Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:114     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNWAY MAGIC 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1hd (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 14% 6.10 1.65 W
AMERICAN PURE 2 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 2hd (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 4.44  
LEBLON 5 3 5 53   3 3 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 20% 3.90 7.31 S
SOROS 6 6 31 31   44 4 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 29% 2.50 2.41  
READY PURSUIT 4 2 42 4   59 515¾ (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 25.34  
PRIMER DIMER 1 5 64 6   611 617¾ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 4.57  
SCR  BLUE KENTUCKY               (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
KEE-2   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:13     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARISTOCRACY 5 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 28% 2.60 2.77 W
HAROLD'S CLOUD 6 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 2hd (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 7.02 P
10  ONCE UPON A DREAM 10 2 4 3   33 3 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 35% 1.90 9.66 S
DARIO 9 4 10 8   5 42 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 24.28  
LEOLA 1 11 8 6   45 5 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 44.55  
11  FURTHER EVIDENCE 11 1 9 11   7 6 (robertson mclean)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 12.61  
NO EASY DAYS 3 6 3 44   8 7 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 2.43  
FIRST CLASS HARLOW 8 12 12 12   1011½ 8 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 42.38  
RATE CONFIRMATION 2 9 53 5   6 910½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11.84  
12  SOUTHERN CRUSH 12 10 11 10   9 1011 (barkley jason)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 44.49  
LUCKY'S SECRET 4 8 6 7   1112½ 1114 (desormeaux kei)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 13.67  
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 7 7 74 9   1216½ 1221¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 10.11  
SCR  ARROGANT RIDER               (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  BOUDIN               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  COAL BOSS               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
SCR  HINENI               (zito p)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREPAT 7 2 2nk 2nk   1 1 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 3.12  
O'CONNER SUNSET 1 7 1nk 1nk   2 2 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 44% 1.30 4.94 P
10  DOC BALLARD 9 9 813¼ 810¼   4 37 (lightner mary)LANERIE J 119 10.00 9.56  
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL 3 8 6 4   36 4 (jones larry)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 15.87  
ULUMALU 5 5 7 6   59 511½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 5.37  
ATTILA THE DUN 2 6 913¾ 912¾   714½ 618¼ (waltz brian)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 15% 5.50 54.44  
CHELONIAN 4 4 4 3   611 719¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 18% 4.70 2.63  
RIVER BOY 8 3 32 5   820½ 834 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.60  
MARTINI SHOT 6 1 5 7   922½ 940 (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 39.58  
SCR  HYPER SPEED               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
 
KEE-4   10/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:402   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANNA'S GIFT 2 1 1 13 12 12 1nk (miller f)COURT K 121 4.50 7.13  
TELLMEONASUNDAY 6 3 2 23 22 22 2nk (silva h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 20% 3.90 1.18 P
TILTINGATWINDMILLS 1 2 3 34 3 3 3 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 13% 6.80 3.89 S
MAGICAL PEAPOD 3 4 4 4 44 4 413 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 38% 1.60 3.26  
JOY OF TREASURE 4 5 55 55 58 511½ 515¾ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 13.84  
JULIAISON 7 6 6 78 712 614 616 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 33.99  
SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE 5 7 7 6 69 714 724 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 12.38  
SCR  MALIBU MARLEE               (king l)RIQUELME J 121 15.00    
SCR  MAOILIN               (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 7% 12.80    
 
KEE-5   10/23/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:113 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  STREET READY 12 9 1 11 11 1 1 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 6.51  
KING VEGA (GB) 4 3 6 74 6 32 2 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 8% 10.90 2.94 P
SPANISH KINGDOM 2 2 32 42 31 2 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 3.52  
VINTAGE PRINT 6 5 53 53 4 5 44 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 15.87  
10  DARK SHIFT (GB) 10 12 11 11 9 65 5 (murphy cono)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 1.80 27% 2.70 4.26  
SKYRO 1 1 2 21 21 4 6 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 15.00 11.70  
JAIS'S SOLITUDE 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 17.75  
PERFECT SPEIGHTY 5 4 9 9 11 99 8 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 54.75  
BE HERE 8 11 10 10 10 8 9 (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 121 20.00 36.05  
DECISION MAKER 3 8 12 12 12 1211 10 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 11.05  
11  NATURAL POWER (IRE) 11 10 8 6 7 10 1110 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 12% 7.30 36.01  
NEWSWORTHY 9 6 43 32 53 1110 1210¾ (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 20.53  
SCR  GLYNN COUNTY               (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
SCR  RUNNIN' RAY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SHADOW SPHINX               (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (falcone robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :48 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 11 4 2½ 1nk   1 15 (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 7.16  
10  ZED 8 3 42 32   3 25 (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 26% 2.90 3.00 P
SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 3 11 811 711   4 3 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 8% 12.00 1.48 S
12  BOLT FORTY FIVE 10 1 1½ 2nk   2 4 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 119 8.00 12% 7.40 7.84  
MORE THAN FIVE 5 7 710½ 811¼   7 514½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 9.25  
LET IT RIDE CLYDE 4 9 1013 1020¾   913¾ 616½ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00 68.55  
GREAT BARRIER 1 5 912½ 919¾   1013¾ 718 (ortiz a)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 35.28  
11  THE MOTTO 9 6 54 66   810¾ 820 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 44.43  
YACHT ROCK (IRE) 2 2 3 43   56 920¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 6% 15.80 14.85  
TIME THE MARKET 6 8 65 5   6 1020¾ (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 13.61  
GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR 7 10 1115 1129¾   1125¾ 1135 (faircloth aveor)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00 96.11  
SCR  CRAVENSWORTH               (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  PENNY'S PROSPECT               (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/23/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:132 1:391 2:05 2:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLE CITY TERROR 5 810½ 99 9 2 1 13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 17% 5.00 2.97 W
LUCK MONEY 2 5 55 55 3 2 23 (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00 19% 4.30 6.73 P
SISTER OTOOLE 6 7 7 8 6 3 35 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 6% 16.10 10.11 S
COASTANA 1 3 3 33 5 4 48 (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 15.94  
FLYING FORTRESS 4 2nk 1½ 22 42 6 59 (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 10% 8.60 11.38  
11  MIA MARTINA 10 1013 1010½ 10 8 77 610½ (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00 14.48  
CORE VALUES 3 911 8 76 7 8 712 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 26.05  
BESIDE HERSELF 7 1nk 2½ 12 1 5 812¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 23% 3.40 1.94  
STAND TALL 8 45 44 44 9 9 912¼ (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 7.98  
10  GO BIG BLUE NATION 9 67 66 65 10 10 1015¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 34.56  
SCR  QUEEN BOURBON               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/23/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:151 1:404   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE ORCHID 8 9 5 6 63 1nk 1hd (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 26% 2.90 3.02 W
BELLA RUNNER 9 6 6 53 4 2nk 2hd (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 7.01 P
MUSIC STREET 4 5 10 10 9 5 3 (beckman w)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 21.13  
TAKE CARE 6 4 4 42 31 3½ 4 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 13.24  
10  HIGH FASHION 10 8 7 7 7 4 54 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 16.28  
BIG CITY MOMMA 7 7 8 8 8 7 68 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 21% 3.70 6.75  
SILVERLEAF 1 1 3 3 52 8 710¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5.17  
PARK ON THE NILE 3 3 2 2½ 1nk 6 816¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.50 24% 3.20 2.63  
COASTAL CHARM 2 2 1 1½ 2nk 9 922 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 33.55  
MIDNIGHT BALLERINA 5 10 9 96 1010¾ 1018¾ 1039 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.49  
 
KEE-9   10/23/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:22 :451 :562     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUDY 7 7 7 6   2 1 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 26% 2.90 6.31 W
IAN GLASS 1 3 1nk 1nk   1 2 (vanden brit)ROCCO S 121 4.50 5% 18.70 14.95 P
10  EVAN SING 10 11 11 119   9 3 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 5% 18.00 3.11 S
AGENT PETER GRAVES 4 4 4 32   32 44 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.00 22% 3.50 6.12  
SANCTIFIED 2 9 10 8   6 54 (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 7.05  
CALL ME MIDNIGHT 8 10 9 9   76 66 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 14.29  
OF THE MOMENT 9 6 84 7   8 7 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 30.00 73.31  
11  CASANOVA KITTEN 11 5 3 5   4 8 (ginter raymo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 11.68  
PURE PANIC 5 12 12 1210   10 9 (cano munoz)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 42.71  
12  GALLANT GUY 12 8 5 4   11 10 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 41.30  
DREAMER'S DISEASE 3 2 2nk 2nk   5 1110 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 121 20.00 30.92  
LYRICAL POET 6 1 6 107   1210¾ 1211 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 19% 4.30 3.03  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.