Handicappers' Race Results

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Miles City
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MC-2   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 11.40
MC-3   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 3.00
MC-6   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
MC-7   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $10.00  
MC-8   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
MC-9   Win (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $18.80 $18.80 12.80
MC-10   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
MC-2   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 1 1½ 12   15 16 (nelson buck)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 5.00 23% 3.40 7.70 W
STEALING HEARTS 5 5 48 38   36 26 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.00 4.10  
GEBO 4 3 512 5   410 39 (warren ka)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.50 31% 2.20 2.50 S
PALACEDANCER 2 2 2½ 22   25 410½ (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 121 4.00 15% 5.80 2.40  
TIK TOKER 3 4 3 48   512 514½ (johnson a)GERVAIS M 126 7.00 1.60  
 
MC-3   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:053         1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE BACK 3 3 2nk 12   1 12 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 126 3.50 27% 2.70 2.50 W
NUMMY NUM 2 2 1nk 22   3 22 (nelson buck)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 3.00 1.10  
QUEEN OF THE ICE 4 4 4 36   2 3 (ducheneaux jamie)GERVAIS M 121 2.00 3.90  
BIG CALI GIRL 1 1 3 4   410½ 417¼ (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 121 1.60 34% 2.00 2.30  
 
MC-6   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN GIORGIO 2 4 4 1nk   1½ 1¾ (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 39% 1.50 1.30 W
IMA TROUBLE MAKER 4 1 1½ 2nk   2½ 2¾ (johnson a)GERVAIS M 121 7.00 3.60  
HOLIDAY JOKE 1 3 3½ 3   3 3 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 126 4.00 14% 6.40 4.70 S
PO BOY 3 2 2½ 42   43 44 (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50 1.30  
SCR  HANSENS MISCHIEF               (ducheneaux jami)TARASENCO P 126 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
MC-7   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:05         1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE FOR RANSOM 6 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¾ (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 126 3.00 4.00  
LOST THE MINISTER 4 5 5 56   32 2¾ (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 3.50 1.70 P
MORO CHARLIE 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 31 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00 2.60 S
TEXAS LONG BOW 2 4 34 32   4 42 (nelson buck)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 2.00 72% 0.40 3.50  
HILL CROOME 3 6 610½ 6   55 5 (conway laur)IRONEYES R 126 4.00 10.80  
GOLDEN TIGER 1 3 4 44   610 610 (meineke jessica)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 7.90  
 
MC-8   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:052         1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE G'S PAYBACK 2 1 12 12   16 1 (cross p)GERVAIS M 124 3.50 8% 11.30 3.20 W
MALIBU ROSE 4 4 48 48   26 2 (meineke jes)IRONEYES R 124 6.00 3.30  
BLUEGRASS SOUL 3 2 22 22   36 3 (hanson d)BIRDRATTLER E 124 3.00 24% 3.20 1.50 S
UNTETHERED SOUL 1 3 34 34   49 48 (ducheneaux jamie)ELLIS DEVON 124 8.00 1.50  
SCR  GOODNIGHTSUGAR               (ecoffey w)DELORME L 124 4.00    
SCR  SWEET LADY LANA               (matt r)LARSEN S 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
MC-9   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
1:042         1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR PETUNIA 4 3 13 13   14 1 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40 W
FIREFLOWER 1 2 33 33   3 2 (meineke jes)IRONEYES R 124 4.00 5.40  
SASSY CAT 2 4 23 23   24 3 (johnson a)GERVAIS M 124 1.60 1.10  
STERN 5 5 5 4   410½ 410½ (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 124 10.00 10.50  
FLAMING INDY 3 1 4 5   513½ 513½ (allery mark)MORIN RYAN 121 10.00 7.30  
HAYNESPUN 6 6 6 6   614½ 614 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.20  
SCR  TIPSY AT THE BAR               (hanson deborah )TARASENCO P 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
 
MC-10   05/14/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADDIE BOY 4 5 4 32   1½ 1 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 126 3.50 11% 7.80 1.30 W
ALL FOR TRUTH 1 2 2 2nk   2½ 2 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00 4.10  
ROSAT 2 1 1 1nk   3½ 33 (crooked )BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00 4.20  
XTREME LYRA 5 4 5 5   4 4 (schindler j)IRONEYES R 126 3.00 22% 3.60 3.20  
STONE SECRET 3 3 3 45   5 528¼ (ecoffey w)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00 4.00  
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE               (warren kayla)LARSEN S 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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