Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $6.18 $6.18 2.18
CD-2   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $42.70  
CD-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $16.14 $16.14 10.14
CD-4   Win (1/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $12.78  
CD-5   Win (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $15.78 $15.78 7.78
CD-6   Win (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
CD-7   Win (9/11/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.96  
CD-8   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.62 $6.62 0.62
CD-9   Win (6/10/11/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $23.54 $23.54 13.54
CD-10   Win (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $23.54  
CD-11   Win (1/12/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $11.66 $11.66 3.66

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITS AND WAGERS 2 5 56 56 55 3 1¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 39% 1.60 2.09 W
TOFFEE 4 1 2 21 2½ 22 2¾ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 125 3.00 32% 2.10 4.83 P
GRACEFUL UNION 6 2 1 11 1½ 12 32 (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 3.50 2.30  
MISS ANALYZED 3 4 46 4 3 4 4 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 6.63  
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 1 3 3 3 44 5 57 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 4.13  
IZABELLABELLA 5 6 68 614 620 622½ 630¼ (netherwood su)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 10.11  
SCR  WING AND A PLAYER               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JE SUIS RAPIDE 5 2 6 3   2½ 11 (king l)CASTANON L 123 20.00 20.35  
SUPER RENEE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 21 (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 8% 11.20 1.60 P
CRACKALACKING 1 5 1½ 1nk   31 3 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5.89  
MY MY MUNNY 4 3 5 5   44 4 (garcia gen)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 6% 15.50 3.09  
LOVE OF MY LIFE 2 6 43 6   5 511 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00 7.31  
LA V. 3 4 3 42   6 615¼ (wong jonathan)COHEN DAVID 123 3.50 64% 0.60 2.67  
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 1.80    
 
CD-3   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:103     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAM DUNK SERMON 3 3 1½ 1½   1½ 11 (vance thom)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 43% 1.30 7.07 W
BLUE KENTUCKY 5 1 32 42   2½ 21 (sims p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.10 1.37 P
SOLIDIFY 6 2 5 3   31 3 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00 6% 15.90 8.49 S
TAPAGE 2 6 74 7   43 42 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 15.79  
AMERICAN PURE 4 4 63 6   6 5 (o'dwyer jere)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 4.58  
SOARING BIRD 1 5 42 52   53 6 (garcia gen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 2.71  
ATTA BOY ANTHONY 7 7 2½ 2½   7 710¾ (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 20.00 17.42  
 
CD-4   05/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:121 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CECILE (IRE) 8 12 12 12 12 7 1½ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5.39  
10  VANISHED 10 6 11 11 1½ 13 2½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 2.82  
JUST SAY SO 1 3 8 85 7 44 32 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 43% 1.30 3.97 S
OKAY FINE 5 4 43 53 53 33 43 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 4.46  
STAY LOST 7 11 11 10 10 8 5 (casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 10% 9.40 10.66  
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 4 1 3 42 6 5 6 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 12.01  
MASTERFUL MEG 2 2 74 7 8 9 7 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 11.87  
STRATEGERIZED 3 10 10 11 9 11 88 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 22.89  
EM KAT 6 5 53 32 2½ 23 9 (matejka pav)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 20.00 39.48  
12  EVIE'S ENCORE 12 9 21 21 3 6 1010¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 35.40  
GLAMOUR ANNA 9 8 6 6 43 10 1112 (navarrete anna)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 42.51  
11  EXHIBIT HALL 11 7 9 9 11 12 1216¾ (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 24% 3.20 17.92  
SCR  BAG LADY               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  CALLIE'S GRIT               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  MILLION DOLLAR CAT               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  SRI LANKA               (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   05/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD CAPTAIN 6 5 21 2½ 2nk 11 1nk (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 20% 3.90 6.89 W
MOBSTER GUN 3 6 64 42 31 3 2nk (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 3.20  
DIGITAL 1 2 53 6 6 21 3¼ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.35 S
MYSTIC NIGHT 2 1 3 3 4 4 4 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.11  
HUGE BIGLY 5 4 11 1½ 1nk 5 5 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 3.50 7.57  
TEST PILOT 4 3 4 5 5 6 6 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 14% 6.20 13.09  
SCR  PLOT THE DOTS               (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
CD-6   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOKI'S FLIGHT 3 2 21 2nk   14 1 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50 33% 2.00 5.00 W
GUNTOWN 8 7 7 7   3 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 2.44  
RAM 5 5 4 4   24 3 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 5.00 6.92  
CHARGING AERO 4 6 3 3   4 4 (rodriguez darien)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 12% 7.50 7.70  
INVISIBLE WAR 7 3 56 6   6 5 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 17% 5.00 28.80  
HEARTBREAKER 1 1 11 1nk   5 613¾ (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 4.00 17% 4.90 1.83  
RAYMOND 2 8 67 57   7 718 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 10.00 10.22  
LUCKY BOSS 6 4 8 810¼   812 819 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 15.00 24.78  
 
CD-7   05/13/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134 1:392 2:03 2:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F FIVE 2 2 28 26 2nk 1½ 1 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 2.98  
11  POLICY OPTION 11 7 712 6 1nk 2½ 2 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 12% 7.60 9.65 P
TRENDING 1 3 3 3 32 3 3 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 3.65  
JARREAU 9 6 511½ 5 4 44 4 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 56% 0.80 2.67  
ALWAYS ABOVE 8 1212¾ 1215¼ 1213½ 10 77 5 (nihei michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 10.74  
BOLD LOOKER 6 56 611½ 710 7 67 67 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00 7.94  
PRINCELY 7 1111¼ 1013¾ 911½ 9 8 712 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 20.84  
COURAGEOUSLY 4 4 410½ 4 54 5 812½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 37.60  
FOWLER BLUE 3 1010¾ 1115¼ 1113 128 1011¾ 913½ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 60.50  
10  BOSQUE REDONDO 10 8 812½ 810½ 8 9 1014 (claire alexi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 10% 9.10 23.57  
13  SILENT STEVE 12 9 913½ 1012 118 1113¾ 1118 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00 59.20  
READ ON 5 1 18 16 6 1219¾ 1230½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 25.01  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)MARCANO Y 117 30.00    
SCR  FOREIGN RELATIONS               (murphy cono)LEPAROUX R 124 3.50    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT               (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
SCR  SHINNECOCK HILLS               (brennan terry)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00    
 
CD-8   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:111 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEPEU 4 4 32 42 2nk 1½ 1¾ (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 14% 6.30 2.31 W
JR'S GIFT 3 3 5 53 5 4 2¾ (andrade hug)CORREA L 124 30.00 17.82  
CRUMP 2 1 42 3 6 3 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 52% 0.90 1.12 S
COSTA TERRA 5 6 6 6 4 52 4 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 13% 6.50 5.59  
SEVEN FLAT 1 2 7 8 7 63 5 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 18.78  
WAKE SURF 8 7 21 21 1nk 2½ 63 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00 17.07  
TRIPLE ELVIS 6 5 11 11 3.2 7 713½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 8.81  
AMERICAN ICON 7 8 8 7 8 8 822¼ (vasquez sr)NAVAS YOEL 124 30.00 34.49  
SCR  SINGLE RULER               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50    
 
CD-9   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:212 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ADALINE JULIA 10 1 21 2   2 1 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 8.00 7% 13.10 10.77 W
YOUR SO SILLEA 4 2 11 1   1 2 (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 5% 19.00 3.99 P
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 6 11 1011¼ 1011   8 36 (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 12.32  
PORTILLA 5 5 42 4   5 4 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 41% 1.50 3.23  
FAST GISELLE 2 4 6 77   4 5 (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 51.80  
SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 3 3 31 33   34 610 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 8.00 4.89  
10  MOUFFY 9 7 7 66   78 710¼ (thomas jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 19% 4.40 9.59  
STREET JAM 7 10 1111¼ 1114   1110¾ 810½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 24.81  
LOVE OF MY HEART 8 6 9 89   9 912¼ (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 24.84  
WELL SPENT 1 9 8 9   10 1014¾ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 20.46  
12  IRONIC TWIST 11 8 5 54   6 1114¾ (glatt mark)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 7% 13.20 3.78  
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 116 6.00    
 
CD-10   05/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM William Walker Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:214 :443 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 5 6 7 6   2½ 1 (ward a)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 10.77  
TWO OF A KIND 3 5 1nk 1nk   1½ 2 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 5.23  
GASLIGHT DANCER 2 2 3 3   41 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 27% 2.60 0.97 S
CRISPY CAT (GB) 6 4 2nk 2nk   31 42 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 25% 3.00 10.22  
PRIVATE CREED 7 1 4 4   5 5 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 13% 6.90 5.14  
AH JEEZ 8 3 8 8   8 63 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 34.11  
GILCREASE 1 7 6 74   6 7 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00 11% 7.80 6.76  
CHIRINGO 4 8 5 5   7 8 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 18.52  
 
CD-11   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:212 :444 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PATTON'S WAR 8 1 11 1nk   12 1¼ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 20% 4.00 4.83 W
11  LUPO'S LEGACY 7 2 4 2nk   22 2¼ (rodriguez dar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 9% 9.60 11.64 P
OWN THE FIELD 3 5 7 7   4 3¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 23.24  
ALILNALOT 5 4 5 32   33 4¾ (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 9% 10.10 7.36  
SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 1 7 6 5   55 54 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 26% 2.80 2.52  
LIBERTY'S HAULER 2 8 8 84   6 69 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 17.47  
10  LUNDBERG 6 3 31 4   88 711½ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 8.08  
MAGNIFICENT MILE 4 6 21 6   78 812 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00 1.83  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00    
SCR  KUPP               (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  PAPA ALDEN               (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.