Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

North Dakota Horse Park
Friday - July 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAR-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/6)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FAR-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FAR-3   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAR-1   07/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($5.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RACHELLE'S MEMORY Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May17 Aug03 (hurley tristin)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 3.00    
KORRA'S BREEZE Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May11 Aug03 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 126 1.60 52% 0.90    
JEZAMAE KIDD Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 Jun16 (longie jr)MARTINEZ R 126 4.50 21% 3.70    
MARLEE MOON Jul19 Jun28 Jun21 Jun14 Aug03 (delorme mar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 2.50    
SCARLET MOON Jul19 Jul13 Jun14 Jun08 Aug03 (martin dean)DELORME L 126 8.00    
 
FAR-2   07/25/2025 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY ROSE MOON Jun29 Jun08       (martin dean)LUARK T 119 10.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
EURO K         (addicott ronald)HAAR NATHAN 122 1.20    
  (by EUROEARS out of STROLLYMADE by STROLL)
WINHI Jun29 Jun08       (allery mark)DELORME L 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by EXHI out of DOGGERWINII by MALTESE DOG)
SCR  CHAPPYS LIL' GIRL         (botosh rodger)MARTINEZ R 119 15.00    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of CHAPPY CHICK by CHAPEL ROYAL)
PUMPKIN PRINCESS Jul12 Jun14       (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 4.50    
  (by CALCULATED RISKER out of MEMORIES GALORE by MISREMEMBERED)
PHENOMENAL FEDORA         (allery mark)BEETEM BRIAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
 
FAR-3   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMA Jul18 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Sep05 (suter c)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00    
TAP THE HEART Jul18 Jun22 May18 Apr25 Apr05 (haar j)LUARK T 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
BACLIFF Jul12 May31 Apr28 Apr08 Mar25 (dolphus jun)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 6.00    
TRIP TO FREEDOM Jul18 Jun22 Jun14 May18 Apr26 (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.50    
STOLEN HALO Jun21 May24 May10 Apr13 Apr06 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 6.00 7% 13.00    
BIG TIPPA Jul18 Jun22 Jun14 May18 May11 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
FAR-4   07/25/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTONS WILDCAT Nov26 Nov13 Oct23 Sep27 Aug19 (ali raheem)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 12.00 22% 3.60    
BIG CREEK Jun14 May24 May16 Aug03 Jun08 (moody skip)WOOD DAKOTA 126 6.00    
SCR  WILD STRETCH Jul13 Jun28 Jun21 Jun15 Jun08 (botosh rodg)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 8.00    
MYSTERIOUS TALE May09 Apr06 Feb22 Nov19 Nov02 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 1.80 55% 0.80    
BANJO BILL Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 Jun16 Jun25 (ali raheem)MARTINEZ R 126 5.00    
STARS ALIGNED Jul13 Jun22 Aug04 Jul28 Jul13 (martin dean)DELORME L 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
STREET BEHAVIOR Jul13 May30 Apr22 Mar20 Feb19 (moody skip)BEETEM BRIAN 126 2.50    
 
FAR-7   07/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Starter Series Crown Final Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Jul18 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of LITTLE BIT LOVELY by SAINT ANDDAN)
ZULTAN Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May31 May11 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 1.80    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SEEINGTIZBELIEVING by TIZNOW)
JUST ASK JOEL Jul18 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 (suter c)MARTINEZ R 124 12.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of CATCH THAT KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
LIBERTARIAN Jul13 Jun27 Jun13 Jun01 May23 (bethke a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of EARLYBIRD ROAD by CHEROKEE RUN)
CUPID'S WAR Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 May27 Apr24 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 2.50    
  (by CUPID out of WAR ANGEL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
J'S LITTLE MAN Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 May30 (dolphus jun)MCKENZIE CONNIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of GOLD CASE MOTEL by GOLD CASE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.