Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (7/8/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.92 $6.92  
ELP-2   Win (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.54 $9.54 1.54
ELP-3   Win (7/6/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
ELP-4   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $14.70 $14.70 8.70
ELP-5   Win (8/7/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
ELP-6   Win (9/1/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.10 $9.10  
ELP-7   Win (6/5/12/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $13.38 $13.38 3.38
ELP-8   Win (3/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
ELP-9   Win (11/7/9/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $15.54  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:121 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER IN EGYPT 8 4 47 46 4 2 1¾ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 2.50 16% 5.30 2.46 W
PAID IN FULL 9 5 22 2 12 1 2¾ (hartlage gar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 4.00 4.80  
LEVY 2 3 59 6 22 33 3¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 10.46  
OUT OF ALCATRAZ 4 7 911 810¾ 7 4 4 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 15.00 44.92  
ROUNDER 7 6 710½ 911¼ 6 5 5 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 22% 3.60 3.28  
BEOCCA 1 9 6 5 3 67 611 (castanon g)CASTANON L 123 10.00 15% 5.60 13.28  
RONITHELIMODRIVER 6 8 811 7 9 710½ 713 (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 15.00 7% 13.20 47.39  
SOFT PANTS 5 1 3 3 8 816 858½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.40 4.11  
DREAMFACTOR 3 2 12 1 5 918 961½ (stinson will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 7.19  
 
ELP-2   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINNER'S SIN 7 2 1nk 11   13 1 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 2.00 31% 2.20 3.77 W
BADGEBALL 1 1 4 31   23 2 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 3.43  
LUPO'S LEGACY 4 3 5 4   35 3 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 6% 16.10 2.03 S
DR. PERRY 5 6 7 6   5 4 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 35% 1.90 3.42  
ISOCLINE 2 4 2nk 21   4 512 (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.75  
WESTERN GHENT 3 5 32 5   7 613¼ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 6.11  
GETTIN PAID 6 7 6 7   68 713¼ (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 31.34  
 
ELP-3   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :45       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBOISBLANC 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.88 W
GYPSY TALES 8 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2hd (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7.99  
ZADORSKY 7 4 32 33   36 39 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.56 S
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 2 3 4 47   49 410 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 10.00 22% 3.60 15.57  
JOKE MASTER 3 5 56 5   5 510½ (maker micha)TORRES A 119 6.00 15.59  
CAIRO STREET 1 6 78 711   611¾ 613¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 30.33  
SALTWATER TAFFY 4 7 89 913¼   914¾ 716¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.73  
DESERT RHAPSODY 5 8 9 811¼   713¾ 817 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 16.57  
ALAMO 9 9 66 610½   814¼ 919½ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 38.80  
 
ELP-4   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONYA KNOW IT 3 2 21 1nk   12 1 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 20% 4.00 6.35 W
STANLEY MARKET 1 5 3 5   3 2 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.50 26% 2.90 2.38 P
VIOLENT POINT 2 1 11 2nk   22 34 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 1.80 0.74  
OWEN'S PLEASURE 4 4 5 4   56 411½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 5.29  
ABITIBI 5 3 42 32   46 515½ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 19% 4.30 19.24  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
SCR  TREATY OF PARIS               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:122 1:24   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLING 3 1 22 21 1½ 1 1½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 22% 3.50 1.25 W
SAND AND SEA 4 5 5 63 5 3 2½ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.73 P
HAY STACK 7 9 8 9 6 2 31 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.10 S
KLIMT'S MUSE 2 10 10 10 105 65 44 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 13.75  
LUCY'S CAKES FLY 6 2 43 3 3½ 5 5 (stuart she)RODRIGUEZ A 118 25.00 5% 19.00 28.33  
10  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 10 8 12 11 2½ 43 6 (habeeb donald )GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 26.04  
LA TOURISTA 9 6 9 8 9 9 7 (vasquez sr)LANERIE J 123 6.00 31.08  
SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 8 4 64 42 4 89 8 (gorostieta c)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 25% 3.10 12.90  
PUFFIN 1 3 33 52 7 77 910¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 28.48  
SHEWILLGHOSTU 5 7 75 7 8 10 1011 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 15.00 43.49  
 
ELP-6   07/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE U COME AGAIN 8 4 2½ 1nk   1 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 20% 3.90 3.55 W
HOT BEACH 2 5 3 3   2 2 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 20% 4.10 0.71 P
PINOTSLILGIRL 1 1 1½ 2nk   3 3 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 6.00 20% 3.90 13.97 S
MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) 5 2 42 4   4 414¼ (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 12.00 17% 4.80 22.81  
SWEET MIMI 7 8 6 6   610 515½ (cox h)TORRES A 119 5.00 8.72  
TEARDROP TIARA 3 6 910 914½   714 618 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 8.21  
INTEGRATED DESIGN 4 3 52 5   59 720 (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 25.00 5% 19.00 39.31  
10  SOCIAL AFFAIR 9 9 8 812½   816 827¾ (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 29.57  
INCREDIBLY CHICKI 6 7 7 710½   916¼ 929 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 12.00 29.01  
SCR  MAXISUPERFLY               (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:234   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENDPOINT 6 2 76 7 2½ 22 1 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 31% 2.20 5.69 W
11  GRAND ASPEN 11 7 4 22 1½ 12 2 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 8.08  
ST. JOHN'S 4 10 11 118 9 4 34 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.07 S
ATHENS MOON 9 11 1211 129 125 67 34 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 14.67 DH
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 7 8 108 10 4 35 56 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 30.50  
DECANTED 5 5 6 5 5 77 67 (maker micha)TORRES A 118 3.50 29% 2.50 2.70  
PEEK 8 4 3 32 7 5 78 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 6.41  
AUGUSTUS BLUE 1 12 8 8 115 9 8 (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 19.51  
TESTIMONY TIME 3 3 54 6 105 10 910 (brumley william )MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.44  
POGOERIACH 2 1 22 4 6 89 1012½ (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 56.94  
12  TIZ WICKED STRONG 12 9 97 9 8 1212¼ 1113¾ (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 15% 5.50 6.64  
10  ALOHA MAKUAKANE 10 6 12 12 3 1110¼ 1224 (londono gen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 55.43  
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker micha)TORRES A 118 3.00    
 
ELP-8   07/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:102     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PADMA 2 5 65 55   34 1nk (mott i)LANERIE J 120 2.00 44% 1.30 3.60 W
YES DAY 1 4 5 4   22 2nk (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 44.26 P
MISS ARLINGTON 4 2 1nk 1½   12 32 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 4.52  
JOKES ON BLUE 6 8 8 79   5 4 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 4.35  
CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 3 3 2nk 2½   4 57 (cox h)TORRES A 122 3.50 17% 4.90 3.71  
TWO MINUTE DRILL 5 1 31 32   6 612¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 12.15  
RED HOT JEANIE 7 7 77 67   713½ 729¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 12.15  
GARDEN BELLE 8 6 43 8   821½ 851¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 5.00 17% 4.70 3.15  
SCR  SPECIALIZIN               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
 
ELP-9   07/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:123 1:25   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIXITWITHFORWARD 5 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 12 1¼ (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 6.77  
13  SPUNS SON 11 12 11 11 8 43 2¼ (hill f)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 17.96  
CENTAURO 1 1 1½ 32 4 32 3 (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 84.82  
MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 4 9 6 5 7 5 4 (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 15.61  
BON BUENO 8 11 9 9 31 22 55 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 11% 8.30 5.90  
POST TENEBRAS LUX 7 10 8 7 6 8 66 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 22.78  
BOOSTER SHOT 6 6 7 8 9 7 7 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 27% 2.80 3.07  
16  SILVER BULL 12 5 10 10 11 10 8 (foley greg)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 5.68  
12  RURAL 10 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 6 9 (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 15.00 5% 19.00 45.79  
11  HEZMORETHANREADY 9 3 4 42 5 9 1011¼ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 4.00 35% 1.80 5.70  
COSMIC STORM 2 8 5 64 10 11 1113½ (maker micha)TORRES A 118 5.00 4.94  
STORM STRATEGY 3 7 1210¼ 1215¼ 1212¼ 1212¼ 1215 (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 7% 13.90 25.23  
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE               (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00    
SCR  SCAT DANZ               (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  SCOTCH NO ROCKS               (roberson denni)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (hancock dana)MILLER CHASE 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.