Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - November 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($185K) 3UP ALL PT-11:55
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:123 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSINESS MODEL 3 7 75 6 42 4 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 11% 7.90 9.59 W
B DAWK 5 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 1 (o'neill doug)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 15% 5.70 2.20 W
OPEN ROAD 7 6 3 3 3½ 3½ 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 38% 1.60 1.67 S
DROPPIN G'S 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 (antonuik jer)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 39.10  
ETHEREAL ROAD 2 4 6 75 7 54 5 (lukas wayne)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 4.20  
JUNGLE WARFARE 6 3 43 43 5 65 6 (romans dale)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 26.49  
SEARCH ENGINE 8 1 53 53 6 7 79 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 8% 12.30 6.66  
DOUBLE THUNDER 1 8 87 86 8 810½ 816 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 37.09  
SCR  MOHAAFETH               (trujillo elvis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
 
KEE-2   11/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT-12:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK FOREST 7 1 1nk 1½   1 1 (gutierrez faust)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 21% 3.80 7.65 W
KLASSY BRIDGETTE 6 11 5 4   2 2 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 25% 2.90 3.22 P
MAGICAL SONG 2 12 12 1111   57 3 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.34  
10  AFFIRMATIVE LADY 10 2 10 1010   46 44 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.68  
12  NO GUILT 12 6 11 1212   11 58 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00 46.14  
STRIKINGLY SPUN 9 8 9 9   7 6 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 33.37  
11  ADIVA 11 3 3½ 3   67 7 (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 11% 8.40 4.63  
LA PERLA NERA 5 9 8 65   10 8 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 28.55  
VIVID DREAMS 8 7 6 88   1210¾ 9 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.20 7.04  
STAY FABULOUS 1 4 2nk 2½   35 1010 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 32.51  
INDY AGAIN 3 10 7 75   8 1111 (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 35.49 DH
LOVIN' ON THE RUN 4 5 41 53   99 1111 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 21.08 DH
 
KEE-3   11/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MARSALIS 11 1 3½ 3.2   1½ 1½ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 1.20 40% 1.50 1.21 W
CALL ME FAST 1 9 5 5   31 2½ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 8.27  
10  SEAL BEACH 10 2 7 6   4 3½ (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 10.69  
PAGE ONE 7 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 4¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 12.32  
PRO OXIDANT 6 8 9 7   66 5 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 29% 2.50 3.68  
SPARTAN ARMY 3 4 4 4¾   54 6 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6% 16.40 6.27  
PAPA ROCKET 5 10 10 10   9 710¼ (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 58.50  
UNCAPTURED SKY 2 6 2nk 2nk   76 811 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 118 30.00 77.98  
MAC'S TIME 4 7 8 8   87 911¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 66.59  
APPEAL DENIED 8 5 6 9   1010 1021¾ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 5% 19.00 22.00  
LET MY PEOPLE GO 9 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 29.86  
 
KEE-4   11/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($160K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:094     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT MISCHIEF 1 7 3 3   1nk 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 11% 8.20 6.00 W
ARABIAN LION 7 5 22 21   2nk 2¾ (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 34% 2.00 0.71 P
10  OLD ALLIANCE 8 3 8 65   412¼ 318¼ (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 26.44  
WELAKA 5 10 1011¼ 1010½   614¾ 418½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 39.14  
12  PROTEGE 10 4 6 4   513¼ 520½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 21% 3.70 4.16  
11  TRES SOLES 9 1 5 7   715¾ 622¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 13% 7.00 8.98  
HUNTERTOWN 4 9 9 98   917¼ 724 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 ######  
JIN TONG 2 8 4 5   816¼ 828¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 72.11  
TAP IN FORMATION 6 2 12 11   312 928½ (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 15.06  
BAYTOWN LOVELY 3 6 7 8   1021¼ 1036¾ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 41.98  
SCR  PRINCELY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT               (chapman jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
 
KEE-5   11/04/2022 8580ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:491 1:142 1:393 2:051 2:294 2:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT 2 1 1 11 12 15 1 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 20% 4.00 5.25 W
HEYWOODS BEACH 4 33 32 3 22 25 2 (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 4.26  
BAL HARBOUR 6 2 2 21 32 36 3 (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 24% 3.20 6.90 S
RATTLE N ROLL 1 109 75 8 47 411 413¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 27% 2.70 1.83  
WIN THE DAY 9 9 107 9 610 614 516 (o'neill doug)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 5.27  
10  ALWAYS ABOVE 10 7 86 6 5 514 616½ (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 29.94  
SHERIFF BROWN 5 6 6 7 913 719 724½ (fincher w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 6% 15.90 12.59  
KAZAN (IRE) 7 87 9 1011¾ 1015 821 825¼ (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 30.00 45.07  
CLAYTNTHELIONHEART 8 44 4 5 812½ 921½ 930½ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 38.74  
CUPID'S CLAWS 3 5 5 4 712 1023 1033½ (casse mark)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.07  
 
KEE-6   11/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:213 :451 :563     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MAGIC (IRE) 5 12 12 11   5¾ 11 (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 8.00 6.92  
DRAMATISED (IRE) 4 11 9 7   1nk 21 (burke karl)MOORE L 119 15.00 12.96  
PRIVATE CREED 3 7 10 8   6 3 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 10.33  
PERSIAN FORCE (IRE) 6 9 52 41   2nk 4 (hannon rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00 5.69  
LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) 1 8 6 5   3½ 56 (haynes alice)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 15.00 30.69  
AMERICAN APPLE 8 3 31 1½   4¾ 6 (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 51.92  
SHARP AZA TACK 9 10 11 12   8 7 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 25.33  
LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 2 6 8 9   9 8 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 3.14  
11  SPEED BOAT BEACH 11 4 2nk 3½   7 910½ (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 50% 1.00 5.68  
OXYMORE 7 1 7 105   11 1011½ (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 6% 15.30 13.54  
12  THE PLATINUM QUEEN (IRE) 12 5 4 6   10 1117¼ (fahey richard)DOYLE HOLLIE 119 3.50 17% 4.80 6.66  
10  TYLER'S TRIBE 10 2 1nk 2½   1211¾ 1250¾ (martin timothy)JORDAN R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.06  
SCR  BUSHIDO               (banach d)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  MOUNSIEUR COCO               (gutierrez faus)GEROUX FLORENT 122 30.00    
SCR  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE)               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
 
KEE-7   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($2000K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:124 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER WHEEL 5 11 118 11 11 3 13 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 18% 4.60 6.50 W
13  LEAVE NO TRACE 12 5 21 21 2½ 1½ 23 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 25.81  
14  RAGING SEA 13 13 8 9 10 5 34 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 6.71  
SABRA TUFF 4 12 1310½ 12 12 10 4 (stewart dallas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 30.00 62.85  
YOU'RE MY GIRL 2 3 3 3 4 64 5 (terranova john )VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 8.17  
GRAND LOVE 9 2 11 11 1½ 2½ 66 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 21.67  
ATOMICALLY 8 6 5 5 5 4 7 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 6.37  
AND TELL ME NOLIES 3 9 9 7 62 86 87 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 8.00 23% 3.30 13.16  
ALMA ROSA 6 4 64 63 73 7 9 (lopez bernard)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 30.00 6% 16.10 92.60  
VEGAS MAGIC 1 1 129 13 136 119 1011 (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 54.49  
12  SHOPLIFTER 11 7 7 84 8 12 1113 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 93.45  
10  CHOCOLATE GELATO 10 8 4 4 31 9 1214 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.64  
CHOP CHOP 7 10 10 10 9 13 1314 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 7% 14.10 2.34  
SCR  AMERICAN ROCKETTE               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
 
KEE-8   11/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 2 F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:122 1:241   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MEDITATE (IRE) 10 8 10 10 8 11 1 (o'brien p)MOORE L 122 4.00 2.04  
PLEASANT PASSAGE 5 7 9 95 10 93 2 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 6.41  
CAIRO CONSORT 2 2 21 31 41 3 3 (squires nathan)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 11% 8.40 19.14 S
12  MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) 11 13 148 14 13 115 4 (fahey richard)LORDAN W 122 10.00 12.33  
FREE LOOK 4 3 53 5 6 7 55 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 16% 5.20 7.54  
LAST CALL (IRE) 3 12 11 12 11 6 6 (attard kevi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 20.00 20.16  
COMANCHE COUNTRY (IRE) 1 1 7 8 9 5 7 (d'amato phili)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 15.00 12% 7.20 18.84  
MANHATTAN JUNGLE (IRE) 8 4 31 21 2½ 21 8 (murphy amy)FRANCO MANUEL 122 30.00 80.22  
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 6 11 6 6 7 12 9 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 10% 8.80 13.47  
DELIGHT 9 5 4 42 31 4 10 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 18% 4.60 9.05  
14  BASIL MARTINI (IRE) 13 14 13 13 123 13 1111¾ (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 49.13  
15  BLING 14 9 8 74 5 103 1212¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 92.39  
SPIRIT GAL (FR) 7 6 11 11 1½ 83 1320½ (browne wp)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 18.94  
13  XIGERA 12 10 12 116 146 1410¾ 1423¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 6.91  
SCR  ALLURING ANGEL (GB)               (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  G LAURIE               (motion grah)BUICK T 122 12.00    
 
KEE-9   11/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($2000K) 2 C/G PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:114 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTE 4 2 4 53 54 2 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 21% 3.90 5.02 W
CAVE ROCK 3 3 1nk 1½ 1 1 2 (baffert bob)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 46% 1.20 0.47 P
10  NATIONAL TREASURE 10 7 54 4 2 3 3 (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 6% 16.00 8.00 S
BLAZING SEVENS 6 9 8 76 7 4 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 9.65  
CURLY JACK 9 5 3 31 4 66 512 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 55.73  
VERIFYING 5 8 6 6 65 7 612 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 16.93  
HURRICANE J 1 4 2nk 2½ 32 55 721½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 30.00 70.24  
CONGRUENT 2 6 1010 98 8 811 821¾ (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 122 30.00 92.05  
WOUND UP 7 1 7 87 1013 912½ 922 (mccarthy mich)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 30.00 ######  
LOST ARK 8 10 98 108 912½ 1021½ 10100 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 28.91  
 
KEE-10   11/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 2 C/G PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:13 1:243   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIA ROAD (IRE) 1 1 63 6 6 2½ 1hd (o'brien p)MOORE L 122 8.00 5.57  
SILVER KNOTT (GB) 4 14 9 95 105 3½ 2hd (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 3.00 13% 6.60 1.41 P
NAGIRROC 9 5 5 53 5 4¾ 3 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.87 S
12  MO STASH 12 8 2 2 2nk 1½ 43 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 51.88  
BATTLE OF NORMANDY 5 4 8 8 8 7 5 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 48.98  
14  GASLIGHT DANCER 14 11 7 74 7 93 6 (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 122 30.00 66.81  
ANDTHEWINNERIS 6 9 14 127 11 114 7 (catalano m)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 37% 1.70 8.21  
PACKS A WAHLOP 2 3 3 32 3 5 8 (mullins jeff)SMITH E 122 6.00 12% 7.00 5.46  
13  MAJOR DUDE 13 10 42 4 4 6 9 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 15.34  
I'M VERY BUSY 8 6 10 10 9 104 10 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 6.42  
10  WEBSLINGER 10 13 13 13 12 12 114 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 27.93  
REALLY GOOD 7 7 12 11 137 135 12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 30.00 10% 8.80 65.49  
11  RECKONING FORCE 11 12 11 14 148 147 13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 47.93  
CURLY LARRY AND MO 3 2 1 1 1nk 8 1411½ (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 59.46  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.