Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 6.80
MVR-2   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-3   Win (11/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
MVR-4   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.00  
MVR-5   Win (1/8/2/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
MVR-6   Win (10/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
MVR-7   Win (8/10/11/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
MVR-8   Win (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $12.80  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENDIPITOUS 7 2 3 2nk   2nk 1 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 2.50 34% 1.90 6.40 W
TAMMY'S TOY 3 4 6 1nk   1nk 2 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 4.50 3.60  
THANKSDAD 2 7 4 4¾   32 3 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 4.10  
TEQUILA FLATS 6 5 5 6   6 4 (helmbrecht wil)ROSARIO L 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.10  
PLAYING BALL 4 3 1nk 3½   4 5 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
WHO CAN WIN 5 1 2nk 5¾   5 613 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 15.70  
DAVIS HAT 1 6 7 7   7 714¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 11% 8.10 16.20  
 
MVR-2   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAYWING 4 5 1½ 1½   12 1 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 41% 1.50 0.80 W
WELLMAN 5 4 32 31   32 2 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 4.00 P
CENTSOFWANDER 1 6 54 53   4 3 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 34% 2.00 7.50 S
CINDY'S STORM 3 3 2½ 2½   22 4 (ramos francisc)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 23.80  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 6 2 6 64   65 57 (londono j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 5.00  
ATLANTIC FIRESTORM 2 7 4 4   53 67 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 6.50  
SHARKS COVE 7 1 76 76   77 714¾ (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 124 20.00 34.90  
 
MVR-3   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS L J 6 1 22 1½   12 1 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 21% 3.70 1.10 W
JOES A ROCKIN 4 6 44 3   22 2 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 8.70  
CAPTAIN RILEY 3 8 9 9   4 3 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 52.80  
C K'S LUCKY DUCK 1 11 1111¼ 11   57 48 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 8.70  
THE MAN CAN 9 3 7 8   3 5 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 126 20.00 21.40  
10  ONE CRAZY RIDE 10 4 8 7   7 612½ (brown glenroy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00 45.40  
JUST CHESTER 7 9 6 5   6 715¼ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 81.10  
12  NAMBITI 11 5 5 4   88 817¼ (juarez l)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 35.20  
WEST LEONARD 2 10 10 10   10 918 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00 17% 4.90 4.20  
CADILLAC RIDE 5 2 12 2½   9 1024¼ (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 17.00  
THIS MAN CAN 8 7 34 6   1110¾ 1125¾ (gonzalez do)CORREA L 126 8.00 4.90  
SCR  HANSENATION               (juarez lo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-4   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 4 2 2½ 12   13 1 (veinot trudy)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 1.00  
SCRATCHOFF 1 5 3 22   23 2 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40 61% 0.60 1.60  
TONKAWA SPRINGS 7 4 5 4   35 3 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 8.80  
WICKED CHANCE 8 1 6 5   66 410¼ (bernardini p)DIAZ I 124 15.00 12% 7.60 14.60  
MO HEAT 5 8 7 6   4 510¼ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 33.20  
FIRST CROWNED 2 3 1½ 3   5 616¾ (sanchez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 7.70  
PERJURY 6 6 8 8   79 717¾ (cross r)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 19.80  
2B  TRAPPE THE GOLD 3 7 4 7   818 852¼ (sanchez jimenez)DIAZ R 124 5.00 7.70  
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.40    
 
MVR-5   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:151 1:421   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUVESAIDITALL 1 2 3 4 3 1½ 1hd (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 28% 2.50 2.50 W
PERFETTO 4 3 2 1nk 1nk 2½ 2hd (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 6.50  
11  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 8 8 89 7 5 32 3¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 2.60  
TIP SHEET 5 6 54 6 4 54 42 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 4.00 15% 5.70 2.40  
LUCKY JUNIOR 6 7 43 31 2nk 43 5 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 9.00  
IMTHEPRINCE 3 5 77 8 8 6 66 (radosevich just)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 26.20  
10  ALGORIX 7 4 6 5 7 7 7 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 7% 12.40 20.50  
PONT DU GARD 2 1 1 2nk 6 8 817½ (walker a)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 19.10  
SCR  GAGE HAS A GRAY               (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  KITCHI               (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  KRAMDEN               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA 9 1 1½ 12   1 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 21% 3.80 3.20 W
10  TURNING PAGES 10 2 43 34   45 2 (trevino steph)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.10 P
MUCHO PRIMO 6 5 2½ 22   2 3 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 4.00 4.50 S
COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 6 53 44   34 4 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 13.30  
THE PINK Z 4 4 3 57   5 58 (silva fernando)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 13% 6.70 7.80  
VICTORY DIVISION 8 7 8 6   610 6 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.50 9.90  
IMA BELIEVER 3 8 7 7   711 712½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 4.70  
DEXQUIRE 7 3 64 8   813 814¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 10.00 14.10  
ZAROSHA 1 10 9 9   914 915 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 35.40  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 5 9 1010¼ 1012¼   1017 1017½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 50.50  
 
MVR-7   01/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:131 1:413   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMIC TREASURE 7 2 2 22 21 1 15 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.50 46% 1.20 1.50 W
CHASING VINNY 5 7 3 34 34 35 25 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30 P
12  GET HAMMERED 11 4 1 12 11 2 3 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 2.60  
GEH SCHNELL 1 10 810¼ 7 6 45 4 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 50.20  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 6 9 1012¾ 1013½ 710½ 5 510¼ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00 22.70  
GOTSOMEMOJO 2 11 1116¾ 1117 1115¼ 1012½ 613½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 91.80  
DETERMINATOR 3 3 4 44 56 79 714¾ (buttigie)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
AMERICAN FLEET 8 8 911¾ 911 811½ 810 815¼ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 124 20.00 43.60  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 4 1 5 55 44 6 917 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 11.00  
10  GRANDGRAN 9 5 6 810½ 1012¼ 912 1020 (meyers shane)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 21% 3.80 6.50  
11  LEVANTO (ARG) 10 6 7 69 911¾ 1114½ 1126¼ (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 6% 15.80 28.30  
SCR  BIG FRANK               (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:141 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSHI Q 8 1 12 1 11 1½ 1¾ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 5.40  
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 2 4 45 43 42 3½ 2¾ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 5.00 3.00 P
MOBIL CHIC 4 3 33 3 31 4¾ 3 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 17% 4.80 4.20 S
LA ROSA 9 2 22 2 21 2½ 4 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 3.60  
ANGEL WINGS 3 9 6 56 54 6 5 (flores is)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 7 8 9 7 67 5 65 (vazquez iva)CORREA L 124 10.00 19.60  
SPICE ICE 6 7 88 9 7 7 710 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 16% 5.30 4.60  
STATE OF GRACE 1 5 5 67 810 8 814¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 39% 1.50 8.50  
OPHA MAY 5 6 7 8 910½ 9 917¾ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 20.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.