Handicappers' Race Results

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Great Falls
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
GF-1   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIE ARKANSAS 1 2 2½ 1½   12 1 (lafferty duane)SMITH H 121 3.00 3.00  
AUTUMN TRIP 2 3 44 3   34 2 (schmitt bill)BENNETT TERRY 126 2.00 19% 4.20 2.90 P
RUN LIKE KONA 4 5 512 510½   510 37 (holds jr)WOOD DAKOTA 121 2.50 36% 1.80 1.30 S
ARLEN'S PROSPECT 5 1 1½ 2½   22 4 (birdrattler tim)GERVAIS M 126 8.00 16% 5.50 4.00  
MISSLUCIEJANE 3 4 3 4   47 510½ (mccracken memory)GAMEZ M 121 7.00 7.30  
SCR  DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE               (little bea)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 4.50    
 
GF-2   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTON 4 1 1 12   13 112¼ (hanson )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00 1.70  
BIG BAD BRIAN 6 5 44 34   23 212¼ (craig jame)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 4.50 28% 2.60 2.90 P
TOSS THE FLAG 2 4 3 44   33 314 (warren kayla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 4.00 S
MAGIC BRO 5 6 68 59   5 415¼ (mccracken memory)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 4.90  
CORKY 3 3 56 6   6 522¼ (schmitt bill)BENNETT TERRY 126 2.00 39% 1.50 5.20  
WATCH OUT 1 2 2 22   4 627¾ (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 7.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
 
GF-3   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI CURLY 7 2 2 2½   2nk 1 (craig r)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 7% 13.70 5.40 W
TCHULA SUNSET 6 1 1 1½   1nk 2 (lawrence jostin)GERVAIS M 126 10.00 7% 14.20 5.70 P
MR VIEW 5 7 7 56   46 35 (birdrattler harla)WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.60 55% 0.80 1.40 S
THREE POINT CASH 3 4 3 3   34 46 (birdrattler tim)SMITH H 126 3.50 3.20  
SONGBIRD EYDIE 4 5 67 68   611 518¾ (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 8.00 6.30  
DECADENT DIAMOND 1 3 45 44   59 626½ (laforge kirt)BENNETT TERRY 121 4.00 21.90  
DAISY CREEK 2 6 57 79   713 727½ (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 121 10.00 6.90  
 
GF-4   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:28         1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDDISH 2 3 1½ 13   16 18 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 34% 1.90 1.10 W
MONTANA JACK 5 1 5 5   26 28 (macdonald d)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 30% 2.40 2.50 P
SUPERSERG 6 2 31 35   39 314¾ (birdrattler tim)GERVAIS M 126 8.00 9% 9.70 5.30 S
DYLAN J. T. 1 5 6 611½   513 416 (lawrence jostin)BENNETT TERRY 126 7.00 13.50  
DARK LEOPARD 4 4 2½ 23   411 525 (schindler jeff)SMITH H 122 2.00 4.60  
HADLEYS CHARM 3 6 43 48   615 625¾ (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 121 4.50 8.90  
 
GF-5   07/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($3.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:291         1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREME LYRA 4 2 3 24   22 1¾ (schindler jeff)SMITH H 126 3.50 38% 1.60 1.40 W
FACTORIAL 5 1 13 14   12 2¾ (hanson )FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 3.00 20% 3.90 3.20 P
OOPPER WALLAH 2 5 4 412   34 3 (birdrattler harlan)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 15% 5.60 9.80 S
MOONLIGHT BLUE 6 6 610 614   5 4 (birdrattle)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 2.00 4.90  
PREFERRED PROSPECT 1 4 5 514   49 5 (holds jr)WOOD DAKOTA 126 6.00 5.70  
TICK TACK MO 3 3 23 35   6100 6100 (olson kenneth)BENNETT TERRY 126 4.00 4.00  
 
GF-6   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($3.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:054         1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN TIGER 1 4 32 3   2½ 1¾ (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 7.00 17% 5.00 3.30 W
FANTASTRY (BRZ) 4 3 1nk 12   1½ 2¾ (lafferty duane)SMITH H 126 1.20 46% 1.20 3.60 P
CARSON'S FIREBALL 5 5 59 4   32 3 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 5.00 4.20 S
AFLEETASHA 3 2 45 5   42 4 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 4.00 5.80  
HAVE A LIL PEPPER 2 6 613 614½   617 514¾ (birdrattler harla)GERVAIS M 126 10.00 11% 8.30 3.40  
MINIMUM NOISE 6 1 2nk 22   512 616½ (mccracken memory)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 3.00  
 
GF-8   07/16/2022 3465ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:044         1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABRAA JABRAA 1 1 1½ 13   15 1 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 4.50 16% 5.10 2.80 W
INGLENOOK 4 3 32 35   36 2 (pyle dylan)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00 5.90 P
JADED TIGER 6 2 2½ 23   25 310¼ (smith jackie)GAMEZ M 126 2.50 58% 0.70 1.80 S
UNLAWFUL ASSEMBLY 2 5 55 69   58 410½ (lafferty duane)SMITH H 126 6.00 7.20  
XINGFU 5 4 66 58   48 511 (crooked dale)GERVAIS M 126 15.00 4.50  
SUNRISE IN THE BAR 3 6 43 46   613 618 (dennis cli)BIRDRATTLER JOSEPH 126 3.00 4.00  
SCR  FOREST SONG               (schmitt bill)BENNETT TERRY 126 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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