Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - May 11, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (9/7/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/5/3)-(9/7/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/5/3)-(9/7/4/5/3)-(9/7/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/4/5/3)-(8/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4/5/3)-(8/5/1)-(1/2/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-2   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/3/4/1)-(8/5/3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1)-(1/2/4)-(7/9/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(7/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(7/9/3)-(6/7/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/3)-(7/9/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/3)-(7/9/4/3)-(7/9/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(8/6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3)-(8/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/3)-(8/6/1/2)-(3/2/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-6   WIN (8/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/2)-(3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/2)-(3/2/1/5)-(2/6/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(2/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYKEON Apr21 Apr10 Mar24 Mar02 Feb18 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00    
SUNSET TOWN Apr21 Apr07 Mar19 Mar11 Feb23 (schuster robin)FELICIANO R 119 20.00    
REINVEST Apr21 Apr09 Mar23 Mar04 Feb12 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00 6% 15.20    
TRICKY TIGER Apr21 Apr09 Mar11 Feb26 Feb19 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
JOHN'S ROCK May02 Apr07 Mar12 Feb23 Jan22 (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7% 14.00    
COLONEL VARGO Apr21 Apr10 Mar19 Mar12 Feb23 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
DR SCHUSTER Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 Feb16 Feb05 (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 19% 4.40    
HOT GUNNER Apr19 Apr02 Mar13 Feb14 Nov15 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Mar05 Feb16 Dec23 Nov26 Nov05 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-2   05/11/2026 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANDALAY SKY Apr20 Mar18 Oct20 Oct02   (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKING LADY Apr20 Apr09 Mar16 Mar02 Nov10 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 115 15.00    
STACY ELLEN Mar30 Feb19 Feb04 Jan05 Dec19 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 117 4.00    
MISS LORA ANN Nov24 Nov03 Oct09 Sep27 Sep10 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 4.50    
KERKYRA Apr20 Mar31 Mar16 Sep27 Sep19 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 115 3.50 13% 6.40    
VICTORIA COMMAND Jul05 Jun24 May29 May12 Apr09 (genoves)PILARES P 119 15.00    
LIZZY'S DREAM Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 Jun21 Jun06 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
SPUN IN DOMINUS Mar19 Oct09 Sep10 Aug25   (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 60% 0.70    
HELLO EVELYN Apr20 Mar30 Dec29 Dec08 Nov20 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   05/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREEZY MONEY Mar17 Feb26 Feb19 Jan07 Dec09 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
MASTER OF THE NITE Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Dec18 Nov17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
BREWING Apr09 Apr01 Mar16 Feb25 Jan15 (calde)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50    
SECRET BAGENT MAN Apr28 Apr08 Mar31 Mar07 Jan23 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PANTHERA'S FATE Apr03 Mar27 Mar10 Feb26 Dec18 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 10.00    
DREAM KNIGHT Apr21 Apr09 Mar10 Feb20 Feb03 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-4   05/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM SEARCH Apr26 Feb08 Dec24 Dec06   (carrington dal)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
  (by MYSTERY STORM out of BOLD INTRUSION by INTRUSION)
BEACHGLASS Apr22 Apr01 Feb20     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of OCEAN PRINCESS by INDIAN OCEAN)
RAVISHING RUBY Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Feb20 Jan21 (juarez lo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DONTHELUMBERTRADER out of SMILES A LOT by DOONESBURY)
ELECTRIC EDEN Apr22 Apr01 Oct15 Sep04 Aug25 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of EDEN by CURLIN)
SEYVAL BLANC Apr22 Apr01 Oct15 Sep22 Aug06 (rone mike)ROSENDO J 119 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
INSTANT WINNER Apr01 Feb20 Jan21 Jan06   (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
  (by CIMARRON SECRET out of GAMBLER'S FAITH by PROSPECTORS GAMBLE)
KIDDIE COCKTAIL Dec22 Nov19 Oct23 Oct02 Aug06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
SCR  GOLDEN IS THY FAME         (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR GOLDEN SNITCH by PUT IT BACK)
DOLLAR DANCE Apr01 Mar18 Mar02 Feb03 Dec20 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by BROKEN VOW (IRE) out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
 
TDN-5   05/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHILOH Apr17 Apr05 Mar26 Mar12 Jan24 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
MIMA PRINCESS May02 Apr14 Nov18 Oct01 Jul23 (bouali wa)MARTINEZ L 119 20.00    
PINCARA Mar23 Mar06 Feb16 Dec22 Nov11 (campbe)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TALE OF LEMONBELLE Apr20 Apr09 Mar23 Mar05 Feb12 (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 110 6.00    
HONDURAS PASSION Apr12 Mar27 Feb21 Jan01 Dec14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
TAQDEER Apr22 Mar27 Feb25 Feb14 Jan03 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
NAME DROPPER Apr20 Aug26 Jun18     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 25% 3.00    
HONOR AND OBAY Apr09 Mar26 Mar09 Feb23 Jan15 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 5% 17.30    
 
TDN-6   05/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRATEGIC PROFILE Oct25 Aug22       (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 115 8.00 11% 8.20    
UNBRIDLED O'BRIEN Apr21 Apr02 Feb26 Feb01 Dec09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
LEAVETHENINETYNINE Apr21 Apr02 Dec09 Nov24 Nov06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.00    
WORKSTATION Apr21 Apr06 Mar16 Aug14 Jul18 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 12.00    
WISLEY Apr21 Dec24 Nov24 Nov06 Oct23 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 115 6.00    
BISCUITS 'N GRAVY Apr21 Sep18 Aug26 Aug05 Jul03 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 3.00 25% 3.10    
LITTLE SHANCE Apr21 Apr09 Jan02 May29 Apr22 (reed eric )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50    
SECRET CALLER Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb17 Feb03 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 114 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
TDN-7   05/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIESHA Apr23 Apr06 Mar12 Feb20 Nov12 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50 15% 5.90    
LO BUG Apr20 Aug29 Jun21 Jun06 May08 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
BELLE BOTTOMS Apr22 Nov24 Oct29 Oct02 Aug21 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
ANOTHERHOPE Apr20 Jan23 Dec27 Dec07 Nov16 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Apr21 Mar25 Feb24 Dec16 Dec01 (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
KISSIN CASH Apr09 Mar07 Feb20 Dec28 Dec20 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
SUSHI Q Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May27 May13 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
OH GLORIOUS DAY Apr09 Mar25 Mar05 Jan02 Dec02 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   05/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL WINSTON Apr20 Mar27 Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 (schuster rob)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
QUIET AMIGO Apr29 Apr20 Apr10 Mar09 Jan21 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.00 36% 1.70    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Apr28 Apr03 Mar12 Jan21 Jan05 (johnson )SKERRETT JEFFERSON 114 3.00    
PECKS NOT BAD Apr20 Oct30 Oct01 Sep09 Aug06 (jackson r)PARKER L 119 8.00 8% 10.90    
PRIVATE DRIVE Apr03 Mar27 Mar12 Feb04 Jan21 (winters miche)FUENTES ERICK 114 4.50    
WEEKEND BUZZ Apr20 Apr03 Feb23 Feb04 Oct07 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
STONE COLD CAT Apr20 Apr03 Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 (calde)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
POWERFUL PHIL Apr20 Mar27 Mar06 Feb09 Jan06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.