Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $24.48  
KEE-2   Win (12/16/5/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $7.48 $7.48  
KEE-3   Win (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.16 $7.16  
KEE-4   Win (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $9.74  
KEE-5   Win (2/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.06  
KEE-6   Win (9/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.56 $8.56 2.56
KEE-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.42 $5.42 1.42
KEE-8   Win (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $13.62  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMISSIONER DAN 4 3 2½     2½ 1 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 11.24  
BLUE EYED SOUL (IRE) 2 2 1½     1½ 2 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 111 1.40 37% 1.70 0.83 P
GEWURZTRAMINER 8 4 3     3 3 (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 119 20.00 18.20  
KORE KINETIC 3 8 78     5 4 (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 23% 3.40 3.69  
IMPERIAL THUNDER 7 1 5     6 59 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 26.91  
DUNPHY 6 5 43     4 6 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 24.39  
EXPRESS CRUISER 9 7 68     710½ 714¼ (gutierrez fau)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 24.92  
SADDLE UP 5 6 8     811 816½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 20% 4.10 5.03  
BOY POR UNO 1 9 911     912 916¾ (decker anna)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 47.66  
SCR  NURCAN               (mendez luis)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
 
KEE-2   04/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:213 :444 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CHARGING 10 1 11 11   13 16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 36% 1.80 2.74 W
SAY IT LOUD 7 8 42 53   54 26 (pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 125 12.00 7.18  
16  BEER RUN 11 4 31 21   3 36 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 15% 5.60 9.70 S
11  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) 9 2 5 4   4 4 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 3.03  
ALIBI IKE 3 5 8 86   8 5 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 11.23  
EV'S SHERMAN 2 7 7 75   7 6 (villafranco ma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 50.00 5% 19.00 47.39  
MONET NEVER (IRE) 5 6 21 31   23 7 (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 12% 7.60 3.38  
DEVILS RED 4 3 6 6   6 8 (o'neill doug)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 46.74  
MCGOLDEN 8 10 118 108   9 912¼ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00 13.86  
LITTLE MAN CAN 6 9 96 9   10 1014 (lovell michel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 30.00 41.74  
ONE FOR MY BROTHER 1 11 10 11   1112¼ 1118¾ (vosler eugene )WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 30.00 55.82  
SCR  BRAZILIAN FURY               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
SCR  ETERNAL BLISS               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  FORCIBLE ENTRY               (foley greg)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
SCR  HOME RUN HANK               (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
SCR  SATURDAY LONG LEGS               (frazier matt)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIACOMET 5 2 21 11 12 13 1 (shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 12% 7.60 2.58 W
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 3 43 3 33 33 2 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 12% 7.20 3.37 P
MADISON LUVS DUKE 3 4 32 21 22 23 3 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00 8.07  
HIGH HEATER 4 5 55 4 48 47 411½ (hess b)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 5% 17.40 8.51  
LEMONADEATTHELATCH 6 6 65 5 512 515 550¾ (shifflett cher)MARCANO Y 118 20.00 34.39  
WOLFE COUNTY 2 1 11 6100 6100 6100 6100 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 1.27  
SCR  DEPUTY CONNECT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
KEE-4   04/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:121 1:234   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATNIP 8 8 6 5 5 1½ 1¼ (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 3.87  
EXACT ESTIMATE 6 7 7 7 7 4 2¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.40 26% 2.90 1.37 P
POLICY OPTION 7 6 8 8 8 8 3¾ (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 24% 3.10 10.80 S
REWARD NIGHT 3 2 5 6 64 7 4 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 16% 5.10 6.09  
JUULSTONE 4 5 31 31 3 5 53 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 12.18  
ARABIAN PRINCE 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 6 (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 32.65  
RALLY SQUIRREL 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 7 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 20.00 33.82  
GAMER 2 4 4 4 42 6 8 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 12% 7.30 3.89  
SCR  BAJ               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER               (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHTWORK 1 9 2½     2nk 13 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 4.03  
BARBTOURAGE 2 4 1½     1nk 23 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 0.80 37% 1.70 0.80 P
CRIMSON ADVOCATE 7 3 53     4 3 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 8.69  
TITANIA'S DREAM 8 12 4     32 47 (mccutchen ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 37.56  
ARGAN 3 2 3     5 58 (gutierrez fau)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 41.90  
11  JUST AN OPINION 10 5 10     9 6 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 19% 4.10 9.11  
BOOTSY'S MERLOT 4 10 8     6 7 (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 19% 4.30 24.84  
UNMATCHED 5 7 9     7 811 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 14.35  
10  WHATTA WORLD 9 8 1110¾     1110¾ 911¾ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 30.00 79.02  
12  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN 11 11 7     10 1014½ (sims p)NAVAS YOEL 109 30.00 37.53  
14  LITTLE MUSIC 12 1 6     89 1115 (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 36.76  
BANDIT QUEEN 6 6 1210¾     1212¼ 1215¼ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 60.57  
SCR  BOYNE VALLEY               (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  GREEN CHILE               (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:212 :441 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR SHOT 4 4 11 1   1 13 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 8.00 3.28 W
BOUND FOR NOWHERE 9 3 54 5   2 23 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 0.40 62% 0.60 0.82 P
FRIAR LAURENCE 3 1 6 7   56 37 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 45.08  
DIVINE LEADER 1 7 32 32   34 47 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 7.48  
PURPLE DREAM 5 9 9 97   6 5 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 14.18  
INFINITE (ARG) 7 2 21 2   44 6 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
GALLANT GUY 8 8 87 87   8 7 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 65.22  
JOHNNY UNLEASHED 2 6 4 43   7 810¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 12.98  
NERO 6 5 7 65   9 911 (drysdale ne)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 20.18  
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 3.00    
 
KEE-7   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE GIANT LEAP 5 5 44 3   1nk 1 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.20 55% 0.80 1.71 W
DOG RED 6 1 22 2   2nk 2 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 21% 3.80 3.64 P
GOLD LUCK 2 3 3 4   4 3 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 1.59  
SEVEN FLAT 1 6 56 5   5 4 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 9.22  
LIBERTANGO 4 2 12 1   3.2 5 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 23.50  
VASSAR'S BOY 3 4 6 612½   613¾ 643 (lyster stephe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 11.05  
 
KEE-8   04/26/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:503 1:16 1:411 2:054 2:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS YEARWOOD 1 77 76 7 7 3 1 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.50 5.81  
SHAD NATION 5 1 1 11 1 11 2 (clement chr)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 14% 6.30 10.55 P
BRAVO KITTEN 2 32 3 32 2 21 3 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 13% 6.90 4.58 S
FLATTER ME SILLY 7 2 2 21 3 42 4 (pessin l)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 13.88  
BROADWAY BOOGIE 6 54 64 6 4 52 5 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80 28% 2.50 1.28  
LADY ARSINOE 3 65 54 5 53 6 6 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 8.37  
LIGHT STARS (FR) 4 43 43 43 6 7 7 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.97  
SCR  FEDERALIST PAPERS               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  YA BEAUTY (GB)               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.