Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - March 11, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/4/5)-(4/7/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/7/6/2)-(2/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/2)-(2/1/6)-(4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/6/5)-(7/1/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(7/1/2/4)-(2/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(2/6/3)-(10/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(10/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/7)-(10/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/4/7)-(10/4/7)-(10/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/11/2026 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALAVERA Feb19 Jan08 Dec13 Dec04 Nov13 (hess jacob )EBOW III 115 4.50    
SWEET MANHATTAN Feb18 Feb04 Jan02 Dec12 Nov14 (gillespie )ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 1.00    
CAMELIA ROD Feb19 Jan16 Jan02 Nov13 Oct23 (barton a)DAVIS A 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
GIRL ZERO Dec04 Nov21 Oct24 Aug08 Jul18 (racane)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 15.00 7% 12.70    
OUTFORARIP Feb26 Feb19 Feb05 Nov14 Oct25 (knudsen )ARROYO NOMAR 114 6.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  IRISH DELIGHT Feb04 Jan08 Dec04 Nov07 Oct24 (davis russel)DIAZ JR 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   03/11/2026 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIERRA SANTA Feb20 Jan09 Dec27 Dec07 Nov15 (libert)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.40    
RUNNING RIO Feb18 Feb06 Jan07 Dec10 Nov28 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
LONG LEGS LOUISE Feb27 Nov07 Sep27 Sep12 Aug09 (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
CENTIMORGAN Jan23 Jan02 Dec03 Oct17 Sep20 (viands sta)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 3.00 9% 9.80    
ARRIVEDERCCI Feb18 Feb06 Jan07 Dec03 Oct10 (shanley )ARROYO NOMAR 114 8.00 5% 18.20    
SWAN Feb06 Jan07 Dec04 Nov14 Oct09 (gillespi)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
 
CT-3   03/11/2026 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S ROCK STAR Feb14         (simoff and)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
SPICEY TICEY Jan18 Dec26       (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROMANGE Feb20 Feb07       (shanley )ARROYO NOMAR 110 20.00    
CHARTHENA Feb20 Nov30 Nov09 Oct21 Sep15 (blankenship donald)STOKES J 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
ELITE MISS Jan17 Jul05 Jun16 May25   (chapman j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
CHOPPIN BROCKLEY Jan21 Nov23 Oct17 Sep21 Aug21 (armstron)DAVIS A 120 15.00 13% 6.90    
HOWDIDTHATWORKOUT Feb20 Feb13 Jan10 Dec11   (farley j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
CT-4   03/11/2026 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.3K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUTH AND JUSTICE Feb14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 120 2.50 15% 5.70    
LOVINGHERISEASY Feb04         (haynes ernes)LEWIS M 120 1.40 59% 0.70    
JULITA BONITA Feb18 Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
JOHANNA Feb14 Dec10 Oct29     (runco jeff )EBOW III 115 6.00    
SCR  CAPPUCCINO CRUNCH Feb13         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
MY GIRL BRIDGIT Feb14 Jan07       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   03/11/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAT DISCOUNT Feb28 Feb11 Jan07 Dec03 Oct30 (ginter jr)CULLUM W 124 12.00    
RARE RUBY Feb28 Feb19 Dec12 Nov22 Nov13 (shanle)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 10.00    
DAME CATHERINE Feb19 Feb05 Jan17 Jan02 Dec10 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
CAIRNHILL Feb19 Jan17 Dec13 Nov21 Nov12 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 119 1.20 50% 1.00    
DISSOLUTE Dec12 Nov19 Oct16 Jun13 May22 (siculietano dan)LUNA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CRIMSON NIGHTS Dec09 Nov17 Oct21 Sep22 Sep09 (robillard )ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
KISS CAM Feb26 Feb05 Jan17 Jan07 Dec10 (shanley timothy)STOKES J 126 4.00    
GOLDEN GIRL LENA Feb19 Dec03 Nov13 Oct31 Oct10 (figgins )ARROYO NOMAR 114 20.00    
 
CT-6   03/11/2026 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIM'S REDIRECT Feb21 Jan22 Dec13 Dec03 Nov05 (reggetts st)EBOW III 115 4.00 18% 4.50    
SMART CRY Feb27 Jan22 Nov28 Nov05 Oct18 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
MEEMAW'S GIRL Feb21 Jan22 Nov19 Nov05 Oct11 (reggetts l)STOKES J 122 4.50    
GOLDEN PLUNGE Feb27 Jan22 Dec05 Nov19 Nov06 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FANCY CONCHITA Feb27 Feb11 Nov19 Nov06 Oct25 (cromer)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 15.00    
SCR  SARONIC BAY Feb06 Jan08 Dec05 Nov19 Oct29 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 5.00    
I'M A COOL QUEEN Feb11 Jan07 Dec04 Jun06 May23 (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
BARAPHA Feb18 Feb06 Jan17 Dec13 Nov28 (conn lin)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
CT-7   03/11/2026 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAFFEINENNICOTINE Feb18 Dec03 Nov05 Oct23 Oct14 (meehan)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 6.00    
RAY OF SUNSHINE Nov05 Oct25 Oct11 Sep12 Aug16 (murdock st)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
RUM N COKE Feb18 Dec03 Nov05 Oct23 Oct04 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Feb18 Jan03 Dec03 Jul17 Jul03 (clatterbuck )LEWIS M 122 20.00    
SCR  FORTUNATE SON Feb12 Feb05 Jan10 Dec11 Nov29 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 8.00    
FLYIN MAYAN Feb05 Jan16 Oct11 Sep25 Sep12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
ANNAPOLIS ROAD Feb18 Jan16 Nov11 Oct11 Sep25 (runco jeff )EBOW III 117 5.00    
 
CT-8   03/11/2026 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.4K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABSOLUTE GRIT Feb01 Jan05 Dec03 Nov11 Oct22 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
HEAVEN STREET Feb19 Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 Oct03 (kreiser timothy )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00    
MOTSKARI Feb13 Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 Jun01 (brown ro)ARROYO NOMAR 112 15.00    
HEAD LAD Feb14 Jan03 Dec05 Nov20 Oct18 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  PROBALE TEN Jan09 Dec12 Oct24 Aug31 Jul08 (chapman jame)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00    
SCR  DANCE FOR GREEN Feb18 Jan02 Dec03 Oct25 Oct08 (walters)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 4.50    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Feb18 Feb04 Dec03 Nov08 Oct22 (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 122 10.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Feb28 Feb19 Jan09 Nov13 Oct24 (shanley timothy)STOKES J 122 30.00    
PRIORITY LANE Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03 Dec20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
10  TAP IN FORMATION Feb25 Dec23 Oct13 Sep20 Sep01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.