Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Atokad Park
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ATO-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
ATO-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
ATO-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ATO-1   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Jun15 May16 Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
2  FOR REEL Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 Jun13 Apr06 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Jul25 Jul13 Jul04 Jun15 Jun07 (bobier bob)BETHKE A 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  JULIE JEAN Jul13 Jul04 Jun20 May17 Apr12 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 120 1.80    
 
ATO-2   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CELTICS WILDCAT Aug02 Jul19 Jun29 May31 Apr13 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 2.00    
2  LIKING IT TWISTED Jul26 Jul12 Jul05 Jun15 May11 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 71% 0.40    
3  IRON LOTUS Aug03 Jul12 Jul05 Jun13 May31 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 7% 14.20    
4  TAPIT'S LADY Jul25 Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 May31 (bobier bob)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50    
5  GLOBAL RISK Jul06 Jun20 Jun08 May30 May16 (riggs ronnie)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
 
ATO-3   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH Jul26 Jul05 May31 May10 May02 (rivera gregorio)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50    
SCR  SCHMOOZE Jul26 Jul09 Jun20 Jun07 May25 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00    
3  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Jul25 Jul18 Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 (hawley joe)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  DESOTO'S WAR Jun25 Jun12 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  RUN FOR MATTY Jul19 Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 May31 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.