Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (8/4/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 1.80
FG-2   Win (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 7.00
FG-3   Win (1/8/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $8.60  
FG-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $8.40  
FG-5   Win (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
FG-6   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 3.00
FG-7   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $13.00  
FG-8   Win (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
FG-9   Win (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 3.00

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE' ANS EIGHTY 3 6 6 32   2 13 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90 4.90 W
KEEP LEFT 5 1 1½ 12   1 23 (rodriguez eduard)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00 6.40  
UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY 4 5 2½ 22   3 3 (scherer gary)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 9% 9.90 4.30 S
SENSE OF HEART 2 4 3½ 5   4 410¼ (lovell miche)ALBERT S 115 3.00 7% 12.70 3.30  
DAPHNE'S FIRE 6 2 4¾ 4   5 516 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 41% 1.40 1.20  
BABY YOUR PERFECT 1 3 5 67   6 622¼ (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00 24.90  
SCR  PUABIS GOLD               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  PUTTIN' PRESLEY               (duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
 
FG-2   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE SAIX 4 1 2½ 2nk   11 1 (faucheux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 16% 5.40 6.50 W
ALILNALOT 2 6 33 3   3 2 (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 7% 13.50 14.80 P
MO MOVES 3 3 1½ 1nk   21 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 16% 5.20 7.70 S
GREEN BEANS 6 2 6 5   64 4 (gabriel terry)CULP BRIANNE 115 3.00 5.20  
BRIARTOWN 1 4 43 44   4 56 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 3.20  
PERMAFROST 5 5 55 66   5 6 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 38% 1.60 0.90  
 
FG-3   02/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:274 :522 1:192     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAM STORMY 5 1 32 3   2½ 1½ (kenneally edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 3.30  
MORE THAN FIVE 6 4 22 2   1½ 2½ (calhoun willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 8% 11.50 6.50 P
KID KETCHUM 1 6 6 6   4 3 (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 43% 1.30 4.30 S
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) 4 5 55 4   3 4 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 8% 11.70 5.30  
SIR LIAM 3 8 8 7   52 5 (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 8.00 2.70  
SIR 8 7 7 8   7 6 (mcpeek kenne)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 13% 6.50 10.40  
ODDSONTONY 2 2 44 5   8 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 6.70  
JOINT VENTURE 7 3 12 1   6 89 (flint bernar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 56.80  
SCR  DUAL MONARCHY               (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS               (calhoun br)PARKER L 122 4.00    
 
FG-4   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:212 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVULNERABLE 3 1 11 1   12 13 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 3.20  
GILCREASE 1 4 4 3   22 23 (stall m)LANERIE J 119 5.00 1.80 P
DISTORTED PRO 4 3 3 2   3 3 (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.00 40% 1.50 2.50 S
TODDCHERO 2 5 54 42   4 410 (gelner jayde)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 6.10  
NATURAL HARBOR 5 2 21 5100   5100 5100 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 31% 2.30 4.10  
SCR  F J'S FLACO               (maturin cha)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
FG-5   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:124 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE DROP MADDY 5 1 1 1 12 12 1 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.80 W
OLIVIA G 7 2 5 3 22 22 2 (west g)PARKER L 117 3.50 9% 10.50 3.10 P
NEW DESTINY 2 3 2 4 3 33 3 (gelner j)LANERIE J 122 4.50 8.70 S
GUITAR WOMAN 3 4 43 5 5 4 4 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.60 1.80  
SHE TOLD YOU SO 1 8 7 76 811½ 5 511 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 23.30  
FOR HARPER 8 5 8 8 69 6 611 (ducoing s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 11.60  
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY 4 7 6 6 7 7 712¼ (hodges e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 38.10  
AGAMI 6 6 3 2 46 813½ 817¼ (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 59.70  
 
FG-6   02/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:252 :524 1:191 1:433   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT DUKE 1 1 1 1 11 1 1¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.00 23% 3.30 2.50 W
HE'S GOT SWAGGER 4 3 3 33 32 2 2¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 50% 1.00 0.80 P
TWO RIVERS OVER 6 6 4 4 4 46 3 (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 6.00 7.40 S
SCAT DANZ 7 2 2 2 21 3 49 (casse norm )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 6.30  
MINNESOTA MOON 3 5 6 65 5 57 511½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 35.50  
ICE TIME 2 4 54 55 6 6 614 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 10.60  
CLASSIC DANCER 5 7 7 76 77 713½ 720 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 38.20  
SCR  SILVER BULL               (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
SCR  TEXAS ADOPTER               (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 30.00    
 
FG-7   02/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:114 1:392   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT 1 1 11 1 13 15 14 (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 5.50  
BENOIT 2 3 4 4 37 25 24 (tracy greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 18% 4.50 6.30 P
MANGUM 5 8 7 79 5 48 3 (delhomme je)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 6.50 S
JACK HAMMER 7 4 31 2 23 3 415½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 54% 0.90 0.40  
STIFF DRINK 3 7 8 814 715½ 513 519 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00 54.50  
GOBOT 6 5 54 58 614½ 614 623¾ (flint steve)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 60.00  
REAL ACTION 4 2 21 3 4 714 730½ (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 122 8.00 32.80  
MY LIL DUDE 8 6 6 69 820½ 819 833¾ (brinkman brett)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00 57.40  
 
FG-8   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOPSY 2 3 1nk 2nk   11 1 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 44% 1.30 2.10 W
JUST LIKE MAGIC 6 7 7 7   64 2 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 10.20  
SHOPLIFTER 5 5 43 5   21 3 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 3.70 S
TITLED LADY 9 2 3 3½   4 45 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 26% 2.80 3.20  
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 1 8 8 8   7 5 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 15.00 31.10  
FLAMAND 3 4 2nk 1nk   3 67 (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 7.50  
VARMLANDER 7 6 5 41   53 78 (sharp joe)PARKER L 119 4.50 9.30  
TAYLORS TAP 4 9 9 9   8 8 (gelner j)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 10.40  
NEUTRALIZE 8 1 6 6   9 913¾ (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 43.40  
 
FG-9   02/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:133 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGADIER GENERAL 6 1 11 1½ 12 12 1hd (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 10% 8.60 2.50 W
GUNTOWN 5 3 4 42 33 22 2hd (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 6.10  
CRUMP 9 2 21 2½ 22 32 32 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 65% 0.50 3.30 S
JEEPER 4 5 63 6 5 44 4 (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 7.50  
BRIGHT SPARK 1 8 85 95 75 5 54 (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 13.90  
COUSIN LARRY 8 6 53 53 6 6 68 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 4.00 2.60  
TRIGGER HAPPY 3 4 3 3 4 7 710¼ (habeeb donal)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00 28.30  
SETNA THE WISE 2 9 9 85 9 810½ 810¾ (barkley jas)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 29.50  
RICKY BOBBY 7 7 7 74 8 912½ 912¼ (schwandt emile)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 30.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.