Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
ELP-2   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $14.24 $14.24 8.24
ELP-3   Win (4/12/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $9.42 $9.42  
ELP-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.34 $3.34  
ELP-5   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
ELP-6   Win (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.80  
ELP-7   Win (7/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.08 $6.08  
ELP-8   Win (3/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.32 $7.32  
ELP-9   Win (7/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.28 $10.28 2.28

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAM SANDWICH 1 4 5 5   1 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 19% 4.20 4.60 W
TIZ MY HERO 2 2 1nk 4¾   2 2 (vance d)LANERIE J 119 5.00 13% 6.50 3.44 P
IN A JAM 6 1 3½ 3½   33 3 (casse mark)TORRES A 119 1.80 46% 1.20 1.38 S
COACH JIMI D 5 5 4 1½   44 411½ (divito p)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 11.85  
MASTER SWITCH 4 6 6 6   58 516½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 3.06  
HOT N LUCKY 3 3 2nk 2½   6 623¾ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 14.03  
 
ELP-2   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE PANIC 1 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¼ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.12 W
ALL EYES WEST 2 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 2¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 5.72  
SAMURAI PRINCE 3 1 3 3   3 3 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 69% 0.40 2.00 S
PALACE KITTEN 5 5 55 44   46 4 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 3.00 2.84  
LEGAL DEAL 4 3 4 55   5 513¼ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 3.22  
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 6 6 6 69   6 613½ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 122 5.00 5% 17.50 9.73  
SCR  AERONAUT               (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
 
ELP-3   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COULDITBEMAJIC 1 5 4 4   2nk 1 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 20% 4.00 3.71 W
BRIAN 3 2 1nk 2½   3½ 2 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 12.30  
RAPID GREY 2 4 5 55   5 3 (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 1.93  
RUNNIN' ROCKET 4 1 2nk 1½   1nk 4 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 23% 3.30 3.91  
BERNIN HOT 6 3 3 31   4 5 (davis christoph)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 6% 14.70 5.31  
THOMAS AQUINAS 8 8 814½ 815   6 6 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 15.57  
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 7 6 710½ 713   911¼ 712 (casse mark)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.73  
10  ONE RED CENT 9 9 916½ 915   811¼ 812¼ (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 25.00 5% 19.00 20.92  
BEKHAMBOY 5 7 68 6   710¾ 914½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 30.97  
12  ALDER 10 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.80 22% 3.50    
SCR  GAMBLIN GEORGE               (kelley a)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  MCVICKER               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 12.00    
 
ELP-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGAN'S CLARA 1 4 42 3   32 1¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.80 38% 1.70 0.67 W
PISTOL 3 2 1nk 2   22 2¾ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 32% 2.10 3.42 P
CANCEL THIS 4 3 2nk 1   12 3 (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 2.33  
CENTER STAGE 2 1 3½ 4   4 416½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 9.90  
SCR  CRACKALACKING               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE               (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
 
ELP-5   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JAVA 2 2 3 3 2nk 1½ 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.50 34% 2.00 2.10 W
ELLIE DELI 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 2 (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 24% 3.20 2.08 P
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS 3 5 5 4 5 37 3 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 3.11  
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) 6 6 4 53 44 5 413¼ (gonzalez alej)PETERSON FERRIN 123 25.00 22.05  
SNOWCREST 5 3 21 2½ 3 47 517½ (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00 7.35  
PUGLIA 4 4 6 6 6 616½ 654¼ (howard d)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 14% 6.20 5.26  
SCR  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE               (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 123 8.00    
SCR  FLORIS               (duvall willi)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:112 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKGROUND 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1nk (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 3.40  
ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 2 2 2½ 2½ 3 2½ 2nk (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 3.70  
RISING EMPIRE 3 3 3 4 21 34 3 (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 18% 4.60 2.96 S
VINTAGE PRINT 4 4 53 52 5 4 412¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 3.53  
DON'T FORGET 5 5 4 31 43 512 544 (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 2.33  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  CELLIST               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker micha)TORRES A 122 4.50    
SCR  TEMPLE               (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50    
 
ELP-7   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPA GIRL 4 4 21 2½ 12 14 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 32% 2.10 2.04 W
HEART HEADED WOMAN 2 1 11 1½ 22 24 2 (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.01 P
QUEEN OF MISSOULA 1 5 44 4 46 49 311 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 11.85  
EXCELLENT QUESTION 6 6 54 3 3 3 412½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 2.00 40% 1.50 0.91  
BIG DIG 5 2 6 56 5 510 513 (drury thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 7.67  
DOMINA 7 7 78 6 69 613 621½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 14.01  
GRACE'S GIFT 3 3 3 7 739 763 7100 (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 26.98  
SCR  ROSE PARADE               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
 
ELP-8   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:114 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOGO ISLAND 1 4 1½ 1½ 1 11 1 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 25% 3.10 2.66 W
WINDY BAY 5 5 43 3 2 21 2 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 9% 9.80 7.07 P
10  C C CRUISE CONTROL 7 6 68 6 4 44 3 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 10.00 21% 3.80 4.10 S
JENNY LIND 4 1 57 57 3 33 4 (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 18% 4.60 4.68  
DESTINE TO RACE 3 2 3 43 5 516 525 (lovell michelle)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 3.31  
KATIE GOT LUCKY 6 7 79 710½ 716½ 618½ 625¾ (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 30.00 20.40  
ARDEN'S ASSAULT 2 3 2½ 2½ 612½ 720½ 753 (davis christo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5.06  
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00    
SCR  MUSICAL SCORE               (cox h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50    
SCR  PEDIGEEK               (casse mark)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  STORM BAY               (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
SCR  UNSTABLE PRINCESS               (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT ROD 3 3 1nk 1½   1 1 (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 32% 2.10 4.14 W
ZARTOWNIS 1 2 2nk 2½   2 2 (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5.52  
10  CUSTOM BOBBY'S 6 1 4 42   4 3 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 7.26  
GILDED RULER 5 4 31 3   3 4 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 22% 3.50 1.98  
12  PROTEGE 7 6 53 54   5 510 (moquett ron)TORRES A 118 15.00 4.41  
FADETHENOISE 4 5 8 85   67 610¼ (maker j)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
13  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 8 8 6 64   78 713¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00 15.69  
MIDNIGHT HURRICANE 2 7 7 7   811 822¼ (claire alexis)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 23% 3.40 14.40  
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE               (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
SCR  B D VALESKI               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  CADILLAC CANDY               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  GHENT               (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
SCR  HOCUS (GB)               (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
SCR  WESTERN COMMAND               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.