Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - April 27, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/1/3)-(5/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/3/1)-(4/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(1/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(1/3/5)-(5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(5/1)-(6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(6/5/1)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   04/27/2026 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb12 Dec11 (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 114 6.00 8% 12.20    
MEXITEXAFORNIA Mar31 Mar13 Feb25 Dec01 Nov19 (crumley jevo)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00    
MORE LOVE Mar19 Feb25 Feb18 Jan22 Jan13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
MAKING ME CRAZY Mar18 Feb26 Feb03 Dec19 Nov18 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
JENNY'S BEIGNET Mar31 Mar06 Feb25 Dec19 Dec08 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
FLORIDA GATOR Apr06 Mar19 Mar03 Jan13 Dec18 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 2.00    
 
TDN-2   04/27/2026 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILLUMINATE (IRE) Dec08 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
MISS ELECKTRA Apr02 Mar19 Mar02 Feb17 Jul18 (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 1.80 55% 0.80    
SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Oct21 Sep24 Jul14 Jun02 May12 (jackson )SKERRETT JEFFERSON 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
KANT ELOPE Mar09 Jul02 Feb10 Dec27 Feb23 (maker j)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
SUNNY LION Apr08 Mar17 Feb17 Feb02 Jan13 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.00    
MY KINDA PARTY Apr08 Nov24 Nov12 Oct13 Sep01 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-3   04/27/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Mar31 Mar05 Feb20 Feb03 Jan15 (urieta johan)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
LADY GIULIANA Mar26 Mar11 Mar02 Feb16 Dec02 (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 114 8.00    
SACRED CONNECTION Mar06 Feb03 Jan14 Jan02 Dec17 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 1.40 26% 2.80    
HERE KITTY KITTY Apr20 Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 Feb20 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Mar30 Mar13 Mar05 Feb03 Jan15 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
TDN-4   04/27/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLABACK Dec08 Oct27 Oct04 Sep01 Aug08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
OLYMPIC WINGS Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 Jan21 Dec22 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
MOBIL MEMORY Mar23 Feb09 Jan05 Dec22 Oct27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
NO NAPPING Apr06 Mar19 Mar09 Feb19 Jan13 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 1.80 46% 1.20    
LADY LOVES MONEY Apr08 Mar24 Feb20 Jan22 Jan13 (crumley jevon)PARKER L 123 3.50    
HERE COMES DOLLY Mar24 Feb20 Feb05 May28 May07 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 121 5.00    
 
TDN-5   04/27/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELOPEDATTHEDERBY Mar31 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12 Dec09 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
PRINCESS EM Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 Jan12 Dec20 (yoder sus)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00    
MOBIL DREAM STAR Mar31 Mar16 Feb26 Feb03 Jan12 (st dav)HALDAR J 119 3.00 15% 5.90    
COWGIRLS HUMOR Jan12 Dec09 Nov17 Nov03 Oct21 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
EBONY'S SECRET Mar31 Mar16 Feb26 Feb03 Dec24 (gilbert julia)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
OVER THE FALLS Oct03 Sep16 Sep02 May27 May08 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
 
TDN-6   04/27/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN GOAL Mar26 Mar09 Feb11 Jan10 Nov25 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
GRAYDARIA Mar25 Feb11 Jan10 Dec17 Nov20 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 1.20    
BREEZE THE BAYOU Mar31 Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 Feb01 (skerret)RADOSEVICH J 114 3.50    
LOONY Apr03 Mar09 Feb17 Feb02 Jan21 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
QUARANTINO Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Feb05 Dec20 (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 116 1.80 71% 0.40    
 
TDN-7   04/27/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CHIPS Jan12 Nov13 Oct28 Oct10 Sep22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAY MAYHEM Nov13 Sep30 Sep09 Jul17 Jun21 (radosev)RADOSEVICH J 114 5.00    
NEED TO KNOW BASIS Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 Feb01 Dec20 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 121 2.00    
KINDERHOOK Mar30 Mar04 Feb01 Jan12 Dec22 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
K KID Nov24 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
RUFFIN Apr01 Dec22 Dec04 Nov03 Sep12 (radosevich j)HALDAR J 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-8   04/27/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL HISTORY Oct07 Sep16 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 10% 8.50    
ILIKETHAT Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 Jan15 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
NAMBITI Apr03 Mar27 Oct07 Sep16 Aug29 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00 10% 8.80    
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Apr03 Mar12 Feb23 Jan05 Dec08 (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
HITE Apr10 Feb05 Jan06 Dec04 Nov11 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
ORVILLE B Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 Feb05 Jan21 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
OLLIE'S FOLLY Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 Jan21 Dec04 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.