Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
CD-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $48.52  
CD-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $22.70 $22.70 18.70
CD-4   Win (4/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 15 1 0 $12.82  
CD-5   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.50  
CD-6   Win (2/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $15.88 $15.88 7.88
CD-7   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.00  
CD-8   Win (10/6/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
CD-9   Win (8/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $13.38 $13.38 5.38
    Win (8/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.96 $9.96 1.96
CD-10   Win (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.46 $4.46  
CD-11   Win (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $16.80  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYOPIC 1 1 11 12 1 12 1 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 2.00 63% 0.60 1.20 W
BAJAN RUM 5 6 4 33 3 22 2 (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 111 2.50 5.31 P
CO CONSPIRATOR 6 2 21 22 2 3 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 6% 16.20 2.57 S
PEEKACHO 3 7 6 44 56 4 4 (vance r)LANERIE J 118 3.50 6.07  
CELERITY 4 4 77 77 78 5 5 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 8.85  
ESTILO PELIGROSO 7 5 5 65 6 6 614 (kordenbrock )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 37.34  
FERRYBOAT 2 3 32 54 4 711½ 737 (miller f)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 18.57  
 
CD-2   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:221 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN COMMAND 4 4 2 1½   1 1 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 23.26  
KENTUCKY BOURBON 5 3 6 56   3 2 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 123 3.50 2.40 P
OUR TEAM 3 2 1 2½   2 3 (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 123 4.00 12% 7.50 7.09 S
SPURS UP 6 1 44 45   5 4 (mccutchen ro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 9.76  
BACK TO NORMAL 2 5 32 32   45 5 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.60 64% 0.60 1.34  
LITTLE FRAPPUCINO 1 6 54 67   611 616¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 3.28  
 
CD-3   05/20/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:12     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLIMT'S MUSE 5 6 7 6   13 1 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 33% 2.10 10.35 W
NEED SOME MONEY 4 4 6 7   23 2 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 7.08  
PROUD FOOT 1 3 31 5   76 39 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 125 2.50 38% 1.60 5.24 S
SONADOR 3 2 2nk 1nk   3 411½ (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 12.00 14.21  
THE CLUB 7 7 5 4   5 511½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.00 2.45  
CENTER STAGE 6 5 4 31   45 614½ (fletcher kevin)CANNON DECLAN 123 4.00 7.49  
SUPER CAT LADY 2 1 1nk 2nk   6 714¾ (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 123 4.00 1.71  
 
CD-4   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:122 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  ARMY KITTEN 6 6 5 52 2nk 1½ 1½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5.41  
CALLIE'S GRIT 1 1 6 3 41 2½ 2½ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 58% 0.70 1.64 P
12  TIGER TAP 4 5 2½ 21 1nk 3 39 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 15% 5.90 2.67 S
13  GUNS N' LILIES 5 3 1½ 11 3½ 4 412½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 7.50  
WORDS OF PRAISE 2 4 3 42 6 613 520¾ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 12.00 8.33  
GOLDEN RUNNER 3 2 42 6 54 510½ 621¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 6% 16.20 9.76  
16  BAG LADY 7 7 78 7 711 716 723¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 10.20  
SCR  PAINT ME PERFECT               (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 10.00    
SCR  MY LILY MAE               (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 118 10.00    
SCR  MILIEU               (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY APPOINTED               (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
SCR  BOPPY               (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50    
SCR  TIME TO RACE               (nihei michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE               (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
 
CD-5   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:134 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAC'S TIME 5 3 4 4 2nk 1nk 1nk (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.50 3.75  
JUDO 1 4 11 11 1nk 2nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 15% 5.80 1.22 P
FREEZE POP 4 2 21 21 3½ 3 3 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 28% 2.60 3.66 S
CLASSIC MARK 3 5 32 3 43 45 4 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00 26% 2.80 3.32  
CODE VIOLATION 2 6 54 5 54 58 516¼ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 16.41  
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 6 1 65 6 67 614 628½ (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 19.39  
 
CD-6   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARLINGTON 9 7 4¼ 1½   1 1 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 7% 14.30 6.94 W
CHILLED FIREBALL 1 9 9 74   3 2 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 6% 16.10 8.98 P
PELICAN LANE 8 8 5 42   2 3 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 4.23  
SWANSON LAKE 6 5 8 9   5 4 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 10.10  
SASSY WALKER 2 2 1nk 2½   4 5 (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 63% 0.60 1.29  
SPICY ITALIAN 7 6 7 8   69 610¾ (catalano w)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 10.41  
SAUCY SECRET 4 1 2nk 52   7 714¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 17.58  
ISLANDINTHESTREAM 3 4 6 6   810¾ 815 (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.48  
RUBY TAP 5 3 3.2 31   911¼ 918¾ (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 22.97  
 
CD-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($78K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD LUCK 3 3 3 2½   2½ 1hd (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 3.50  
CHISELER 4 2 1nk 1½   1½ 2hd (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 15% 5.60 2.11 P
TIVY 2 1 2nk 3½   3 3 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 33% 2.00 0.68 S
GOT THE BOB 1 4 4 4   4 48 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00 11.99  
SCR  GABE               (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
SCR  STREET SWAGG               (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
CD-8   05/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :462 :58     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SECRET MONEY 10 6 5 3   22 11 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 31% 2.20 2.15 W
11  NUMERO SEIS 11 3 1 1   12 21 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00 11.04  
LURE'EM IN 5 8 10 9   6 34 (goldfine mic)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 9% 10.40 4.64 S
DEVINE CHARGER 4 2 6 6   35 44 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 6% 15.00 4.24  
MASSARD 2 11 8 87   5 55 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 15.98  
ALL THAT 6 10 7 75   7 6 (cox h)LANERIE J 118 5.00 28% 2.60 10.88  
MISCHIEVOUS DOLL 8 9 12 1211½   11 7 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 32.31  
WOODBINE WAY 1 12 11 10   10 810¼ (casse mark)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 5% 17.90 11.69  
DAISY BEE 3 4 9 11   1212¼ 912¼ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 19.20  
GOLDBLOODED 7 1 32 4   8 1012¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 44.89  
12  OSIRIA 12 5 2 2   4 1113 (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 123 8.00 11.14  
SNARK 9 7 42 5   9 1214 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 25.03  
SCR  AMERICAN HEIGHTS               (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00    
SCR  MANORELLI               (o'neill do)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
SCR  SURE CAN               (lynch a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 123 30.00    
 
CD-9   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OBRIGADA 10 6 4 3   1nk 11 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 19% 4.20 3.98 W
DE' ANS EIGHTY 3 10 7 56   4 11 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 10% 9.40 5.69 W
YOU'RE AVOIDING ME 2 4 5 2   2nk 31 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 10.00 11.76 S
MS HAYLEY 4 3 8 8   5 42 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.36  
BALI DREAMIN 8 5 2nk 1   3.2 53 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 37% 1.70 2.26  
ELLIE DELI 5 2 6 6   7 6 (rouck l)GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00 23.97  
DRE ME LESS 6 1 1nk 4   6 77 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 17.39  
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS 7 9 1010 911¾   911¼ 813½ (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50 4.65  
HALO OF FIRE 9 7 32 7   8 914 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00 13% 6.90 16.34  
SURE ENOUGH 1 8 9 1014¾   1017¼ 1025½ (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 34.00  
 
CD-10   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY IRENE 7 2 2½ 1½   12 1nk (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.50 52% 0.90 1.23 W
DRIANA 3 6 4 4   22 2nk (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 9% 10.10 9.96 P
LACIE BE GOOD 8 9 7 6   5 3 (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 21.85  
WITH THIS RING 1 3 3 3½   3 4 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 5.71  
GREEN FAIRY 4 4 63 7   6 5 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 8% 11.30 8.42  
LITTLE HOT MESS 2 1 1½ 2½   4 6 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 5.06  
YANIRA 5 8 9 8   7 7 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 15.58  
ARMY GIRL 6 7 5 5   813¾ 817¼ (wisner j)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 9% 10.10 7.06  
10  MIRUS 9 5 8 9   914¾ 917½ (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 37.23  
SCR  COMMENCEMENT               (rodriguez darie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
 
CD-11   05/20/2023 7920ft TURF RC12 GOOD Louisville Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:253 :522 1:192 1:452 2:093 2:322   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FOREIGN RELATIONS 10 3 33 4 3.2 1 1 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 7.40  
LIMITED LIABILITY 1 5 6 6 6 33 2 (mcgaughey iii)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 3.68  
ENGLISH CONQUEROR 5 2 2 2½ 2nk 2 32 (banach darw)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 12.21 S
YAMATO 8 99 10 10 10 54 4 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00 5% 19.00 14.73  
TIZ THE BOMB 4 4 4 5 7 64 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 6.92  
MOUNT RUNDLE 3 8 85 7 5 7 6 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 24.93  
TIME FOR TROUBLE 6 1 1 1½ 1nk 4 76 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 14.76  
THERAPIST 7 6 54 3 4 8 8 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 2.50 65% 0.50 4.58  
ANOTHER MYSTERY 9 1010 9 9 8 97 9 (goldfine mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 5.10  
BAY STREET MONEY 2 77 7 8 9 10 1011¼ (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 9% 10.20 4.89  
SCR  SMOKEY LEE               (cundiff waylon)COHEN DAVID 118 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.