Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.42 $9.42 3.42
ELP-2   Win (6/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
ELP-3   Win (4/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.48 $6.48  
ELP-4   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.94 $7.94 1.94
ELP-5   Win (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.54 $5.54  
ELP-6   Win (7/6/3/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.40 $9.40  
ELP-7   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $13.14 $13.14 7.14
ELP-8   Win (4/6/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $6.78  
ELP-9   Win (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $41.08  
ELP-10   Win (3/9/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $13.02  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUITABLE 5 2 12 1   12 1¾ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 36% 1.80 3.71 W
HILL OF TARA 1 5 32 32   22 2¾ (ennis )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 4.50 5.11  
BIG BOSS BEN 4 1 22 2   3 3 (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 2.97  
SUPERCOOL 2 4 5 4   4 44 (foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 10% 9.10 4.65  
COLOR FIELD 3 3 43 5   5 5 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 3.17  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 6 6 6 610   613½ 619¼ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 32% 2.10 4.94  
 
ELP-2   06/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY FACTOR 5 2 22 2nk   1nk 1 (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60 W
WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE 7 3 12 1nk   2nk 2 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 8.98  
EXPRESS CRUISER 1 1 33 42   4 3 (gutierrez fau)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 7.54  
DES DOIGTS 2 6 4 3   33 4 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 2.50 28% 2.60 2.70  
PATCH O'BRIEN 6 7 5 5   5 511 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 47% 1.10 1.13  
THE RUSH IS ON 4 5 79 7   711¼ 611½ (vosler s)HUGHES CARLY 119 20.00 34.43  
IMPERIAL THUNDER 3 4 66 6   6 712¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
SCR  HAWKS CREEK               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00    
SCR  INNOCENT MAN               (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT POINT 3 1 1½ 11   12 1 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 3.00 21% 3.80 2.24 W
OWEN'S PLEASURE 2 2 44 42   22 2 (martinez ral)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 10% 9.20 3.23 P
RELIANT 1 7 78 6   58 3 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 12.73  
DONYA KNOW IT 5 3 6 5   47 4 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 21% 3.90 5.62  
SHOW ME GRACE 4 5 33 31   3 515 (shorter aar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 10.44  
LA V. 7 4 2½ 21   68 621 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 18% 4.50 2.47  
HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 6 6 5 7   713 723¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 13.39  
SCR  EVERYOTHERWON               (lauer michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  YOGURT               (short m)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-4   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRE ME LESS 5 3 2½ 2½ 13 15 1 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 41% 1.50 2.97 W
WICCA WISDOM 3 5 54 55 5 3 2 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.43 P
ELLIE DELI 6 4 33 33 3 25 3 (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 9% 10.00 2.28 S
TAP THE LINE 2 6 66 66 6 610½ 413 (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00 20.77  
SNOWCREST 1 1 4 43 45 5 514½ (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 17.91  
BEACH KITTEN 4 2 1½ 1½ 23 48 618 (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 5.77  
 
ELP-5   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUPP 1 2 1½ 12   13 1 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 31% 2.20 1.77 W
RATE CONFIRMATION 3 3 43 33   23 2 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10% 9.20 4.16 P
LUNDBERG 2 7 6 43   3 3 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 15% 5.70 5.55 S
RABBIT HOUND 5 6 7 66   6 4 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 2.81  
SUPREME SONG 4 4 33 54   5 5 (mackey wayne)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00 23.18  
CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 6 1 2½ 22   46 611¾ (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 23% 3.40 8.69  
MAFIA 7 5 5 79   714½ 730 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 8.94  
 
ELP-6   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:23 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREAMING NOW 3 1 11 1½   1 1 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 21% 3.80 3.70 W
LADY MOSCATO 4 3 31 4   2 2 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 2.78  
PINOTSLILGIRL 8 2 21 2½   3 3 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 20.67  
SAVANNAMARIE 5 10 7 6   46 4 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 14.02  
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 6 4 6 7   77 5 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 22% 3.50 10.13  
11  CRUISE MISSILE 11 6 42 31   5 6 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.56  
LYRICAL PARDON 7 5 5 52   67 711 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 30% 2.30 5.52  
BEAUTIFUL DANCER 9 12 1213¾ 10   911 811½ (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 16.56  
MORETASTIC 1 7 1010¼ 1110   1013½ 914 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 26.97  
PURE CONNECTION 2 8 1112¾ 1211½   1115 1014¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 13.88  
10  SHAKE IT BABY 10 11 9 86   89 1115 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 13.92  
12  JUDY ELAINE 12 9 8 9   1225 1241¾ (brown )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 47.91  
SCR  Z INDY LINDY               (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
 
ELP-7   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:14 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLIMT'S MUSE 1 4 6 6 65 4 1 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 35% 1.80 5.57 W
WITS AND WAGERS 5 6 5 52 3 3 2 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 9.56  
I FEEL THE NEED 6 5 31 31 2nk 1nk 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.00 1.56  
YO PUEDO 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 36% 1.80 1.97  
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 3 1 2½ 2½ 5 6 516½ (heitzman eri)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
POUT 2 2 4 4 4 5 618 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 6.67  
 
ELP-8   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INTO CHAMPAGNE 8 2 32 3½   1 1 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 2.39  
VIBE CHECK 4 4 53 4   44 2 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 15% 5.70 4.19 P
BUCHU 2 7 6 6   56 3 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 3.65  
LATE NITE MISTRESS 3 1 2½ 2nk   2 4 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 58% 0.70 6.05  
SINTRA 7 10 911 812   6 510 (casse mark)TORRES A 119 12.00 18.69  
GIRLS WEEKEND 1 5 1½ 1nk   33 610¾ (barkley jaso)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 6% 15.20 6.59  
12  BACKSTRETCH ROSE 9 8 1012½ 1013½   912½ 711½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 12.12  
END OF INNOCENCE 6 9 78 7   711½ 815¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.12  
13  RIPAROUND 10 3 42 53   812½ 921½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 42.14  
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 5 6 8 913   1019 1033¾ (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 47.91  
SCR  BOSSY BRUIN GAL               (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
SCR  COPPER TOP               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  TOO FAST FOR YOU               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
 
ELP-9   06/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER MUNNINGS 2 7 56 56   4 1¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 19.54  
NEW BOSS 6 3 6 66   5 2¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 2.50  
SPICY MARG 4 2 1½ 1½   12 31 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 116 4.50 14% 6.30 3.48 S
LADY GOLDSTART 1 5 3 3   32 4 (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00 37.67  
THUNDERING CREED 7 4 77 7   7 52 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 8.00 17% 4.90 2.37  
SHARP HERO 3 6 4 43   6 6 (ross s)BAIRD T 121 3.00 5.94  
PRETTY BIRDIE 5 1 2½ 2½   22 7 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 40% 1.50 3.82  
SCR  J L'S ROCKETTE               (reed r)BEJARANO R 121 4.00    
 
ELP-10   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRONUS 7 8 6 5 4 32 11 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.00 5.51  
BOOSTER SHOT 8 7 42 31 21 2nk 21 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 15% 5.50 4.19 P
TIME TO MEDDLE 4 2 11 1½ 11 1nk 3 (forster t)LANERIE J 125 15.00 5% 19.00 9.78 S
RISKY CHOICE 1 4 8 86 8 88 4 (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00 23.85  
STORM STRATEGY 3 6 7 74 7 55 5 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 31% 2.20 4.63  
CRUSADER CONRAD 6 5 5 6 5 66 610¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 5% 19.00 5.68  
NORTHWIND 9 3 21 2½ 32 4 710½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 25% 3.00 2.55  
SCHMEAR 5 9 9 9 98 910 811¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00 32.49  
PERFECT THUNDER 2 1 32 42 6 77 912 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 9.49  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.