Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/8/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $35.60 $35.60 25.60
SAR-2   Win (2/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $9.40  
SAR-3   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
SAR-4   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
SAR-5   Win (9/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $10.40  
SAR-6   Win (3/9/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 5.00
SAR-7   Win (7/4/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.50 $8.50  
SAR-8   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
SAR-9   Win (4/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
SAR-10   Win (1/3/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $10.60  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/19/2023 10890ft TURF RC14 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
3:533         3:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELFAST BANTER (IRE) 9 6 7 7 54 1nk 1 (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 144 20.00 5% 19.00 16.80 W
HISTORIC HEART (IRE) 4 37 34 3 33 2nk 2 (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 148 6.00 9.60  
FREDDY FLINTSHIRE 1 811½ 8 8 8 33 3 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 148 3.00 35% 1.80 2.10 S
NOAH AND THE ARK (IRE) 3 912 9 910¼ 9 65 413½ (mckenna todd)BESWICK HARRISON 158 4.00 5.80  
WEST NEWTON (GB) 6 12 1 12 11 54 518¾ (hendriks ric)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 144 8.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
REDICEAN (GB) 2 5 66 68 7 89 619¼ (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 146 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
GORDON'S JET (IRE) 7 22 2 22 21 4 719½ (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 144 8.00 7.40  
SALVINO (IRE) 5 710 5 5 6 7 821¼ (neville patrick)SHEEHAN GAVIN 140 6.00 6.70  
WELSHMAN 8 4 4 4 43 913 941½ (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 152 4.50 35% 1.80 3.85  
 
SAR-2   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:13 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMPHIS 7 3 2nk 21 1nk 1½ 1¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 3.70  
CLOUD FOREST 1 6 5 11 2nk 2½ 2¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.40 37% 1.70 0.80 P
HAPPY BOB 2 5 6 43 34 34 37 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 23% 3.40 2.30 S
STEADY PROGRESS 5 2 3.2 3 4 46 414 (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 22.80  
UNION TAP 4 7 7 7 511¼ 513 525 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 31.50  
HINENI 3 1 1nk 53 611¾ 614 626 (zito nicho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 15% 5.60 30.25  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 6 4 4¾ 65 712¾ 714½ 729½ (jones e)BROWN DALTON 124 50.00 5% 19.00 54.00  
SCR  VIGANO               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:22 :462 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN DAGGER 4 5 4 44   2½ 1 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 33% 2.00 4.60 W
PROUD FOOT 2 6 6 68   31 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 7.50  
WESTERN LANE 6 3 57 56   41 3 (lynch natalia)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 6.50  
MADDIE'S GRACE 1 1 32 32   1½ 4 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 34% 1.90 0.80  
NOW SHOWING 5 2 21 2½   52 5 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 8.30  
FLIP MY ID 3 4 11 1½   6 616½ (breen j)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
SCR  BOSS OF ALL               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50    
SCR  CARBON               (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
SCR  MURSAL               (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  POUT               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
SCR  SA FORADADA               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN               (arenas marcelo)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:121 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTBELATE 1 2 3 42 4 32 1¾ (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 11% 8.20 2.15 W
SOUPER CATCH 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 2¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 30% 2.30 6.60 P
2B  MUSICAL HEART 4 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 3¾ (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.00 37% 1.70 6.00 S
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 3 6 69 612½ 5 5 4 (baker charlt)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 15.00 8.80  
BREADMAN 2 3 42 32 3 4 5 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 2.05  
GREAT WORKOUT 5 5 56 5 610½ 6 614½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 4.60  
SCR  BACK RING LUCK               (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00    
SCR  BOURBON'S HOPE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  JUMPSTER               (persaud randi)ESCOBAR E 120 8.00    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE               (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
 
SAR-5   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:124 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK THE WEEKEND 7 5 4 4 43 23 1½ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 4.20  
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 2 1 3 3 11 13 2½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 35% 1.80 5.10 P
RUN SMITTY RUN 3 3 54 75 57 37 38 (barker edw)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 3.70 S
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO 1 2 1½ 1½ 33 510½ 411½ (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 4.10  
EXCESS DEMAND 8 4 2½ 2½ 21 49 512 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 43% 1.30 1.80  
PAPI ON ICE 5 7 64 5 6 612 613¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 125 20.00 26.00  
GINNSU WARRIOR 4 6 7 6 79 715½ 717¼ (ferrar)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 15.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
REUNION TOUR 6 8 89 8 815 821½ 825¼ (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00 53.00  
SCR  MAGICAL WAYS               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 125 4.00    
 
SAR-6   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S MARTINI 2 7 7 7   1½ 1 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 7% 13.90 6.50 W
KHOZY COLBY 9 8 12 12   2½ 2 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 31% 2.30 3.60 P
CRAZY CAMI 4 4 6 64   54 3 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 17.70  
GINUCCHA 7 2 32 22   32 49 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 3.05  
ILIKEFUNSIZE 3 1 4 3   4 59 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50 36% 1.80 3.50  
FLOWERS FOR ME 5 10 96 8   7 610¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
ALMOND FUDGE 8 5 5 53   6 713 (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7.20  
LISA'S PALACE 1 6 8 9   98 817 (breen j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 11.70  
SUN AND WIND 6 3 22 4   8 917½ (rodriguez rudy )VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 6% 17.20 12.00  
10  BERTRILLE 10 9 108 108   10 1022¾ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 40.25  
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH               (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  TEMPTING LADY               (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LISA'S VISION 4 3 32 32 42 1nk 1hd (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 16% 5.20 3.25 W
CLASSIC COLORS 1 1 5 5 6 33 2hd (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 14.30  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 2 11 11 11 2nk 3¾ (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 7.70  
GOLDEN ROCKET 6 9 9 9 8 4 4 (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 5.00  
TOOLCAT 8 6 43 4 32 55 5 (potts g)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
IM JUST KIDDIN 9 8 86 8 53 8 6 (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 11% 7.80 4.40  
COLLABORATION 7 7 21 21 21 7 7 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 50% 1.00 2.35  
DUFRESNE 3 4 76 7 7 6 8 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 36.25  
HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 5 5 65 6 9 910¼ 913 (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 32.25  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE               (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:244 :471 1:104 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIXTYTHREECALIBER 4 3 4 43 43 5 1¼ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 32% 2.10 1.40 W
NOSTALGIC 3 5 53 5 53 43 2¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.50 4.50  
GERRYMANDER 2 1 2½ 21 2½ 1nk 31 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 2.05  
MIDNIGHT STROLL 1 4 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 42 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 16% 5.30 6.40  
FAVOR 5 2 3 32 32 3 5 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.50    
 
SAR-9   07/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA KARENINE (FR) 3 2 32 3   1 1nk (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.95 W
CADENCIA 2 5 5 5   2 2nk (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 20% 3.90 3.35 P
DEKANTER 6 7 7 7   5 33 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00 11.50  
GUN BOAT 4 1 11 1½   3 4 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 3.40  
HIHELLOHOWAREYOU 1 8 8 8   6 5 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 13.00 30.50  
LITTLE MOMBO 5 3 21 2½   4 6 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 7.60  
MISS DOMINA 8 6 64 6   7 7 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 14.40  
FLEETFOOTED 7 4 4 4   88 814½ (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 13% 6.50 4.20  
SCR  CUPID'S HEART               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 12.00    
 
SAR-10   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORANGE FREEZE 9 9 812¼ 8 4 1nk 1 (morey e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 4.30  
BERNT AGAIN 2 7 913¾ 9 9 32 2 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00 P
MZ BIG BUCKS 3 1 22 31 1 2nk 3 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 34% 1.90 2.40 S
RED MOON 1 6 711¾ 7 7 4 4 (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 39% 1.60 1.95  
LITTLE LINZEE 6 4 4 6 2 54 514¼ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 6.90  
BEA BEA KAZ 7 8 5 4 5 7 614¼ (synnefias dimitr)LUZZI J 118 30.00 56.00  
CLOVER STREET 5 5 6 5 8 8 717 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
CAMP AKEELA 4 3 3 21 3 66 819 (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
QUEENS OVER THREES 8 2 12 11 6 99 920¼ (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 30.00 44.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.