Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 13, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/10/6/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/10/6/2/3)-(4/10/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/2/4)-(3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/8/3)-(1/2/4/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3/2)-(6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/3/5)-(7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(7/4/3)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/11/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/11/3/5)-(7/4/11/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(5/2/4)-(6/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/3/4)-(4/2/1/9/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/2/1/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/2/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/9/7)-(4/2/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/9/7)-(4/2/1/9/7)-(4/2/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/13/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUO Apr10 Apr02 Mar03 Feb05 Dec20 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
2  DIXIE'S MEMORY Nov03 Oct09 Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROGUES A PLOTTING Apr21 Apr02 Mar16 Feb09 Nov20 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 6.00 ★    
4  TYSON'S LIL' STAR Apr21 Sep03 Aug12 Jun21   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 65% 0.50    
5  LUCKY'S PRIZE Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Feb05 Jan14 (baird michae)DIAZ I 121 8.00    
6  PROFESSOR NICK Apr09 Mar25 Mar10 Feb04 Jan22 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  SADIE'S GHOST Oct25 Oct09 Sep15 Aug29 May14 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
8  RUN VINICIUS Apr23 Oct08 Aug28 Aug12 Jun20 (genoves)PILARES P 119 12.00    
9  JACOBI Apr21 Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 Feb05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 30.00    
10  SWAYBACK MOBIL Nov18 Nov03 Oct09 Sep25 Sep01 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   05/13/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG DADDY HANK Apr28 Apr02 Oct23 Oct06   (flores chr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  KETTLE COALMINE Apr28 Apr02 Mar18 Mar02 Feb09 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
3  BOLD WINDSOR Apr28 Mar19 Feb24 Oct06   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 ★    
  (by BOLD RED out of HELL'S A POPPIN by SLAM MY HEART)
4  WORTHY OF IT ALL Apr28 Apr02       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
5  BAD BOY ROY Nov20 Oct22 Oct01     (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 30.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MISTIE ROYALE by MIZZEN MAST)
6  MAYBETODAY Apr02         (erdel john)KEISER CHELSEY 123 15.00    
  (by GRIZZLY out of VENNILOPE PITSTOP by HANSEN)
7  RED OHIO BRED Apr02 Mar18 Feb24 Feb09 Dec23 (dacosta jaso)INNIS J 119 30.00    
  (by BOTSWANA TAPS out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
8  BASOVAK STAR Apr28         (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00 ★    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP LISA by INCLUDE)
9  SILVER B B Apr28 Apr02 Mar18 Mar02 Feb09 (richards steph)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of VICTORIANA ROSE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
10  MY PAISAN Feb24 Feb09 Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 (casalinov)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
11  MARKAWAY Apr28 Apr02 Mar18 Feb24   (tumblin kristina)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
  (by FARMA WAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
TDN-3   05/13/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLLIE'S FOLLY Apr27 Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 Jan21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.80    
2  HITE Apr27 Apr10 Feb05 Jan06 Dec04 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ILIKETHAT Apr27 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 67% 0.50    
4  AINT NO BANDLEADER Mar23 Jan15 Dec03 Nov07 Sep22 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
5  ORVILLE B Apr27 Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 Feb05 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
6  NAMBITI Apr03 Mar27 Oct07 Sep16 Aug29 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-4   05/13/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Mar25 Mar04 Jan13 Nov07 Oct07 (zielinski ri)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
2  BLAZING TONY Apr03 Mar06 Feb12 Feb03 Jan15 (gonzalez rica)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50    
3  THE PINK Z Apr20 Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 Feb04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  SAMMY'S SMILE Nov11 Oct27 Sep30 Aug12 Jul01 (wo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
5  DERBY INCLUDED Apr28 Apr10 Mar12 Feb05 Jan13 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  RECKLESS L J Dec24 Nov13 Oct29 Oct03 Sep22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-5   05/13/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL APPEAL Apr28 Apr10 Apr02     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of ADDED DELIGHT by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  JARARACUSSU Apr28 Apr02       (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 30.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of WHISPER VICTOR by STATELY VICTOR)
3  CRICKLEWOOD Mar18 Feb24 Oct01     (sweeting cra)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of ROSETTA GRAY by EQUALITY (GB))
4  H F S MEMORIES Apr28 Apr02 Mar18 Feb24 Feb09 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by FORT LARNED out of H. F. CARMEL by REVOLUTIONARY)
5  RIVERS RUN FAST Nov25 Nov07 Oct23 Oct06 Sep17 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 12.00 ★    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGEL SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  LOWELLS LEGACY Apr28 Apr02 Mar16 Feb24 Feb09 (fletcher jef)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SLIPPERY by LIAISON)
7  DR INSPIRED         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of DR. POLLY by OFFLEE WILD)
8  LUCY'S FIRST SONG Apr28 Apr02 Mar02 Oct06 Aug29 (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of EVERYBODYLUVSLUCY by DOMINUS)
9  HARPERS HOT WIRE Apr28         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 30.00    
  (by SNAG out of RIFIFI by MAGNA GRADUATE)
10  LUCKY KATER Apr28 Mar17 Feb24 Jan12 Nov18 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHOW CAT by OXBOW)
11  RIVERS OF WEALTH Apr28 Mar18 Feb24 Feb09 Dec23 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of CALLMEBELLA by PALACE MALICE)
 
TDN-6   05/13/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARSON N SPENCE Apr10 Mar06 Feb05 Jan05 Dec03 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 12.00    
2  WETZEL Apr22 Mar06 Feb12 Jan13 Dec19 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  C V DYNAMIC May02 Apr10 Mar06 Feb20 Feb04 (calde)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 5.00    
4  PAINT THE TOWN Apr22 Apr02 Mar10 Feb20 Feb12 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  OAKS HONEY Apr22 Feb05 Jan05 Dec08 Nov20 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  RELISH THE RIDE May02 Apr22 Mar25 Mar06 Feb12 (johnson )SKERRETT JEFFERSON 114 3.50    
 
TDN-7   05/13/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATHA'S SONG Sep03 Aug11 Jul08 May19 Nov25 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
2  GOOSEBUMPS Apr23 Jan02 Nov12 Oct15 Aug29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
3  MISS ELECKTRA Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 Mar02 Feb17 (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 19% 4.20    
4  COMPUTE THIS Apr23 Feb24 Jan22 Dec23 Dec08 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  JEMEL Oct21 Oct13 Sep23 Sep01 Aug21 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00    
6  ECHO VALLEY Apr06 Mar19 Feb24 Nov10 Oct25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 1.60 57% 0.80    
 
TDN-8   05/13/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAYHEM Apr27 Nov13 Sep30 Sep09 Jul17 (radosev)RADOSEVICH J 114 5.00 7% 12.60    
2  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY May28 May07 Apr03 Mar18 Mar03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 8% 11.10    
3  MERGER Apr22 Oct10 Sep18 Aug25 Aug07 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 15.00    
4  RED CHILI PEPPER Apr22 Sep30 Aug11 Jul17 Jun10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 61% 0.60    
5  NATIONAL STORY Apr23 Mar23 Feb17 Feb04 Dec18 (wolochuk)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
6  SWEET LEMON DROP Apr22 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 (juarez-mend)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 119 4.50    
7  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Mar13 Mar04 Feb09 Jan21 Jan06 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARQUITOS M May04 Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 Jul09 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
9  JOHN FITZGERALD Nov13 Oct10 Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.