Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (7/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40
TAM-2   Win (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TAM-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $12.20  
TAM-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TAM-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 1.60
TAM-6   Win (3/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TAM-7   Win (4/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
TAM-8   Win (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $49.20 $49.20 41.20
TAM-9   Win (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 5.00

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATER FIGHT 4 2 21 1nk   11 13 (posadas pedro)BATISTA A 120 4.50 30% 2.40 4.20 W
ONE TOUGH DAME 7 1 31 2nk   31 23 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 2.50 30% 2.30 1.00 P
REBEL CONSORT 3 3 42 32   21 3 (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 120 3.50 13% 6.70 5.90 S
REASONABLY LOVELY 6 6 6 65   46 413 (o'connell kathle)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 3.90  
NOBLE ATTITUDE 5 4 5 54   512 523 (manchan bertram)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00 22.40  
BEAST BUNNY 2 5 11 43   616 632¼ (fisher david)FELICIANO R 120 6.00 14.40  
ITRIEDSELLINGHER 1 7 7 710   719 733¼ (o'connell kathle)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 6% 16.30 15.50  
 
TAM-2   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NURSE JUDY 7 1 12 12   13 1 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00 39% 1.60 1.30 W
DIXIELAND DANCER 2 6 7 33   23 2 (machado anto)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 12.00 27.80  
KENYA SUN 4 2 33 5   45 310 (cascallares nest)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 18% 4.40 2.70 S
RAPIDAMENTE 6 5 5 22   33 410¼ (lopez rob)ALICEA JEREMY 113 4.50 11% 8.50 7.50  
JLO CAN DANCE 1 7 6 7   5 512½ (poole a)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 3.00 4.40  
TEE UP 5 3 43 64   6 613¾ (tsirigotis james)COTTO L 120 15.00 5% 17.60 30.10  
DONYA'S MAGIC 3 4 22 43   7 718 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 6.10  
 
TAM-3   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:27
See original race card.
:224 :462 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDHAIREDCOLLEEN 3 3 31 33   31 11 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 8.00 5.10  
LUNITA 2 5 5 6   42 21 (lopez rob)ALICEA JEREMY 113 6.00 24.10 P
JAZHARA 5 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 34 (carrascojr vict)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00 18.20  
COWGIRLLOVER 4 6 6 44   54 4 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 24% 3.10 4.70  
RED DELICIOUS 8 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 5 (cascallares nes)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 25.90  
IMAZETA 6 8 8 7   68 6 (sacco d)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 11.80  
SHUT IT CALI 1 7 7 88   89 7 (smith rob)SOSA LAUREANO 113 1.40 54% 0.90 0.50  
WIFEY MATERIAL 7 2 4 55   7 814½ (bowersock maria)WALKER M 120 15.00 31.10  
 
TAM-4   03/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH ON EMOTIONAL 2 1 12 13   15 1 (dominguez luis )MORALES PABLO 125 2.00 54% 0.90 1.40 W
BELIEVE AMERICA 5 6 4 45   4 2 (sweezey k)RODRIGUEZ A 125 6.00 2.90 P
LITTLE BIG 4 3 32 33   3 3 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 125 3.00 19% 4.30 1.40 S
BIG ROWDY DAN 3 2 22 23   25 4 (lopez rob)SOSA LAUREANO 118 10.00 13.60  
DOC CARSON 1 5 5 59   513½ 522½ (cordero antonio)MBATHA LUCKY 115 30.00 52.00  
MISS INEZ 6 4 6 611   620½ 633¼ (cascallares )ORDONEZ R 118 30.00 29.80  
SCR  INCREDIBLE BILL               (padilla tim)FERRER C 125 1.80 6% 14.50    
 
TAM-5   03/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:131 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMA RED (IRE) 3 1 11 1½ 11 13 1 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 1.20 61% 0.60 0.80 W
PARIS PEACOCK (IRE) 1 5 66 6 64 4 2 (proctor thomas )MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 1.90 P
CHICK'S SHADOW 2 2 33 3 21 23 3 (rodriguez an)ALONSO LUIS 119 15.00 22.20  
ANADOR (FR) 4 3 54 5 4 33 46 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 16.80  
MY LIPS ARE SEALED 6 4 43 42 5 5 58 (gulick jam)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 5.80  
STRIKING CHROME 5 6 21 2½ 3 6 614½ (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 10.40  
SCR  ALL GOOD TIMES               (arnett jon)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE AMELIA               (padilla tim)FERRER C 119 3.50    
 
TAM-6   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:101     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICKS DIG SCARS 6 5 2nk 2nk   1nk 12 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 22% 3.60 2.00 W
SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 7 3 31 3.2   2nk 22 (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 7% 12.90 6.10 P
CAJUN CASANOVA 2 1 4 4   32 3 (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 6.00 13.80  
LONGSHADOW 5 4 6 6   4 4 (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 22% 3.60 3.20  
BUMPERDOO 3 7 7 7   66 57 (arnett jon)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 23% 3.40 4.20  
TUNE IN 4 2 5 5   53 6 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 118 3.50 4.40  
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW 1 6 1nk 1nk   7 716½ (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 16.00  
 
TAM-7   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:221 :451 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMINERO 2 6 5 42   2½ 12 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 123 3.50 6% 16.10 3.70 W
JUST PLAIN ORNERY 1 5 2 21   3½ 22 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50 29% 2.40 3.20 P
ASSERT DOMINANCE 5 1 42 32   5 3 (mcgoey monica)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 5.00 13% 6.40 7.00 S
IMPERIAL BIRD 4 3 1 11   1½ 4 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.80 30% 2.30 0.90  
THAT'S MY BOI TOY 6 2 63 6   41 54 (posadas pedro)BATISTA A 123 6.00 11.70  
MO WINE PLEASE 3 4 32 5   6 6 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 123 12.00 20.80  
SCR  COMMANDER KEITH               (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 116 20.00    
SCR  OXBOW WIND               (ramirez l)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
 
TAM-8   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD MINISTER 6 7 71 2nk   11 11 (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 120 20.00 13% 6.50 23.60 W
CRUISING DEREK 2 4 61 4   3 21 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 37% 1.70 4.70 P
BARAK 5 6 4¾ 5   4 3 (raven kerr)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 13% 6.50 0.80 S
ALL ABOUT LUCKY 1 3 5¾ 6   5 4 (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 7.50  
SMART DRESSER 4 2 2nk 3½   21 5 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 5.00 9.70  
VIDA FINA 7 5 3.2 1nk   6 610½ (pimental i)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00 10% 9.20 39.70  
NOT A PRAYER 3 1 1nk 7   7 718 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 3.40  
SCR  O ROMEO               (ramirez l)COTTO L 120 6.00    
 
TAM-9   03/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:231   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHINA BEACH 3 2 34 3 32 2 1¼ (brown donald)ALONSO LUIS 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
SHIMMERING LEROID 7 4 22 2 22 3 2¼ (mccarthy d)FERRER C 123 4.50 12% 7.30 7.20 P
10  BARAHIN 10 6 12 1 12 1 3 (escobar alison)COTTO L 119 30.00 19.00  
SIMMS 5 8 9 912½ 8 44 42 (bowersock maria)CASTANON L 119 8.00 3.90  
BATTLE CREEK 6 5 44 47 4 5 52 (granitz anthony )CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 7.90  
IN HONOR OF ARTIE 4 9 8 5 53 6 63 (dominguez r)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 30.00 43.30  
KING OF CHAOS 1 1 10 1014 10 8 7 (nunn dougla)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50 35% 1.80 2.90  
SUMMER PALACE 2 3 67 811½ 9 7 8 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 25% 2.90 5.70  
EIGHT WEEKS LONG 9 10 7 711 65 9 9 (ferraro m )GALLARDO A 119 8.00 6.90  
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA 8 7 5 610½ 7 1012¼ 1020½ (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 119 10.00 44.50  
SCR  PAPA JIMMY               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
SCR  PUTMAN               (vazquez eduardo )MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST               (rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.