Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.16 $7.16 1.16
CD-2   Win (8/11/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $16.64  
CD-3   Win (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $8.92 $8.92 4.92
CD-4   Win (3/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.16 $5.16  
CD-5   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.34 $5.34  
CD-6   Win (10/11/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $18.18 $18.18 10.18
CD-7   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $12.74  
CD-8   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.62 $8.62 2.62
CD-9   Win (8/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $17.48  
CD-10   Win (7/1/3/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $12.00  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/03/2023 6600ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:38   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEGE 3 43 22 22 22 2 1¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.58 W
KISSALOT 5 1 12 12 12 1 2¼ (wong jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 2.98  
LOCALLY OWNED 2 5 55 45 35 35 3 (morley thom)LEPAROUX R 120 1.40 33% 2.00 1.42 S
SILVER DUST 4 3 32 3 48 413 425½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 3.50 4.12  
CURRENT 1 2 44 5 515 520 542 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 10.00 16% 5.40 12.25  
SCR  CODE RUNNER               (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   05/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:224 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITEMENT 5 3 1nk     1½ 1¾ (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 7.32  
SONOFASHIP 6 4 2nk     2½ 2¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 36% 1.80 1.18 P
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 7 6 4     4 3 (hancock ja)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 25.06 S
11  LET'S GO MARK 9 7 31     3 4 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 34% 2.00 2.90  
PRINCE OF POWER 1 1 7     66 55 (vosler eugene )WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 29.68  
SUGA STEVE 4 2 52     54 6 (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 37.64  
10  LOUDERMILK 8 8 6     7 712 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00 6% 15.60 4.45  
FAVORITISM 3 9 8     8 812½ (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 119 15.00 11.69  
MI OSCURO SECRETO 2 5 910¾     913 916 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 49.18  
SCR  LAUGH NOW               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
SCR  LIL ANTHONY               (mendez luis)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERD IMMUNITY 8 6 11 11 1½ 12 1 (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 42% 1.40 3.46 W
MY REDEMPTION 6 5 32 21 2½ 22 2 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 33% 2.00 4.36 P
BAJAN RUM 2 1 7 4 33 3 3 (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 111 12.00 14.91  
PEEKACHO 4 8 65 3 4 4 47 (vance r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 7.43  
CO CONSPIRATOR 5 4 42 6 57 5 514¾ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 4.50 4.12  
BLUEBERRY 7 7 811 8 67 611 620 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 7.41  
GO FOR SHERRIE 3 3 5 56 717 736 7100 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 8.65  
THAT KHENNY 1 2 21 7 8100 8100 8100 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 3.92  
 
CD-4   05/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORIA'S PRINCESS 8 2 11 1 1 1 1 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.10 1.58 W
WARDEYA 3 1 54 45 32 2 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 35% 1.80 2.47 P
11  BEST PERFORMER 11 7 65 7 4 3 38 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 18.14  
10  BLESSING THE FLAG 10 8 86 9 74 57 49 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 10.00 18% 4.50 24.29  
HOLY FOLEY 5 9 97 10 97 7 510¾ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 18.28  
HECKLED 9 6 21 2 2 4 611¾ (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.34  
13  EMPATHY 12 12 1210½ 1211¾ 12 810½ 712½ (abreu r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 18.80  
WHAT'S TO DO 7 10 10 8 53 6 813 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 12.00 31.27  
AUNT NELDA 2 11 11 1110¼ 107 911 913¾ (devaux cheri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 21.98  
PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 1 5 32 3 6 1013 1020¾ (o'connor r)LANERIE J 118 20.00 35.04  
LE LEVRE (IRE) 6 3 7 6 8 1115 1125¼ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 14.94  
SUPER COOL STORM 4 4 4 5 119 1218½ 1236¼ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00 46.36  
SCR  LA VOIE               (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  MYSTIC PLEASURE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  STARTERS ORDERS               (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  SWEET TROUBLE               (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:212 :444 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWING 1 5 1½ 12   1 1 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 36% 1.80 1.67 W
LEMON DROP SHOT 7 6 8 4   2 2 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 123 3.00 34% 1.90 2.05 P
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 2 8 75 5   4 38 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 6% 17.00 6.39 S
GOT THE BOB 5 7 6 35   36 4 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 15.45  
MULTI PLATINUM 3 2 2½ 22   5 519¾ (santamaria ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 10.83  
MASTER LEA 6 1 54 7   612½ 621¾ (bahena isma)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 42.97  
SWISS GUARD 8 4 32 8   718½ 740 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 5.00 8.46  
LOOT THE MOON 4 3 4 68   823½ 8100 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 8.89  
SCR  BRONZE BEAST               (rouck l)RIQUELME J 123 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD FOOT 8 9 63 6   2nk 1 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00 7% 12.80 8.09 W
BALL GOWN 7 1 21 3.2   31 2 (romans dale)LANERIE J 123 12.00 13.95  
10  ELLE OF THE BALL 9 4 31 1nk   1nk 32 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 32% 2.20 3.00 S
CHARLEY RUDE 1 5 5 5   5 43 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 11% 8.50 1.51  
MS HAYLEY 4 2 9 10   63 5 (hiles rick)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 29.27  
MAGNA MASSA 5 3 11 2nk   42 6 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00 39.62  
KILMOREY 3 10 1010¼ 9   8 710 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 37.26  
BIG JAVA 2 7 8 8   7 813¼ (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.09  
AZUL TEQUILA 6 8 75 7   98 913¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 12.00 17.97  
11  TWIRLING PATTI 10 6 4 4¾   10 1021½ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 28% 2.60 5.16  
SCR  QUEEN TAPITURE               (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:10     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREYS THE BOY 8 7 7 75   1nk 1 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 5.37  
BAD TO THE BONES 1 4 6 42   4¾ 2 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 4.17 DH
ANGKOR 3 6 42 53   2nk 2 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 49% 1.10 4.04 P
PATIENT CAPITAL 6 3 3½ 31   3.2 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 10% 8.90 3.41  
SPARTAN ARMY 5 5 5 6   5 59 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00 14.79  
TIM TAL 4 2 2½ 2½   7 613½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 8.77  
ZIPPIN GIGI 2 1 1½ 1½   6 714 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50 16% 5.50 3.15  
AMERICAN ICON 7 8 8 88   8 814¼ (vasquez sr)NAVAS YOEL 113 50.00 30.84  
 
CD-8   05/03/2023 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnigh Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:144 1:392 2:043 2:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRANT 5 2½ 21 2½ 1nk 1 1¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 19% 4.20 3.31 W
RED RUN 4 4 54 4 3 3 2¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 12.90  
NEXT 6 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 2 3 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 123 1.60 24% 3.20 1.38 S
DECISION MAKER 2 67 6 6 6 47 4 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 18.37  
CALIBRATE 3 5 4 5 56 58 510 (rosin coty )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 7.30  
LONE ROCK 1 3 32 3 44 6 623¾ (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50 36% 1.80 2.14  
SCR  SCARLET FUSION               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00    
 
CD-9   05/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mamzelle Overnight Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANSE MACABRE 4 2 32 3½   13 1 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 7.74  
10  AMERICAN APPLE 9 1 7 6   33 2 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 10.79  
ANNA'S ARABESQUE 1 9 8 8   65 3 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 21.66  
MY SWEET AFFAIR 8 4 4 4   23 4 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 8.20 4.11  
B G WARRIOR 5 7 5 5   4 5 (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 54.58  
PEACOCK LASS 6 8 9 9   9 6 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 30.46  
SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 7 6 2 2nk   54 79 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 31% 2.20 2.00  
SASSY NATURE 2 3 1 1nk   8 810¼ (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 8.00 10% 8.70 7.31  
LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) 3 5 63 7   7 910¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 26% 2.80 2.69  
SCR  ACCOMPLISHED GIRL               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
CD-10   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:214 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EDDIE M 8 1 21 1nk   1nk 1 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.00  
FOREVER COOL 3 10 1012¼ 64   3 2 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 7% 13.50 1.95 P
RATE CONFIRMATION 1 7 31 2nk   2nk 3 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 29% 2.40 8.57 S
RIVOLI 6 2 6 4   4 4 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 29% 2.40 6.20  
BROKENHEARTED 5 6 7 7   56 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 7.56  
GOLDEN REIGN 4 5 5 86   7 68 (toye li)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 34.01  
POWER ALLEY 2 8 4 5   6 7 (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 8% 11.20 6.00  
12  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 10 9 9 97   810¾ 814 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00 14.84  
AIR KENNEY 7 3 11 32   911¾ 922 (meah m)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9.85  
11  PAPA D L 9 4 8 109   1015¾ 1029¾ (forster gra)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 46.82  
SCR  OFFICER QUIGLEY               (stall m)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
SCR  WHEN I GET PAID               (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.