Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.34 $5.34  
KEE-2   Win (10/7/3/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $12.78  
KEE-3   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.16 $8.16 2.16
KEE-4   Win (1/7/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $3.18 $3.18  
KEE-5   Win (13/4/7/14/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.14 $7.14  
KEE-6   Win (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.46  
KEE-7   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.64 $10.64 4.64
KEE-8   Win (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.56 $10.56 4.56
KEE-9   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $11.06  
KEE-10   Win (5/7/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $15.90 $15.90 7.90
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  P H FACTOR 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 11½ (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 52% 0.90 1.67 W
6  TEST PILOT 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 21½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 1.59  
7  MY BARILEY 3 3 32½ 32½ 32½ 33 32½ (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 19% 4.40 1.31 S
SCR  SHADRACK               (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.40 ★    
SCR  CURRENT               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPAGE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  CODE RUNNER               (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RUSH CENTER 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 11 1½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 6% 17.00 7.06 DQ↓2
4  APOLLO RISING 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 2½ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 126 12.00 5.39  
1  MAGNIFICUS 1 3 41½ 42 41½ 32½ 31¾ (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 5% 19.00 4.03 S
3  PRESIDER 2 2 52 31½ 31½ 42½ 41¾ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 12% 7.10 3.31  
10  PATROLMAN 8 5 84¼ 84¾ 53½ 56 57¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 43% 1.30 2.81  
8  BARRELHOUSE 6 9 96¼ 96¾ 89½ 711 618½ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 23.76  
6  LAZARUS 5 6 73¼ 63 65½ 610½ 718¾ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 8.18  
5  MY SPIRIT 4 7 63 73¼ 77 817 836¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 19.02  
11  BOCO 9 8 3½ 52 914½ 929 961 (hamilton troy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 30.00 55.24  
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY               (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:391   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 1 1 12½ 13 12½ 13 1½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108 3.50 12% 7.40 3.08 W
3  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 2 3 34½ 33½ 22½ 23 2½ (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 41% 1.50 0.69 P
4  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 3 2 22½ 23 32½ 35½ 38½ (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 7.62  
5  RAVELLA 4 4 44½ 44 46½ 413½ 430 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 16% 5.20 3.14  
SCR  ILLIOGAMI               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVED 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 14½ 111½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 31% 2.30 0.59 W
7  FOREVER AFTER ALL 6 4 2½ 21 2½ 24½ 211½ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 18% 4.50 2.83 P
5  HER LADYSHIP 5 6 66½ 68 57½ 38 318½ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 29.68  
4  MAGIC PALACE 4 3 33 33½ 36½ 410 419 (forster t)GRAHAM J 126 4.50 7.76  
2  AUTISM COMMUNITY 2 2 56 45½ 47 512½ 523 (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 6.00 18% 4.50 7.96  
3  TEXAS MELODY 3 5 45½ 56 69 616½ 635¼ (gallagher willia)HUGHES CARLY 126 20.00 5% 17.60 39.96  
9  BEDTIME FOR BUFFY 7 7 711½ 718 719 728½ 763½ (garner peter)HESS SARA 116 30.00 48.98  
SCR  AWESOME ALLY VEE               (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.50 7% 13.00    
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE               (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
KEE-5   04/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:211 :441 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GREGORY'S PRIDE 4 4 75¾ 64½   21½ 1hd (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 20% 3.90 2.57 W
7  HIGH FRONT 6 7 21½ 21   11½ 2hd (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 17% 4.90 2.67 P
2  B D VALESKI 2 10 118 119½   76 31¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 32.85  
6  TRUST DADDY 5 6 54 33   42 42 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 17.67  
13  RED HOT ROD 11 3 85¾ 86½   86¼ 53½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 22% 3.70 6.43  
10  CHARGING AERO 8 1 43½ 54   65½ 63¾ (rodriguez darien)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 26.67  
12  APACHE TEARS 10 8 65½ 75½   55 74½ (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 58.22  
3  CADAMOSTO (IRE) 3 5 11½ 11   32 87¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 5.27  
1  DETROIT CITY 1 12 107¾ 98½   97¾ 99½ (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 6% 16.40 5.33  
14  FOLIAGE (NZ) 12 9 97¼ 109   1211¼ 1010¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 9% 10.70 42.31  
11  KHAFRE 9 11 128½ 1210   1110¾ 1111 (antonacci phi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00 71.46  
8  JURA 7 2 33½ 44   1010¼ 1214¾ (meah anna )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 69.64  
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE               (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00    
SCR  KING OF SONG               (brinkman brett)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  ON K P               (rednour jr)BAIRD T 124 20.00    
SCR  TRUE JEDI               (davis christoph)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  APPEAL DENIED 4 1 11 1½   11½ 1hd (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 1.73  
3  STAND FOR FREEDOM 3 4 31½ 42   31½ 2hd (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 5.21  
5  SUPREMELY 5 2 42 32   21½ 31½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 8.00 9.20  
1  MORNING CUP 1 5 21 2½   43 45 (stall m)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 17% 4.90 1.64  
2  SCHMOOZIN 2 6 53 52½   55 55 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 50% 1.00 6.97  
8  KEEN ON YOU 7 3 66 76½   79½ 610½ (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 ★ 37.33  
6  AMERICAN ICON 6 7 77 65   68 711¼ (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 26.57  
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 124 15.00 11% 8.10    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAGICAL LUTE 3 9 76 76   54 11½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 24% 3.10 4.32 W
3  UNDER ADVISEMENT 1 7 31 33   22½ 21½ (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 15.05  
10  CORRI FELICE 8 6 65 44   32½ 31½ (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 40.12  
6  SASSY WALKER 4 4 2½ 2nk   12½ 43¼ (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 2.08  
8  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 6 2 43 54½   65½ 56½ (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 4.92  
11  SISTER WOMAN 9 8 97 86½   77½ 67½ (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 10.79  
4  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY 2 5 1½ 1nk   43 79¾ (cash l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 21% 3.80 14.30  
9  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 7 1 53 65½   813½ 820¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 ★ 2.95  
7  DELANEY'S GRACE 5 3 86½ 99   914 921 (galindo-torres cl)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 48.07  
SCR  COPPA GIRL               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TRULY GRATEFUL               (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 ★    
 
KEE-8   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:122 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VIAREGGIO (IRE) 3 5 32 42 41½ 31½ 1¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 21% 3.80 4.28 W
2  FAST AS FLIGHT 2 4 11½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 48% 1.10 2.19 P
6  BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) 6 2 21½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 3¼ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 7.07  
10  ARM CANDY (IRE) 9 3 63½ 52½ 73¼ 42½ 41½ (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 17.61  
9  VALENTINA DAY 8 8 43 31½ 31 63¼ 51¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 24.09  
1  JUNCTURE (GB) 1 9 96¾ 95 84¾ 84¼ 62 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 ★ 2.08  
4  JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) 4 1 53½ 73½ 63¼ 52¾ 72¼ (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 ★ 12.90  
5  TROBAIRITZ 5 7 85¼ 84½ 95 73¾ 82¾ (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 47.92  
8  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD 7 6 75 63½ 53 94¼ 93¾ (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 9% 10.00 17.28  
SCR  FANCY MARTINI               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  LIL KINGS PRINCESS               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
 
KEE-9   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Baird Doubledogdare Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FROST POINT 3 6 64½ 64 54½ 43½ 1¾ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 4.53  
7  HIDDEN CONNECTION 5 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 2¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 ★ 11.02 P
2  GREEN UP 2 5 21 2½ 2nk 21 32¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.57 S
4  INTERSTATEDAYDREAM 4 2 31½ 32 32½ 33½ 42¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.20 37% 1.70 1.26  
8  SHOTGUN HOTTIE 6 4 52½ 42 43 56 58 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 16.97  
1  TRAVERSE 1 3 42½ 52½ 65 66¼ 69¼ (mott riley)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 ★ 5.64  
SCR  MOON SWAG               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  MUSIC STREET               (beckman w)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-10   04/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:122 1:364   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RECKONING FORCE 7 3 42 33½ 31½ 12 1¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 32% 2.20 6.95 W
5  BATTLE OF NORMANDY 5 6 75½ 77½ 85 22 2¾ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 32% 2.10 0.95 P
2  OCEAN POINTE 2 1 53 66 64 32 31½ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 4.50 9% 10.60 10.98 S
9  OUR DREAM RYE'D 9 10 96½ 99 116¼ 65½ 45 (wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 6.95  
1  MOON CAT 1 2 63½ 55½ 53½ 54½ 56¼ (davis christoph)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 12.71  
8  IRONSIDES 8 5 21 22 2½ 42½ 67 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 36.57  
11  MCMONEY 11 8 31½ 44 42½ 96¼ 78 (winebaugh c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 58.31  
6  ROJA REDEMPTION 6 11 119 1110½ 75 86¼ 88¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 ★ 38.26  
4  TWOWAYCROSSING 4 9 108 109½ 95½ 107¼ 98¾ (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9.71  
10  READ ON 10 7 11 12 1½ 75¾ 1010¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 8.00 14.65  
3  SAM STORMY 3 4 85½ 88 105¾ 118¾ 1111¼ (kenneally edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 21.11  
SCR  WINTERS LION               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.