Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (3/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.48 $8.48 0.48
KEE-2   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.56 $6.56 0.56
KEE-3   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $22.50  
KEE-4   Win (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.38  
KEE-5   Win (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $14.20  
KEE-6   Win (6/7/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.68 $9.68 1.68
KEE-7   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $28.10 $28.10 22.10
KEE-8   Win (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $34.30  
KEE-9   Win (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.98 $7.98  
KEE-10   Win (10/6/11/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $26.32  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY BEHAVE 2 3 11 1½   1 1¾ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 43% 1.30 3.24 W
HIGH SPEED 1 6 3 32   2 2¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 118 2.00 2.49  
HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 5 2 21 2½   3 3 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 8.85  
SHE'S GONE D'WILD 4 5 6 610   5 46 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 3.11  
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 3 4 42 43   4 511½ (campbell joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.89  
RISATA 6 1 5 53   611 621½ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00 5% 19.00 5.45  
SCR  MY DARK SECRET               (grubbs ja)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  YOGURT               (short m)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:132 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECK OF CARDS 4 4 11 11 11 2nk 1¾ (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.00 65% 0.50 2.28 W
GHOSTLY GIRL 1 1 3 3 3 1nk 2¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 1.53  
THE CLUB 3 3 21 21 21 34 310¾ (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 3.84  
LEGERITY 2 2 43 43 44 46 411½ (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 5% 19.00 7.01  
HASHTAG WINNER 5 6 6 66 5 5 511½ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 7.99  
LA TOURISTA 6 5 53 5 66 69 620¼ (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 19.23  
 
KEE-3   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUTH 4 5 31 3½   1½ 13 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 10.25  
10  WASHINGTON'S UNION 8 8 9 9   35 23 (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 21.17  
LONE LEADER 2 6 2½ 1½   2½ 3 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 48.82  
KISLOVODSK 6 2 6 8   4 49 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 2.28  
BIG POPPER 7 11 1111¼ 10   69 512¼ (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 5.28  
11  BLUEGRASS LUTE 9 3 7 4   57 613½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 16.98  
12  HAIL ALLEN 10 1 8 7   710 719 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 21.23  
LUCKY SMILE 3 10 5 6   812 819¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 10.00 10% 9.10 10.33  
13  KVETCHING MAW 11 9 10 1110¾   1114¼ 924¼ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 59.69  
OFF THE CUFF 1 7 1½ 2½   1012¼ 1024½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 66% 0.50 2.55  
BATTLE BORN 5 4 4 53   912 1127¾ (west w)GILLIGAN JACK 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SCR  COTE D'IVOIRE               (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
SCR  MISTER KITTY               (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR               (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  SHORTLY               (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILK TRADE 2 5 42 21   1 1 (casse w)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 2.19  
GUN IT 1 6 52 53   4 2 (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 2.68  
GREENER PASTURES 6 4 64 6   2 33 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 18.90 7.25 S
POLE SETTER 7 1 1½ 11   33 4 (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 111 30.00 5% 19.00 17.32  
LEGAL DEAL 3 3 2½ 42   65 5 (david carlos )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 7% 13.20 7.51  
MARKET ANALYSIS 4 2 31 31   55 610¾ (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 61% 0.60 3.37  
NEWBOMB 5 7 77 7   78 715¼ (breen kell)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 10.88  
 
KEE-5   04/22/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:142 1:374   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY PRINCESS 4 5 3 3 3 2½ 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 6.10  
MISE EN SCENE (GB) 3 8 8 8 86 5 2½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 30% 2.40 1.12 P
BEECHNUT TROPHY 8 6 21 21 2½ 3 3 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 24% 3.10 3.76 S
MYRISKYAFFAIR 7 4 11 11 1½ 1½ 4 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 5.08  
SHE'S GONE 5 3 54 5 5 44 5 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 12.57  
READY LADY 6 7 4 4 42 6 6 (attfield roger)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 27.41  
KATHAAN 1 1 7 77 75 76 73 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 18% 4.50 13.83  
MISS MARIE 2 2 65 66 65 88 88 (attfield roger)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 32.63  
 
KEE-6   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASS ACTOR 7 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 23% 3.30 3.84 W
MR. KEATING 4 10 10 9   44 2¼ (casse w)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 20% 4.00 3.06 P
BILLY JACK 6 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 32% 2.10 4.70 S
MOREAU 5 8 76 65   3 43 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 7.97  
GILDED CRAKEN 2 5 6 7   7 53 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 13.79  
DE LA CALLES 3 11 1114¼ 1111¼   8 6 (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 27.85  
FIVE STAR G MAN 9 12 1219¼ 1217¼   10 7 (gowan william)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 46.12  
11  CIGARETTE BOAT 11 2 31 3½   6 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.72  
12  FAST FORWARD 12 1 4 4   55 9 (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 50.00 46.84  
SOLEVO 8 7 9 10   9 1010¼ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 12.02  
CARTOGRAPHER 1 6 53 5   11 1115 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 12.49  
10  TARHE 10 9 86 8   1213½ 1216¼ (sims p)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 36.44  
SCR  SATURDAY LONG LEGS               (frazier matt)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :462 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT BECCA 1 4 11 2½   13 1 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 10% 9.50 13.05 W
SOCIALLY SELECTIVE 5 1 21 1½   23 2 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 33% 2.00 0.41 P
CHARLEE MAE 2 2 32 4   46 3 (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 27.57  
FROSHADO 4 3 42 3½   3 410 (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 7.28  
DEVIOUS STARES 3 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 30% 2.40 2.86  
SCR  UNSUNG MELODY               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00    
SCR  ZAPPLE               (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/22/2023 7920ft TURF RC13 GOOD Elkhorn Purse ($350K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:15 1:40 2:044 2:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERSTAPPEN 7 65 66 75 7 1nk 1nk (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 16.15  
RED KNIGHT 5 89 78 8 6 2nk 2nk (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 6.12  
ANOTHER MYSTERY 4 78 8 5 42 5¾ 32 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 17.57 S
CHANNEL MAKER 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 2nk 4¼ 4 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 10% 9.30 6.09  
10  TIZ THE BOMB 8 1nk 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 12.82  
HOWE STREET 6 4 54 3 3½ 6 6 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 2.13  
RISING EMPIRE 3 32 3 4 5 7 77 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 4.72  
VALUE ENGINEERING 2 54 44 63 8 8 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 34% 1.90 3.33  
SCR  HIGHEST HONORS               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY               (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KEE-9   04/22/2023 6270ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ben Ali Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:373   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATTLE N ROLL 5 7 6 5 3 1½ 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.99 W
CALL ME FAST 3 4 44 43 5 3 2 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.98 P
PIONEER OF MEDINA 1 1 11 11 1½ 2½ 3 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.62 S
HAPPY AMERICAN 6 5 77 77 75 65 4 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 12.67  
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING 4 3 3 33 4 5 55 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 27% 2.70 1.71  
TRADEMARK 2 2 21 21 2½ 44 68 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 13.28  
TAWNY PORT 7 6 55 6 6 722 764½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 4.10  
 
KEE-10   04/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:211 :44 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONT RUN THE FED 5 7 10 10   7 11 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 12.16  
MARK OF THE Z 8 6 5 54   4 21 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 118 8.00 6.42  
10  JUST MIGHT 9 1 1½ 11   1 3 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 39% 1.60 15.58 S
11  NOBODY LISTENS 10 2 2½ 21   2 42 (eggleston tim)RAMOS D 118 8.00 13% 6.70 10.87  
BEER CAN MAN 3 3 4 44   3 52 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 6% 15.00 2.51  
ANGASTON 7 10 11 11   10 6 (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 11.78  
SMOKIN' JAY 2 5 7 6   8 7 (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 3.84  
ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) 1 9 65 7   55 8 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 18.10 9.68  
NOBALS 6 8 8 9   9 9 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 14% 6.40 6.64  
12  DOWAGIAC CHIEF 11 11 9 8   11 10 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 45.59  
CITY DRIFTER 4 4 3 3   65 11 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 48.87  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY               (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  JOHNNY UNLEASHED               (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
SCR  OUR SHOT               (terranova )RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
SCR  SPICY MARG               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.