Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(7/2/5/1)-(7/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/1)-(7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/1)-(7/8/5)-(2/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/5)-(2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(2/4/6/5)-(1/6/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/5)-(1/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/5)-(1/6/3/7)-(5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/7)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/7)-(5/2/4)-(6/7/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/8/4)-(5/2/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/7/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/7/9/4)-(5/9/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/9/4)-(6/7/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/9/4)-(6/7/9/4)-(6/7/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/9/4)-(5/9/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9/4)-(5/9/3/4)-(4/9/5/10/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/4)-(5/9/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/4)-(5/9/3/4/8)-(5/9/3/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/3/4)-(4/9/5/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/9/5/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/10/1)-(4/9/5/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/10/1)-(4/9/5/10/1)-(4/9/5/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTERWORK Apr16 Mar27 Mar14 Feb14 Jan09 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 126 1.80    
MO JOKE Apr23 Apr16 Mar13 Feb14 Jan08 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
THANK YA PETE Apr02 Mar04 Jan21 Dec06 Oct25 (cromer lesl)EBOW III 117 2.00 49% 1.00    
MCHALE Apr18 Mar28 Feb28 Dec13 Nov22 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
BROTHER CONWAY Apr26 Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 Jan03 (jones michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  WILEY WILLARD Apr23 Apr09 Feb11 Jan09 Dec13 (brown w)STOKES J 124 2.50    
 
CT-2   05/15/2026 2970ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARDLY EVER BETTER May02 Apr17 Mar13 Feb25 Feb14 (boykins kevin)STOKES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
I'M NOT CATTY Apr23 Mar21 Mar06 Jan23   (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
TITANIO Apr11 Apr03 Mar06 Feb20 Jan23 (cruz jaime)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00    
THIS IS THE LIFE Apr11 Mar13 Jan23 Jan03 Nov28 (jones michae)LEWIS M 120 12.00    
DADSNUMBRONEHELPR Feb06 Dec04 Nov06 Oct09 Sep11 (garber o)DAVIS A 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER May07 Apr18 Mar05 Feb11 Jan08 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
FORTUNATE SON Apr24 Apr10 Mar26 Feb12 Feb05 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 126 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
CT-3   05/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEAR DARK Apr03 Mar12 Feb20 Jan07 Dec06 (payne )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
JUDY G Apr24 Mar12 Feb27 Feb04 Dec07 (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
SCR  FETCHMYDIAMONDS May06 Mar21 Apr23     (cross r)CULLUM W 118 8.00    
JUSTICE YOU SAY Apr30 Apr24 Apr02 Mar20 Feb20 (siculietano d)RIVERA JAVIER 126 15.00    
SPERRY CHALET Apr24 Apr11 Mar21 Feb26 Feb14 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 126 8.00 5% 18.00    
OUT OF MIND (BRZ) Apr24 Apr16 Mar25 Mar04   (jones mich)SANTAELLA MOISES 116 15.00    
STARSHIP POLARIS Apr24 Apr03 Mar21 Jan11 Dec19 (joy kev)RASPALDO JAHNXANDER 119 1.00 57% 0.80    
TURKISH TEA Apr24         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
CT-4   05/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDICULOUS Apr25 Apr11 Apr02 Mar18 Feb28 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
ABSOLUTE GRIT Apr26 Mar12 Feb01 Jan05 Dec03 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  NOLA BOSS May09 Apr16 Apr02 Mar04 Feb04 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 126 3.00    
MACRON Apr25 Apr03 Mar14 Feb20 Feb13 (jones michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
MAX FORWARD SPEED Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 Feb11 Dec29 (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOTSKARI May02 Apr25 Apr03 Mar11 Feb13 (brown ronne)EBOW III 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
MANOLITO Mar18 Mar03 Feb05 Nov20 Nov06 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
LARZ May02 Apr16 Mar18 Feb26 Feb05 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 124 6.00    
 
CT-5   05/15/2026 2970ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMIT UP Apr28 Mar13 Feb18 Feb11 Feb01 (englehart je)LEWIS M 126 1.60 31% 2.20    
SUTTON VALLEY Dec04 Sep13 Aug16 Apr23 Mar06 (venham l)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
HEAVEN'S GOT FIRE Apr11 Mar12 Feb04 Jan10 Dec13 (straughn e)STOKES J 126 20.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  SWIFT TAP Apr11 Feb28 Jan10 Dec05 Nov13 (hanagan)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 10.00    
SCR  OPTIMISTIC NATE May04 Apr23 Mar18 Feb26 Jan23 (shanley tim)EBOW III 119 8.00    
SHEA D WORLD May02 Apr11 Apr04 Mar12 Feb25 (king adam)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 1.80 25% 3.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Apr25 Apr04 Feb04 Jan10 Nov15 (caison l)DIAZ Y 114 20.00 6% 14.70    
TAKE YOUR TIME Apr17 Mar18 Feb14 Jan23 Nov29 (hanagan)RASPALDO JAHNXANDER 119 15.00    
JAMES GANG Apr23 Nov24 Oct20 Oct04 Sep02 (lucas )RIOS-CONDE JR 124 15.00    
SCR  BULL RIDER Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Nov01 Oct16 (barahona isaac)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
 
CT-6   05/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($34.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. DUMBLEDORE Dec03 Nov05 Oct23 Sep25 Aug07 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 126 12.00    
SPOTAFREEONE Jan17 Nov29 Oct11 Jul19 Jul03 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  GO GO JELLY ROLL Apr23 Apr11 Mar28 Feb28 Feb07 (haynes ernes)LEWIS M 122 10.00    
W V LAD Aug14 Jul17 Jun05 May15 Apr26 (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
RAY OF SUNSHINE Apr24 Apr02 Mar11 Nov05 Oct25 (murdock st)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  POWERED BY LOVE Apr24 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan02 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 15.00    
CAFFEINENNICOTINE Apr24 Apr10 Mar11 Feb18 Dec03 (meehan)RIOS-CONDE JR 126 15.00    
ZACHAMUNDO Apr24 Apr02 Feb18 Dec03 Nov20 (runco jeff )EBOW III 119 3.50    
MANNY TOO Apr24 Apr10 Jul19 Jun21 May30 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 126 5.00    
 
CT-7   05/15/2026 5610ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALKLESSWORKMORE May08 Apr24 Apr11 Mar19 Feb27 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00    
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan03 (clatterbuck fre)DIAZ Y 112 30.00    
YOUTHFUL ENERGY Apr25 Feb28 Feb05 Dec11 Apr03 (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
DIRECT APPEAL Apr24 Apr02 Mar13 Feb20 Feb05 (clatterbuck )LEWIS M 122 12.00 5% 18.90    
EMIRATES HONOR Apr30 Mar20 Feb06 Jan14 Dec10 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 122 20.00    
INDY MAGIC Apr24 Feb20 Nov16 Oct18 Aug16 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
ITALIAN SYMPHONY Apr24 Apr02 Mar13 Feb19 Dec19 (jones michae)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
SHALLUS Apr13 Apr03 Mar12 Feb28 Jan17 (lake scot)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00    
FLYIN MAYAN Apr24 Mar25 Mar11 Feb05 Jan16 (runco jeff )EBOW III 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  BOLD ADVANCE Apr05 Mar05 Feb07 Dec06 Nov28 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($34.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO'O LIO May07 Feb16 Jan27 Oct31 Oct03 (lane j)DIAZ Y 110 15.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC APPEAL Apr03 Mar13 Feb05     (schottr)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00    
MAGIC MOON SPELL Apr03 Mar21 Jan09 Dec10 Nov21 (williams l)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 10% 9.50    
FOREVER HUSTLIN Apr16 Mar25 Mar04 Jan21 Aug01 (jackson ang)EBOW III 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
BELLA ITALIA Apr03 Mar21 Aug02     (russell b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
GOGO'S MOJO Apr17 Mar25 Mar04 Feb04   (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 118 15.00    
ELUSIVE SIONNA Apr19 Mar20 Mar01 Jan16 Sep25 (viands stace)LEWIS M 120 12.00    
LANGLEYSWATERFALL Apr03 Mar13 Feb05 Jan07 Dec10 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00    
MISS QUEUE May07 Apr17 Mar27 Mar11 Feb11 (joy kev)RASPALDO JAHNXANDER 113 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  ONE HIT WONDER Apr25 Apr03 Dec26 Oct21 Oct03 (gillespi)DAVIS A 116 15.00    
11  GOLD DART Sep12 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 May23 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00    
 
CT-9   05/15/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOST OF ALCINA Apr17 Feb19 Jan23 Nov19 Oct18 (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ADDY MAE Apr17 Feb19 Jan22 Dec11 Nov19 (shanley mark)CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00    
SCR  JUBA'S TOPAZ Apr10 Mar06 Feb19 Jan23 Dec11 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
MOONLIGHT MISTRESS May01 Apr17 Apr10 Mar20 Mar04 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
MOON ROX Apr17 Feb26 Jan08 Dec05 Oct29 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 4.00 12% 7.30    
BUTTERFLY EFFECT Apr17 Mar20 Mar04 Feb19 Jan22 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 124 20.00    
MODEST KAY Apr24 Apr16 Mar27 Mar20 Feb26 (figueroa )BOCACHICA J 124 10.00    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE May01 Mar27 Feb06 Jan08 Dec05 (jones michae)LEWIS M 126 3.50    
SARONIC BAY Apr17 Apr03 Mar20 Feb06 Jan08 (adorno )RASPALDO JAHNXANDER 117 6.00 26% 2.90    
10  TINA'S BACK Apr17 Apr10 Mar04 Feb06 Jan22 (lucas antho)EBOW III 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.