Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (1/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.74 $5.74  
ELP-2   Win (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.88  
ELP-3   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $17.78 $17.78 11.78
ELP-4   Win (5/9/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $14.14 $14.14 4.14
ELP-5   Win (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
ELP-6   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $16.30  
ELP-7   Win (1/2/5/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  
ELP-8   Win (7/6/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $20.14  
ELP-9   Win (11/8/9/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $12.70 $12.70 2.70

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAGGISH 7 2 1½ 1   1 111¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 25% 3.10 1.87 W
KING OF KENTUCKY 1 4 2½ 2   2 211¼ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 1.80 26% 2.90 1.26 P
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 4 1 56 610   512 317¾ (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 25% 3.00 9.05 S
VALUABLE CARGO 3 7 4 47   410½ 417¾ (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 9.35  
CAMP GRAY 2 3 3 3   3 518¼ (foley greg)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 20.77  
LOCO 6 6 66 5   612½ 622 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 6.62  
COUSIN ODELL 5 5 7 713   719½ 736¼ (wong jonathan)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 8.00 18.72  
SCR  DAVID'S TUITION               (baker james)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
ELP-2   06/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTH AVENUE 2 1 11 1½   14 1 (mott riley)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 2.44  
LAMBO 5 5 21 2½   24 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 35% 1.80 0.98 P
HEY JOE JOE 3 4 45 4   410½ 314¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.40 S
EL PELIGRO 4 2 33 3   3 415¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 34% 1.90 8.14  
TECHNE 1 3 5 512½   516½ 525¼ (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 112 30.00 63.52  
SCR  BERNIN HOT               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00    
SCR  DAILY GRIND               (lukas way)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SYMPHONY               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
 
ELP-3   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:114 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTBREAKER 3 3 12 11 1nk 1½ 1nk (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 7.89 W
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 4 2 22 21 2nk 2½ 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.20 55% 0.80 0.53 P
TEPEU 1 4 5 3 44 4 36 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 126 10.00 14% 6.10 6.55 S
GRAPHIC DETAIL 2 1 4 52 33 3 4 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 3.12  
COMMUNICATION MEMO 5 5 33 42 57 58 512 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.00 12.60  
SCR  FAMILY MAN               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00    
 
ELP-4   06/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:134 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRY HOOD 1 1 11 11 1½ 12 11 (brown chad)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 5% 19.00 6.07 W
BABA VOSS 8 9 7 74 53 33 21 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 2.25  
BRIGADE COMMANDER 7 6 54 4 3 22 3 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 16.25  
NOISES OFF 5 5 44 53 7 85 4 (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 55% 0.80 3.93  
10  MO SATURDAYS 10 8 9 95 85 64 5 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 5.00 3.98  
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 9 3 8 6 6 7 63 (michael brian)COURT K 118 8.00 14% 6.30 17.65  
BOONE'S PATH 4 4 21 21 2½ 4 7 (young terry)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 20.00 5% 19.00 32.58  
CREATIVE WAY 2 2 3 32 42 5 8 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 11.67  
TESTIMONY TIME 3 7 6 8 10 96 9 (brumley s)NAVAS YOEL 118 30.00 70.75  
DAI VERNON 6 10 10 107 97 10 106 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.94  
SCR  COACH PETRO               (estvanko ric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  REAL NAUGHTY               (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
SCR  SURFACE TO AIR               (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
 
ELP-5   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:122 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMERTIME ROSE 2 2 13 1 1 1 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.60 W
PADDY GAL 4 5 35 38 3 2 2 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 8.74  
CATHERINE BLAZE 3 3 58 510 5 4 3 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 14.20  
TRUISM 5 4 23 2 2 34 47 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.59  
MIKITA 1 1 6 611 6 57 510¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 11% 7.70 4.30  
AUTISM COMMUNITY 6 6 45 49 4 6 612¾ (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 42% 1.40 4.54  
MALIBU SMART 7 7 7 726 742¼ 7100 7100 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 4.31  
 
ELP-6   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUP EIGHTEEN 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 1 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 7.15  
MASTER GAME 2 4 67 6 43 3 2 (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 2.50 18% 4.50 2.60 P
JAY VEE BEE 5 5 43 33 2½ 23 311½ (van tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 4.28  
LONGSHADOW 3 3 2½ 2½ 31 45 413 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 8% 11.20 16.13  
CIRCLE BACK JACK 6 6 5 4 57 5 514½ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.20 53% 0.90 0.94  
BERNIE LOMAX 4 1 31 56 6 614½ 630 (childers v)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 18.37  
 
ELP-7   06/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :57     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINGUISTIC 2 5 4 32   3 1¼ (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 18% 4.70 1.42 W
LAURA'S CHARM 4 7 7 5   5 2¼ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 30.45  
AMERICAN STARLET 1 2 1nk 2nk   1 3 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 116 1.80 54% 0.80 1.87 S
BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 3 1 3 4   43 4 (decker anna)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.65  
FROZEN SOLID 6 4 2nk 1nk   2 5 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 7.07  
ABOUKIR BAY 7 8 8 8   8 6 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 11.48  
FANNIE AND FREDDIE 8 9 910¼ 9   6 7 (stall m)LANERIE J 121 12.00 9.49  
ALTERED SHOT 5 3 5 6   7 8 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 7% 12.90 18.59  
ALARM CLOCK 9 6 6 7   914½ 924½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 26.98  
SCR  HEADLAND               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
SCR  LOVE OF MY HEART               (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00    
SCR  ROCK STAR PARKING               (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
 
ELP-8   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:233   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINNESOTA READY 5 1 2nk 2½ 11 13 16 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 6.00 9.07  
ROMAN CENTURIAN 9 9 8 9 7 5 26 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.46 P
BOURBON HEIST 6 4 5 6 31 23 3 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.00 14% 6.10 4.65 S
COMMANDPERFORMANCE 2 3 7 52 52 4 4 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 12% 7.40 11.51  
ICARUS 1 8 10 10 10 7 511½ (van th)TORRES A 122 20.00 16.82  
GILDED AGE 4 7 95 8 9 6 611½ (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 13% 6.60 13.32  
MAJOR FED 8 6 4¾ 4 21 3 711¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 12.67  
KING OTTOMAN 7 5 3.2 3 6 8 816 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.55  
BRIGADIER GENERAL 3 2 1nk 1½ 4 9 925¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 4.71  
10  COASTAL DEFENSE 10 10 6 7 84 1012¼ 1026¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 29.62  
 
ELP-9   06/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BERRETTINI 10 8 63 6 4 3½ 1¾ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 38% 1.60 5.35 W
ORBI ONE 6 5 21 2nk 1nk 1nk 2¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.74 P
ROYAL SALUTE 7 10 10 9 10 7 3 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.53 S
ATLANTIC DANCER 4 9 8 8 7 4 4 (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 16.41  
SIX MISSIONS 1 1 11 1nk 3.2 2nk 52 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 9.77  
BRAGGADOCIOUS 2 3 74 7 8 6 6 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00 18.68  
10  CURLINS INCHARGE 9 7 53 5 6 96 7 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 9% 10.40 10.48  
ST. NEOTS 8 6 3 3½ 2nk 5 8 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 11% 7.80 1.25  
UNWRAPPED 5 4 42 42 5 84 98 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 24.65  
CALL ME CASSIUS 3 2 97 10 9 108 1012¼ (warpool shane)CANNON DECLAN 125 20.00 53.51  
SCR  PILKINGTON               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00    
SCR  TIZ WICKED STRONG               (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.