Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $7.20  
AQU-2   Win (9/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $6.60  
AQU-3   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $8.20  
AQU-4   Win (7/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
AQU-5   Win (2/9/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
AQU-6   Win (3/10/4/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $14.80  
AQU-7   Win (11/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $23.20  
AQU-8   Win (2/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ICY REPLY 4 3 41½ 31½   1nk 12¾ (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 2.60  
7  GREATEST LOVE 6 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 22¾ (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 33% 2.00 1.50 P
2  SCOTT ALAIA 2 7 52 54   54½ 34¾ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 26% 2.80 4.90 S
8  TRADE SECRET 7 4 31 42   42½ 44¾ (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 ★ 16.60  
6  BEAUTIFUL KAREN 5 2 1½ 2nk   31½ 56 (toscan)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00 14% 6.40 5.40  
1  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 1 6 74 78½   78 69½ (kantarm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00 6% 15.00 15.00  
3  KEEN DANCER 3 8 89½ 813½   811 79¾ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 17.20  
9  GRINGOTTS 8 5 62½ 65   67½ 810¼ (younghans will)HARKIE K 120 20.00 51.25  
SCR  TWICE SMITTEN               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
 
AQU-2   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:122     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRASH TALKER 1 2 11½ 15   13 11¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★ 2.30  
2  RISK PROFILE 2 6 21½ 35½   23 21¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 16% 5.20 12.40 P
8  BRONX BOMBER 6 1 31½ 25   37 37½ (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 21% 3.70 4.40 S
3  JALEN JOURNEY 3 5 42 57½   410 47½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 3.00  
5  STRIKING SPEED 4 3 52½ 47   511½ 513¼ (baker c)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 2.10  
6  CHOWDA 5 4 65 613½   619½ 622¾ (sciacc)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 20.00 15.30  
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY               (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN               (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00    
SCR  GLORY ROAD               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-3   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:232 :471 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MR PHIL 1 1 11 1½   11 1¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 ★ 3.10  
1A  STAGE LEFT 5 4 63¾ 63½   32½ 2¼ (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 ★ 13.80 P
4  TOPS THE CHART 3 3 21 2½   21 31½ (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 15.90  
6  BIG ENGINE 6 6 52¼ 32   43½ 44¾ (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.50 8.80  
3  WENDELL FONG 2 2 32 53½   64 56½ (lynch natal)VARGAS A 120 10.00 ★ 20.30  
5  RUNNINSONOFAGUN 4 5 42 42½   54 610¼ (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.80 72% 0.40 0.45  
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
 
AQU-4   04/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ELECTORATE (IRE) 7 8 64½ 63¼ 73¼ 44 1hd (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 32% 2.20 1.55 W
5  JET CITY WOMAN 5 4 97 95¾ 96¾ 54½ 2hd (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 19% 4.30 4.40 P
6  KARA PARA 6 3 53½ 53 31½ 23 32 (ryerson james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 21% 3.80 10.20 S
4  NIGHTSABER (GB) 4 1 22 21 2½ 13 42½ (de horacio)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 5.40  
10  GEOMETRIQUE 10 10 108 106 86¼ 77½ 52¾ (ribaud)HUAYAS (JASON) 121 12.00 8.90  
8  WELCOMETOMYWORLD 8 9 86 84¼ 62¾ 65½ 64 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 14.20  
3  OAK LOVES A FIGHT 3 5 43 32 41½ 34 77 (noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 8.00 ★ 12.50  
2  ACCEL ROSE 2 6 33 42 52½ 813½ 814 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 8.30  
1  SHAYMYNAME 1 2 12 11 1½ 914½ 917¾ (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 118 50.00 84.75  
9  MY INNER VOICE 9 7 75 74¼ 109¼ 1019 1020¾ (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 5% 17.30 59.75  
 
AQU-5   04/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:122 1:254   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MANDATORY 3 3 31 2½ 11 1nk 1hd (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 4.00 8% 10.80 2.65 DQ↓2
2  SALTO DE TIGRE 2 2 52½ 52 21 2nk 2hd (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 127 2.50 30% 2.40 2.35 W
9  LONG TERM 7 7 42 41½ 31 33½ 34¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.00 18% 4.50 2.95 S
7  BREADMAN 5 6 63 64 54½ 44½ 46¾ (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 120 6.00 6.80  
6  ACHILLES HEEL 4 5 74½ 74¼ 710 56½ 58¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 125 10.00 16.30  
1  NORGAY 1 1 2½ 31½ 67½ 77¼ 612½ (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 122 6.00 12% 7.30 5.90  
8  CHARLIE FIVE O 6 4 1½ 1½ 42 66¾ 719½ (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 125 15.00 6% 14.80 24.50  
SCR  SON OF AN EX               (chin peter)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 30.00    
SCR  WINNING CONNECTION               (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
 
AQU-6   04/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DIGITAL FUTURE 5 6 53 42¼   32 11¾ (handal raym)VARGAS A 123 8.00 6.40  
4  VICTORIOUS WAVE 2 2 1½ 1nk   11½ 21¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 12% 7.20 1.75 P
10  RAGTIME BLUES 6 4 41½ 32   43 32¼ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 21% 3.70 2.35 S
6  HEIR PORT 3 3 2½ 2nk   21½ 44½ (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 12.00 6% 16.50 13.50  
3  O'TROUBLE 1 5 31½ 54¾   54½ 57 (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.30  
8  CAERUS 4 1 65 611¼   69½ 68½ (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 36.00  
SCR  GANDY DANCING               (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
SCR  LEDDY               (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
 
AQU-7   04/20/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:223 :451 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AFTER FIVE 1 2 31 32   2nk 11¼ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00 ★ 10.60  
1  KAWHI ME A RIVER 3 6 84¾ 76¼   64¼ 21¼ (terranova j)VARGAS A 126 2.00 5% 18.60 2.75  
3  SOSUA SUMMER 2 3 41½ 42   32 32¼ (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 16% 5.40 1.50 S
5  IKIGAI 4 1 11 11½   1nk 43 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 126 5.00 4.80  
6  WINTER SON 5 5 73¼ 53½   43½ 53¾ (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 121 12.00 13.40  
7  ELUSIVE EDGE 6 8 63¼ 63¾   53¾ 65 (hemingway michell)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 9.00  
8  LEONIDS 7 4 21 21½   74¾ 79½ (beattie todd )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 8.70  
1A  FLASH KISS 8 7 53 810¼   813¾ 820¼ (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 2.00 ★ 2.75  
SCR  BATTUTA D'ORO               (romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  PRESSURE               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 12.00    
 
AQU-8   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:223 :473 1:013     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BARONE MARCHIS 5 4 48½ 34   1½ 15¼ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 11% 8.00 1.85 W
9  IRON HORIZON 4 1 36½ 44½   42 25¼ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 20.00 21.00  
7  MR. BUSTA 3 2 2nk 1½   2½ 35½ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 125 10.00 6.10  
3  GENTLEMAN BURGLAR 2 3 1nk 2½   31½ 46½ (hennig mark)VARGAS A 118 5.00 ★ 2.15  
2  THOMAS S P 1 5 512 510   55½ 57 (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.00 46% 1.20 1.90  
SCR  DAKOTA'S DESTINY               (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  ERIDROMOS               (lugovich l)DAVIS KATIE 125 8.00    
SCR  PENTANGELI               (barrow pau)DAVIS A 118 12.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  SOMAMA BEACH               (jerkens steven)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  THE GOLDEN ONE               (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.