Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - August 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-1   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/2)-(2/6/4/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-2   WIN (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-3   WIN (2/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-1   08/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERN'S SHOWSTOPPER Aug03 Jul19 Jun29 May31 Jul07 (hall dru)ARANA MINOR 124 4.50    
IMA RASCAL Aug03 Jul13 Jul06 Jun20 May30 (story shaun)BETHKE A 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
RANDYS RACER Aug02 Jul19       (christoffers)VALENZUELA R 124 6.00    
SCR  AT THE CROSS Jul27 Jul05 Sep22     (eaton terri)RAMEY CASH 124 6.00    
UKRAINE STRONG Aug03 Jul13 Jun21 Jun08 May10 (lavanway dayson)LARSEN S 126 10.00    
BORDER VIGIL Apr23 Apr15 Mar25 Feb10 Dec27 (kemper kerry)TEETER NAKIA 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
I AM AMADEO Jul26 Jul06 May30 May10 Feb01 (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S TIE ONE ON Jul20 May31 Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 (scudder jr)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
SWF-2   08/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J'S LITTLE MAN Aug03 Jul25 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 (ibanez alber)CARILLO DANIEL 126 15.00    
STAND TO Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 May30 May16 (dominguez ca)BETHKE A 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 May31 (teeter clay)LARSEN S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
STAR ENTRY Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 May24 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00 12% 7.30    
PARTY FOUL Aug02 Jun01 Apr26 Apr05 Mar08 (kemper kerr)CANALES J 126 4.50    
TOP OF THE ROCK Aug09 Jul12 Jul05 Jun13 May31 (hibdon n)ARANA MINOR 126 3.00 13% 6.60    
MONGOLIAN FROST Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 Jun22 May30 (barrio sergio)RAMEY CASH 126 12.00    
BRUIN MAGIC Jun29 Sep28 Sep15 Sep06 Aug18 (klatt melissa)VIRGEN JESUS 126 15.00    
 
SWF-3   08/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEVON Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May26 Apr15 (barrio)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAP THIS OUT Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 May24 May10 (scudder j)VIRGEN JESUS 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
PRINCE OTTO Jul13 Jul06 Jun07 May24 May14 (esquibel mark)TEETER NAKIA 126 8.00    
DRAW SOME Jul27 Jul05 Feb25 Jan14 Dec30 (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 126 5.00    
WATER TESTER Jul27 Jul05 Jun22 May26 May10 (hibdon n)ARANA MINOR 123 5.00    
HULA CANDY Jul27 Jun20 May02 Mar14 Feb09 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 12.00    
GRAN CHICO Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 May30 (hibdon mark )BETHKE A 126 8.00 16% 5.10    
EL SIETE LEGUAS Aug03 Jul12 Jun08 May17 Apr28 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 126 3.50 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.