Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $16.60  
BEL-2   Win (4/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.70 $7.70  
BEL-3   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $7.00  
BEL-4   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
BEL-5   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $13.20  
BEL-6   Win (7/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
BEL-7   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 1.70
BEL-8   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
BEL-9   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
BEL-10   Win (12/8/15) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 4.40
BEL-11   Win (7/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $25.40  

Simulator Race results

 
BEL-1   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:112     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ATTITUDE 2 6 5 54   3 1nk (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 7.30  
MOVING PICTURES 7 2 43 4   2 2nk (martin carlos )TORRES A 118 3.00 69% 0.50 2.60 P
DADS GOOD RUNNER 4 1 1 12   1 3.15 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 1.60  
REUNION TOUR 1 7 714 712   612 4 (ferraro ja)DAVIS A 125 10.00 16.90  
BAD WATER 3 3 32 22   4 510 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 9.00  
LARZ 5 4 2 3   57 610¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 3.30  
RAW COURAGE 6 5 611 610½   713½ 715¾ (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 38.25  
 
BEL-2   05/20/2023 4620ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Paradise Creek Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:214 :45 1:113     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE WITNESS 3 7 4 5   1 1nk (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 36% 1.80 2.85 W
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 2 2 5 4   3 2nk (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 2.40  
VACATION DANCE 6 8 6 7   2 3 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 12.30  
HEY EUGENE 8 4 76 6   6 411¼ (maker michael )TORRES A 118 8.00 6% 14.80 11.90  
JOEY FRESHWATER 7 3 8 8   5 513¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 9% 10.80 5.10  
SON OF A BIRCH 4 6 2½ 2½   4 614½ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 28.00  
CHARGING 1 1 1½ 1½   7 720½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 27% 2.70 2.85  
DEVILS ONLY FRIEND 5 5 3½ 3½   821¼ 853½ (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 29.25  
SCR  GOLDEN NUGGET               (walsh brendan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
 
BEL-3   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111 1:373   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDINI 2 4 4 31 21 1nk 1 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 2.50  
LANDBISCUIT 3 1 2nk 2nk 11 2nk 2 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 2.55 P
HEALING 4 3 31 4 47 38 313½ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 0.80  
CHOWDA 1 2 1nk 1nk 35 4 415¼ (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 12.50  
SCR  HIGH TIDE               (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
SCR  LASTCHANCEATGLORY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.20    
SCR  MY FRIENDS BEER               (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
SCR  FRONT MAN               (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
SCR  EYES ON TARGET               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 74% 0.30    
SCR  ORIGINAL               (terranova john)TORRES A 115 6.00    
SCR  BE HERE               (morey william)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
SCR  DATESFREEDOM               (delauro j)RIDER TBA 120 15.00    
 
BEL-4   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLINS CHOIR 7 1 33 3   1½ 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 55% 0.80 2.60 W
VAX 3 4 1½ 1½   2½ 2 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 12.50  
AMANDA'S FOLLY 4 2 54 5   4 33 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 7% 13.50 3.45 S
HARLAN'S BOND 2 5 4 43   56 4 (donk david)TORRES A 115 10.00 15.90  
SICILIAN GRANDMA 5 3 6 64   6 5 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 5.00  
LUNA LOCA 1 6 2½ 2½   32 6 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 2.25  
BELMAR SUMMER 6 7 7 76   714½ 729¼ (farro patricia)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 9% 10.80 10.40  
 
BEL-5   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILIPO 6 1 11 11 1nk 1½ 1¾ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 8.00 5.60  
LITTLE DEMON 1 3 3 21 2nk 2½ 2¾ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 27% 2.70 1.85 P
WINTER POOL 4 5 6 59 3 46 3 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.80 40% 1.50 1.65 S
COOL QUARTET 2 4 5 6 47 36 4 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 11% 8.30 9.70  
JUMPSTER 5 2 21 34 5 58 514 (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 120 10.00 15.40  
SAILOR SPEED 3 6 46 4 610½ 612 622 (persaud randi)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 5.00  
SCR  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS               (baker charlton)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
 
BEL-6   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:232 :472 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  I'M NERVOUS NOW 7 6 3 3½   11 1 (dini mike)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 15% 5.90 3.60 W
MOSTLY HARMLESS 5 3 21 1nk   21 2 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 10.00 3.30 P
BLAME IT ON PARIS 3 5 63 5   44 310¼ (brisset rodolph)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 6.90 S
DEVILLY 1 7 74 42   65 410¼ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 5.30  
BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND 6 1 11 2nk   3 511 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 118 4.00 13.00  
EVER GRACEFUL 2 4 4 7   54 613¼ (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 7% 14.30 13.60  
QUICK POWER NAP 4 2 5 6   7 713¾ (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 56% 0.80 2.35  
12  PREDETERMINED 8 8 8 8   811 822 (sciacca gary)SAMUEL L 123 50.00 42.25  
SCR  AERON WARRIOR               (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
SCR  ATTACHED               (duarte jr)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
SCR  CANDY MONET               (persaud eddie)MARTINEZ R 123 12.00    
SCR  FREE SHOT               (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  HANDLE THE TRUTH               (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 5.00    
SCR  MISPELLED MOOON               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR               (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
 
BEL-7   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREUDMEIN 4 2 11 1nk   16 111¾ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 63% 0.60 2.85 W
SEIZE THE CITY 6 1 31 3   3 211¾ (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 5.60 P
NOBILIS 1 5 6 6   512 313¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 8% 12.20 4.10 S
UNION TRAIL 8 7 42 2nk   26 415¼ (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 4.90  
REFUAH 7 4 5 5   614½ 524½ (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 3.50 8% 11.90 3.25  
KERN RIVER 5 3 21 42   411½ 625¼ (mccarthy michae)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 19.20  
ALWAYS POSITIVE 3 8 8 812½   820 729½ (de horaci)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 26.75  
WHAT A MESA 2 6 7 79   719 836¾ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 9.30  
 
BEL-8   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEGUINE 1 1 1½ 1   14 1 (allard t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.40 70% 0.40 0.95 W
ROYAL POPPY 2 4 4 5   4 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 7.80 P
CHASING CARA 5 2 3 34   3 310½ (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 17.60  
AMARETTI 4 3 2½ 2   24 412 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.50 7% 12.80 1.05  
AWILLAWAY 3 5 56 4   5 516¾ (friedman m)DAVIS A 125 20.00 28.50  
SCR  GRANNYS CONNECTION               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00    
 
BEL-9   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:111     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN LULU 5 1 11 12   11 1hd (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 37% 1.70 1.95 W
CARBON 1 4 42 4   42 2hd (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00 8% 12.00 9.20 P
MERAVIGLIOSO 4 2 21 22   21 3nk (dutrow richard)TORRES A 120 1.80 2.90  
LA AGUILILLA 2 5 65 6   31 4 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 4.20  
ICY REPLY 8 7 5 5   5 5 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 125 5.00 4.60  
DOLCE SERA 3 8 89 8   78 68 (delauro edwar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 24.75  
TRUE EMPRESS 6 6 79 7   6 7 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 21.00  
MY SWEET SUMMER 7 3 3 32   8 8 (giangiulio michel)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 32% 2.20 19.20  
 
BEL-10   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:103     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SECRET RULES 5 2 2 2   1½ 11 (falcone robert)TORRES A 116 2.50 25% 3.00 4.20 W
11  H P MOON 4 7 65 44   2½ 21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 4.20 P
KING ANGELO 3 5 5 5   44 3 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 25% 3.00 2.00 S
ROYAL TRYST 1 4 714 717½   610 4 (arenas marcelo)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 20.60  
13  SAINT SELBY 6 1 1 1   34 512¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 8.60  
15  SCOCCIATORE 7 6 33 34   56 614¾ (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 22% 3.50 2.65  
LOBSTA 2 3 43 6   712½ 726½ (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00 16.40  
SCR  PINE KNOLL               (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  MOMOS               (trombetta mich)TORRES A 116 12.00    
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  COMEDY TOWN               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00    
SCR  BLACK BELT               (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
SCR  BACK RING LUCK               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
SCR  ALOGON               (allard edward)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 125 2.00    
SCR  AFTER FIVE               (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
 
BEL-11   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTICAL CURLIN 5 1 1 1 1 112 119 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 125 15.00 11.70  
MAJESTIC MICHAEL 3 3 2 2 36 212 219 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 21% 3.80 6.40 P
OCASEK 4 4 42 44 2 312½ 320¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 32% 2.10 0.65 S
EXUDE 2 6 6 69 59 514½ 420½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 13.00  
FIRST MONEY 1 5 32 34 4 413 521½ (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 11.40  
RIDE UP 6 2 55 5 6 614½ 622¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 14% 6.10 3.25  
SCR  GLOBAL STAGE               (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  MOORE'S LAW               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  VESPUCCI               (reynolds patrick )DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.