Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - June 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $56.02 $56.02 48.02
ELP-2   Win (5/6/1/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
ELP-3   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.06  
ELP-4   Win (3/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $20.80 $20.80 12.80
ELP-5   Win (3/4/8/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 3.60
ELP-6   Win (1/5/7/14/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $23.56 $23.56 13.56
ELP-7   Win (1/9/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.08 $3.08  
ELP-8   Win (10/2/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $11.90 $11.90 1.90
ELP-9   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.24 $4.24  
ELP-10   Win (6/12/10/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($78K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:11 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HURRY HURRY 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 11½ 15¾ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 10% 8.90 27.01 W
1  SINGLE RULER 1 1 51¾ 31 31 32½ 25¾ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 12% 7.50 3.87 P
4  STREET SWAGG 4 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 21½ 37½ (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 26% 2.80 2.10 S
3  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 3 4 41½ 41¼ 42½ 44½ 49 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 25% 3.00 10.06  
8  REINVEST 7 7 3½ 51¼ 56½ 511½ 526½ (hamm timothy)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 4.76  
2  GIROOVIN 2 5 712¼ 717¼ 722½ 625½ 651½ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 4.91  
6  FIGHT FIERCELY 6 6 62¼ 63¼ 612½ 726 754¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 3.61  
SCR  RECKER POINT               (hartman chris)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50    
 
ELP-2   06/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 1 7 11 1½   13 18¾ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 12% 7.40 1.00 W
3  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 3 8 86½ 96¾   57½ 28¾ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 10.15  
10  HEART HEADED WOMAN 9 2 53½ 43   46 38¾ (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.79 S
2  STEEL RACER 2 6 21 2½   34 410¼ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 23.58  
6  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 6 9 96½ 86½   67½ 511 (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 32% 2.20 11.64  
9  BEST COAST 8 4 32 3½   23 613½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 8.51  
11  TAKE SHAPE 10 1 107½ 107¾   910½ 715½ (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00 5.88  
5  LITTLE SISTER SUE 5 3 64½ 65   78 816¼ (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.50 33% 2.00 16.08  
4  OVERINDULGENCE 4 10 42½ 54   89 919¾ (casse w)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 10.16  
8  SPICY ITALIAN 7 5 75 75½   1012½ 1021¼ (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 29.02  
SCR  BARSTOOL BABE               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
ELP-3   06/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:10 1:344   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SEIZE THE NIGHT 2 2 31½ 32 31½ 21 1¼ (lukas way)TORRES A 124 4.00 2.53  
2  PROMISE KEEPER 1 3 1½ 1½ 11 11 2¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.80 2.27 P
4  ELEVEN CENTRAL 3 1 2½ 2½ 21 32½ 35½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 2.17  
6  DECISION MAKER 5 5 56 56½ 56½ 44 47 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 13% 6.40 12.71  
5  DASH ATTACK 4 4 42 42½ 42½ 58½ 523 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 36% 1.70 3.21  
SCR  ANEJO               (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50    
 
ELP-4   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LITTLE DIXIE 7 7 31½ 31½ 2nk 1½ 11¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 W
4  EAST SHORE 4 4 53½ 53¼ 4¾ 3½ 21¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 2.81  
9  FAST GAL 8 2 2nk 2nk 3.2 2½ 33¼ (porter michael)COURT K 118 15.00 42.79  
6  LADY WITH A CAUSE 6 6 43 43 52¼ 42½ 45½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 21% 3.70 1.27  
5  RED JEWEL 5 8 66 64¾ 73¾ 53½ 57 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 19% 4.30 19.83  
1  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 1 5 76½ 75¼ 63¾ 75¼ 69½ (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 124 15.00 34.81  
3  HONEYCOMB 3 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 65 713 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00 39% 1.60 2.73  
2  LILY'S CREED 2 3 88½ 89¼ 89¾ 810¾ 817¾ (scherer marianne)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 19.33  
SCR  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
 
ELP-5   06/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:214 :45 :574     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CRACKALACKING 2 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.80 W
1  EMPIRE OF MY OWN 1 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 8.73  
6  SPARKLE OF HOPE 6 9 76 66   43½ 31 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 1.82  
3  ONE WAY OR ANOTHER 3 5 32 32   32 41½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 4.00 64% 0.60 8.12  
5  COEXIST 5 8 911 810   87¾ 54½ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 41.33  
8  BALL GOWN 8 7 810 910½   99¾ 66 (miller kenny)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
7  HALF A CHANCE 7 1 53½ 44   55½ 77½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 6.80  
9  COLORATURA 9 2 65½ 77   77½ 810 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 10.00 17.81  
4  BEAUXS ARTES 4 6 43½ 55½   67 911¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 10% 8.60 2.92  
 
ELP-6   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:104 1:241   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REDEMPTION TIME 7 5 85 85¾ 75½ 33½ 1¼ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 12.00 17% 4.70 10.78 W
1  CREATE TROUBLE 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12½ 2¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 26% 2.90 1.98 P
6  SMILE MON 6 7 64 53 34 44 32¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 6.80  
11  SINGLE DOT YAHT 9 11 1117¼ 1115¼ 109½ 68 44 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 11.39  
5  MAPPER 5 4 74½ 75½ 45 55½ 54½ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 25% 3.10 2.17  
2  SCARAB 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 22½ 65¾ (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 125 12.00 13.16  
3  ACCIDENT 3 10 107¼ 96¾ 87 78½ 77½ (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 40.23  
4  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 4 3 97 107¼ 97½ 810½ 813¼ (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 63.15  
14  GLEN AIRY 11 8 54 63½ 1112½ 915½ 922½ (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 8% 11.20 23.35  
8  KOMOREBINO OMOIDE (JPN) 8 6 41½ 41½ 55¼ 1018 1029¾ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 5.00 11.21  
12  OVER AND OLLIE 10 9 31 31½ 65¼ 1118 1129¾ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 27.37  
SCR  ATLANTIC DANCER               (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 12.00    
SCR  EARL OF DASSEL               (pessin l)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  TOP SECRET               (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00    
SCR  TRUMPTASTIC               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 5.00    
SCR  UNWRAPPED               (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 111 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:101 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVED 1 1 21 2½ 1nk 13½ 112 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 0.80 38% 1.60 0.54 W
5  TAKE A STAND 4 8 76½ 66 57½ 46 212 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
10  JAG WARRIOR 7 5 31½ 32 32½ 35 312½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.29 S
9  JUBELLA 6 6 43 43½ 45½ 57½ 412¾ (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 34% 1.90 5.33  
12  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 9 3 11 1½ 2nk 23½ 513¼ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 30.00 36.32  
11  GUANA CAY 8 7 53 54 68 69½ 618½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 44.12  
3  MY KENTUCKY GIRL 3 2 66 76 710 718 737¼ (wong jonath)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 17.90 7.58  
8  LISETTE 5 9 820½ 826 828 826 840½ (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00 46.83  
2  CURRENT CLIMATE 2 4 930½ 9100 9100 9100 9100 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 15.83  
SCR  LADY PUCHI               (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
SCR  NOT SO CLOSE               (casse w)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  STREET JAM               (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
 
ELP-8   06/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Leslie's Lady Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  UNIFYING 2 6 43 32   11½ 13 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 5.00 32% 2.10 4.95 W
10  TOPSY 9 1 32 42   33 23 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 36% 1.70 1.80 P
1  B G WARRIOR 1 5 11 11   21½ 36½ (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 42.39  
4  SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 4 8 75 76½   45½ 47½ (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 20.21  
9  FRIENDLYPERSUASION 8 4 87½ 87   68½ 512 (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 7.62  
3  PROMISE OF HOPE 3 9 63½ 53½   79 612½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 29.73  
7  PADMA 6 7 97¾ 97½   89 714¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 5.18  
8  CONDENSATION 7 2 53 64½   910½ 816 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 6% 15.30 2.81  
6  TELL ME WHEN 5 3 21 21   57½ 918¼ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 21.28  
SCR  POSITANO SUNSET               (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
 
ELP-9   06/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Matt Winn Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:371   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DISARM 2 1 31½ 32 42 31½ 1½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 34% 1.90 1.12 W
4  VERIFYING 4 3 21 21 2½ 1nk 2½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 18% 4.50 2.26 P
3  BO CRUZ 3 2 11 11 1½ 2nk 35¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 4.00 23% 3.30 4.06 S
6  RAISE CAIN 6 5 42½ 42 32 42½ 47 (colebrook ben)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 7.83  
1  DENINGTON 1 4 54 54½ 54½ 57 512¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 23.44  
5  GO SOLDIER GO 5 7 76 65 65 610 617¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 41.26  
7  KING RUSSELL 7 6 65½ 75¼ 711½ 712 719 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.34  
 
ELP-10   06/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:12 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MAHAAMEL (IRE) 10 5 44½ 42½ 21 11 11 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.40 2.40 W
3  PRESIDENTIAL 3 10 911½ 88 52¾ 21 21 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 5.15  
8  ALEJANDRO 8 11 1215¼ 1111½ 96¾ 43½ 32 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 7% 13.10 8.32 S
12  EL ORIENTE (CHI) 12 8 78 77 85¼ 63¾ 44 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 26% 2.80 4.20  
7  KING'S OVATION 7 12 1115 1011 108¾ 95¾ 57¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 6.94  
5  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 5 3 1½ 11½ 11 32 67½ (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 115 50.00 68.61  
4  MAJOR BLUE 4 2 2½ 21½ 31 53½ 78 (lukas way)TORRES A 116 30.00 14.27  
2  GHOSTLORE 2 6 66½ 64 64¼ 75¼ 88½ (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 23.69  
1  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 1 1 56½ 54 42½ 85¾ 912¾ (von donni)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 16.92  
11  FLAGS UP 11 9 1013½ 1211¾ 1211¼ 119¼ 1015½ (baker jame)RODRIGUEZ A 117 20.00 44.73  
6  INTREPID HEART 6 7 88½ 99 1110¾ 108¾ 1116¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 5.00 33% 2.10 8.36  
9  BULLSEYE BUN 9 4 33 32 74¾ 1211¾ 1224 (green troy)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 37.25  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.