Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.02  
KEE-2   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.66 $5.66  
KEE-3   Win (4/7/5/14/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $19.24 $19.24 9.24
KEE-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.54  
KEE-5   Win (1/4/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $10.58 $10.58 0.58
KEE-6   Win (7/3/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $13.76  
KEE-7   Win (6/4/8/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $15.34  
KEE-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.94 $2.94  
KEE-9   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $68.08 $68.08 60.08

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN PURE 1 8 64 6   3 1 (schultz lindsay)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 1.51  
BEAVER HAT 4 2 32 3   1½ 2 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 6.95  
PURE PANIC 8 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 32 (brownfield claud)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 12.23  
SURF AND TURF 2 1 5 7   76 410¼ (londono od)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00 9% 9.80 42.43  
MASAI MAN 6 5 4 4   44 510½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 31.99  
PICASSO 5 6 7 5   66 616 (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 3.90  
SEA TO SUCCESS 7 3 1½ 1nk   5 717½ (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 6.68  
RICOCHET 3 7 8 8   818 846¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 60% 0.70 3.89  
 
KEE-2   04/16/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:154 1:412 2:062 2:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINFILTRE 7 13 13 12 1 12 11 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 18% 4.40 1.83 W
ELLE EST FORTE 3 3 34 3 2 22 21 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 30% 2.30 2.63 P
I'M SO SORRY 4 23 23 22 33 3 3 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 6.70  
KISS YOU LATER (IRE) 5 4 46 5 4 44 4 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 26% 2.90 1.78  
CECILITA 2 57 56 4 5 510½ 512 (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 118 4.50 22.68  
LIVY B 6 79 68 6 6 612½ 615 (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 61.29  
LUMINIST 1 69 7 7 712½ 716½ 723 (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 64.74  
 
KEE-3   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  HOCUS (GB) 10 5 1 13   1 14 (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 125 12.00 7% 12.70 8.62 W
HOOEY 5 9 2 23   2 24 (ward a)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 125 4.00 27% 2.70 1.47 P
11  CHOWMEIN 8 1 3 34   35 3 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 23.32  
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE 7 10 4 4   47 4 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 125 30.00 10.36  
12  SILVESTRE 9 3 7 6   5 510¾ (cambray ignacio)CRUZ JOHN 125 30.00 32.52  
INVASIVE 2 6 1010¼ 710½   611 611¾ (kendall elise)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 23.92  
KICK ROCKS KID 4 7 5 58   711½ 716½ (adams l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 15% 5.50 6.93  
DOM GERVASIO 3 8 9 812   814½ 820½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 6.00 30% 2.30 2.67  
BOOYAH 6 4 8 912   915½ 920¾ (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 20.00 5% 19.00 32.04  
SHACKLESFLY 1 2 6 1015   1022½ 1038½ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 125 30.00 17.03  
SCR  BLUEGRASS LUTE               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
SCR  DONEGAL DANNY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50    
SCR  IN LIEU               (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
SCR  KVETCHING MAW               (leitch danie)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  MANCHESTER               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 125 3.50    
SCR  MO SNOW               (londono od)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
 
KEE-4   04/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAM'S MISSION 2 3 67 67 6 2 1¼ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 1.77  
BUBBLE ROCK 5 4 13 13 1 1 2¼ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 28% 2.60 3.61 P
LADY HIDEAWAY 1 2 45 4 4 43 3 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 13.80  
FREEDOM SPEAKS 6 5 34 34 2 3 4 (rodriguez darien)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 25% 3.00 4.77  
HENRIETTA TOPHAM 4 6 56 56 5 5 5 (mulcahy geo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 2.83  
BREEZE RIDER 3 1 23 23 32 6 610¾ (manley steve)BAIRD T 118 3.50 17% 4.80 7.99  
 
KEE-5   04/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:094     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEFUL WATERS 4 1 11 11   1 1¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 18% 4.50 4.29 W
10  MINNESOTA READY 10 5 7 6   4 2¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.64  
UNDER OATH 8 3 31 21   2 3¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 16% 5.10 2.91 S
DIVINE LEADER 7 2 21 4   3 4 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 7.46  
FITZPATRICK 6 8 9 8   7 510¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 9.63  
FLINT RIDGE 9 4 5 54   67 611½ (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 14.12  
EMBRACE (IRE) 5 7 107 1012   811¼ 711¾ (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL null   12.11  
REMUDA 1 6 4 32   55 813¾ (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 35% 1.90 6.42  
LET MY PEOPLE GO 3 9 8 9   1015¼ 924½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 28.02  
TOP OF THE CHARTS 2 10 6 7   913¼ 1027¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 6% 16.10 8.35  
 
KEE-6   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAUDI CROWN 8 4 3 22   2½ 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 5.88  
WILD THINKER 9 1 42 3   33 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 18% 4.70 5.43 P
10  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 10 2 1 12   1½ 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 2.17  
BRIGADE COMMANDER 2 5 6 6   69 411 (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 14.90  
MALIBU SPRINGS 1 9 2 4   45 511 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 17% 4.90 7.28  
MAGIC TAP 3 6 54 56   5 612¾ (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 4.00 3.08  
DELIBERATION 5 10 1018½ 916½   816 718¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 34.91  
ZED 7 3 7 7   713 821¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 23% 3.30 10.31  
PAPA ALDEN 4 8 8 813½   918½ 931½ (kerrick lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 75.40  
ARNO 6 7 910½ 1016¾   1021½ 1036 (knippenberg brian)MOJICA JR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 58.97  
 
KEE-7   04/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Palisades Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:211 :442 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GASLIGHT DANCER 5 6 5 43   1½ 1 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 6.67  
TWO OF A KIND 1 10 8 7   53 2 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 51.55  
CHIRINGO 2 4 10 119   6 3 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00 25.25  
CRISPY CAT (GB) 4 3 32 32   3½ 44 (delgado jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 8.00 18% 4.60 5.08  
PRIVATE CREED 6 11 11 10   7 5 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 29% 2.40 1.82  
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 8 5 2 2   2½ 6 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 16% 5.10 5.71  
FADETHENOISE 3 12 1211¼ 1211½   1010 7 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00 30.57  
BUSHIDO 7 1 1 1   41 810¼ (banach d)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 5% 18.20 12.02  
10  GOLDEN NUGGET 10 8 9 9   8 912¼ (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 15.44  
STORM DADDY 9 2 6 65   9 1013¼ (elliott michell)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 89.25  
12  DAMON'S MOUND 11 7 7 87   1111 1115½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 8% 11.10 6.42  
13  OLAZABAL 12 9 4 54   1211¼ 1216 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 47.41  
SCR  NEW YORK THUNDER               (delgado jorge)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
 
KEE-8   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Beaumont Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:094     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEY OF LIFE (IRE) 7 1 11 1   1 1¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 34% 1.90 0.47 W
INTERPOLATE 4 3 54 4   2 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 9% 10.20 4.48 P
STONEWALL STAR 3 5 32 2   34 3 (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 34% 2.00 5.87 S
SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 2 2 4 56   48 410¼ (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 118 10.00 16.64  
OPUS FORTY TWO 6 4 21 3   5 513 (delacour arn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 16.93  
SHOPLIFTER 1 7 6 68   611½ 613¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 20.00 42.91  
FUN AND FEISTY 5 6 7 7   716½ 725 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 19.81  
 
KEE-9   04/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 6 1 2 31   32 1½ (decker anna)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 33.04 W
SUPER CAT LADY 8 2 1 1½   12 2½ (tomlinson michael)LANERIE J 124 6.00 6.97  
KNOWING GLANCE 1 6 3 2½   22 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 36% 1.80 0.91 S
BEL ARIA 5 5 5 52   54 48 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 19% 4.20 9.03  
SOLID TUNE 3 3 4 42   4 59 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 21% 3.70 5.10  
MA CHERIE 4 4 7 6   7 69 (cohn g)GILLIGAN JACK 124 12.00 50.20  
FABRICATE 2 8 6 7   6 7 (fadlovich megan)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 3.66  
LILLY CHROME 7 7 8 812¾   814¾ 822¼ (aceved)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00 58.78  
SCR  LAMASCO               (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.