 87 8   811½ 815 (simon linda)COTTO L 117 20.00 64.10  
 
MTH-5   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :493 1:142 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY AND PROSPERITY 6 9 77 85 6 3½ 1¾ (sweezey k)VARGAS A 123 1.80 36% 1.80 1.60 W
DESERT PASSION 8 7 6 53 2nk 1½ 2¾ (milne jo)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 20.40 P
FIRST REIGN 4 4 4 4 5 2½ 3 (sweezey kent)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 7% 14.20 2.60 S
LOOKINGFORTREASURE 9 6 8 64 4¾ 4¾ 4 (owens eddie )RIVERA R 113 5.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
DUCHESS OF DESTIN 3 5 5 9 8 6 55 (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.80  
BABY CAKES 7 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 5 6 (ortega l)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 17.70  
ME SO LUCKY 2 8 9 7 7 7 7 (carango )GONZALEZ JR 123 20.00 57.30  
WHISKEY AND RAIN 1 3 3 3 9 9 815 (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 111 30.00 47.10  
ROCKY SEAS 5 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 8 918¼ (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 10.60  
 
MTH-6   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KABOD 2 1 11 1nk 1½ 2nk 1 (gonzalez m)OLIVERO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 19.40 W
DREAMING OF SMARTY 6 2 21 2nk 2½ 1nk 2 (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 16% 5.20 4.00 P
COCO SHELL 5 4 5 6 4 35 3 (gonzalez cla)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.50 50% 1.00 4.00 S
VERBIER (IRE) 7 7 6 31 3 4 4 (martin f)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00 4.70  
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE 3 5 4 5 6 5 5 (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 112 4.00 1.90  
SO THERE 1 3 3 4 7 716½ 622 (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00 30.30  
ANTONOV 4 6 75 7 5 614½ 735¾ (ryan derek )VARGAS A 117 6.00 10% 9.50 3.70  
SCR  DUBROVNIK               (avila ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00    
SCR  SALTIN' THE RIM               (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
 
MTH-7   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:124 1:364   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL MARRIAGE 1 5 4 41 7 3½ 1 (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 9.20  
IT CAN BE DONE 9 3 3 3½ 2nk 1nk 2 (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.50 P
JIMMY DAN 3 8 8 7 8 5 32 (schultz lindsay)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00 10.70  
READY TO FLY 5 6 76 8 5 4¾ 42 (mcburney patrick)LUZZI J 120 4.50 4.90  
HOKU 4 9 97 9 9 7 5 (pino micha)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 26% 2.80 4.10  
JAMIE DREAMS 6 4 11 1nk 1nk 2nk 6 (linder j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00 52.60  
COMEDIC TIMING 8 2 5 5 4¾ 6 7 (gomez pompey)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00 41.90  
RHUMJAR 2 7 6 6 6 8 8 (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 11% 7.90 6.10  
ANTHRACITE 7 1 21 2nk 3.2 9 912½ (orseno jose)VARGAS A 120 8.00 7% 13.60 10.90  
 
MTH-8   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIKA 3 1 1½ 1nk 11 14 1 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 67% 0.50 1.00 W
DERWIN'S PAYNTER 2 5 5 4 4 4 2 (huston rory)VARGAS A 118 3.50 2.60  
GRACE IN MOTION 1 4 4 31 32 3 3 (skelton )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 3.00 6.50  
DUSTED 4 6 2½ 2nk 21 24 4 (ortega l)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
HURRY UP DEAR 6 3 6 65 6 515½ 522¼ (wilson tony)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00 8% 12.20 4.00  
VIRTUAL BEAUTY 5 2 3 54 5 615½ 626¼ (bailey ricar)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 20.00 35.50  
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.