Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Saturday - October 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/3)-(2/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(5/6/3/7)-(4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-2   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(4/3/5)-(6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/1/5)-(1/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(1/6/2)-(4/8/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(4/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(4/8/5)-(5/7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(5/7/3/1)-(2/1/6/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-7   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(2/1/6/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FP-8   WIN (2/1/6/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4/9)-(2/1/6/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4/9)-(2/1/6/4/9)-(2/1/6/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOOK MY WAY Aug30 Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 15.00    
2  REYANNO ROYAL Aug30 Aug02 Jun21     (manley steve)WALES T 126 2.50 58% 0.70    
3  SHOW ME THE LIGHT Sep17 Aug31 Aug20 Aug06 Jul05 (wells duane)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STEAL PROUD Aug05 Jul05 Jun17 May24 Oct19 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 126 4.50    
SCR  ON OUR WAY Sep08 Aug08 May20 Mar12   (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00    
6  ZIPADEEDOODA Sep13 Aug30 Jul21 Jul12 Jun24 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 120 6.00    
7  MADAM LEE Sep09 Aug30 Aug10 Jul22 Jul05 (thurman rhonda)FELIX E 126 10.00    
8  ATRAXA Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02   (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
9  SKIP TO BALI Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 Oct06 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00    
 
FP-2   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN BUCK Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul10 Jun21 (watkins m)FELIX E 126 4.50    
2  CENZONTLE Sep16 Aug26 Aug09 Jul24 Jun28 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00    
3  AFTER MY BROTHER Aug30 Jul19 Jul01 May20 May10 (sandrowski)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 17% 4.70    
4  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Sep18 Aug30 Jul01 Jun12 Apr24 (alonso)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 12.00    
5  EL PELIGRO Sep16 Aug12 Jun03 May05 Apr15 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.50 29% 2.50    
6  SMOOTH N SILKY Sep02 Aug19 Aug02 Jun14 May05 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
7  PONTUS Sep16 Aug19 Aug09 Jul19 Jun28 (plasters lori)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BAD OBSESSION Sep16 Sep06 Aug23 Jul12 Jun21 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.50    
 
FP-3   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT SAM Sep02 Aug23 Jul19 Jun24 Jun07 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.00    
2  AFRICAN WARRIOR Sep19 Jul19 Jul05 Jun24 Jun07 (wilborn kevi)GILES EMMANUEL 124 5.00    
3  LAYTON THE DAY Aug19 Jul19 Jul01 May20 Apr26 (plasters lori)FELIX E 126 2.00 11% 7.70    
4  FULL MAGAZINE Sep16 May31 May17 Oct29 Oct19 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  COG Sep16 Aug23 Jul22 Jun17 Jun03 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE Sep06 Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 Jul01 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00    
 
FP-4   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY WALKER Sep06 Jul22 Jul05 Jun21 May10 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  NO PAY NO HAY Sep13 Aug23 Jul05 Jun10 Apr12 (manley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00    
SCR  COCKTAIL CUTIE Sep13 Aug23 Jul22 May06 Apr22 (manley steve)FELIX E 124 5.00    
4  HOOTIE HOOT Sep19 Aug23 Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 (huerta)ORTEGA JOSEPH 118 6.00    
5  I BE GONE Sep02 Aug14 Jul26 Jun24 Dec15 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MEGANTHEEBATTALION Sep16 Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 May31 (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
FP-5   10/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWN RESERVE Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun24 (durham mike)FELIX E 126 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  DILLON ROCKS Sep13 Aug23 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CODE RUNNER Sep13 Aug10 Aug02 Jun29 Jun15 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00    
4  LUCKY BOSS Sep18 Aug19 Aug02 Jul19 Jun07 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 126 5.00    
5  SWISS GUARD Sep13 Sep02 Jul19 Jun28 May24 (manley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00    
6  PAYNT BY LETTERS Aug02 Jun19 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 (wilborn kev)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00 30% 2.40    
 
FP-6   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREPE YARNS Aug05 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (laux clay)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
SCR  MYSTIC POWER Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50    
3  PURPLE OCTOPUS Sep16 Sep02 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 (lynch e)MOJICA O 124 3.50    
4  LAST MINUTE Sep13 Aug21 Jul24 Jul06 Jun08 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.50 63% 0.60    
5  VIA DEL CORSO Aug03 Jul17 Jul06 Jun26 Jun05 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEVERANCE Sep09 Aug26 Aug14 Jul26 Apr13 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00    
7  TRICKY MOMENT Sep02 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun03 (martin dawn)GILES EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
8  SOLOMON VANDY Sep16 Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 Jun03 (straub marvel)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-7   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICONICUS Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jul08 Jun21 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXCELLENT EMPIRE Sep14 Aug24 Aug01 Jun30 May22 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 10.00    
3  NATIONS DREAM Aug30 Jun21 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (mcewen j)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SKYLANE Sep16 Aug26 Jul26 Jul08 Jun10 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
5  GOOD TO BE PRINCE Aug21 Jul22 Jul08 Jun08 May22 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  GOVENOR HANK Aug19 Jul26 Jul08 Jun21 May24 (manley steve)FELIX E 118 3.00    
7  HEART N SOUL Aug30 Jul08 Jun13 Sep11 Jul11 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
FP-8   10/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NELLA Sep18 Aug23 Jul26     (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SAYALILPRAYERFORME by READY'S IMAGE)
2  CHASING SEATTLE Sep09 Aug23       (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SEATTLE TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
3  LUCKY MONICA Sep09 Aug23 Oct31 Sep28 Sep17 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of MY GIRL COURTNEY by ESKENDEREYA)
4  KY O SISTER         (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of CANETTE by QUACK)
5  ENCHANTED MOMENT Sep09 Aug19 Jun24 May20   (fridley steve)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
  (by PERUVIAN out of SHE AIN'T A SAINT by MEADOWLAKE)
6  AIDEEN         (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
  (by FIRING LINE out of IRISH MARVEL by DAAHER)
7  SET IN ICE Sep09 Aug23       (rednour jr)WALES T 120 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
8  MAYA'S WARRIOR Aug12 Jul22 Jun03 May10 Oct31 (retana)ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 20.00    
  (by DURANGO KID out of CONQUEST CLASSIC by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
9  MILAALAH Sep09 Aug30 Aug12 May06   (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of TALAALAH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  WAHIDA OF MARDAN Sep18 Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 (nesbitt am)HERRERA C 126 6.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.