Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAR-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
FAR-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
FAR-6   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(5/6/4)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FAR-7   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FAR-8   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAR-1   07/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATH MYSTERY Jul06 Jun15 May30 Apr06 Mar14 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 2.50    
BRAHMS IS WHO Jul13 Jun29 Jun21 Jun15 Sep14 (suter c)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 6.00    
LONESHILOHSPECIAL Jul12 Jun21 May11 Sep10 Aug28 (allery mark)DELORME L 126 1.40    
PEPPERMINT SISTER Jun22 Jun14 May11 May04 Sep09 (allery mark)LUARK T 126 3.00 35% 1.80    
WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jun28 Jun21 Jun15 Sep17 Sep03 (martin dean)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 8.00 8% 11.20    
 
FAR-5   07/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 Jun07 May30 (ibanez alberto)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 53% 0.90    
RUN FOR MATTY Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 May31 May11 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 4.50    
BARBIERE Jul06 Jun20 Jun11 May31 May11 (bethke a)DELORME L 126 2.50    
SCR  WESTONS WILDCAT Nov26 Nov13 Oct23 Sep27 Aug19 (ali raheem)HAAR NATHAN 126 2.00    
BLAME BISHOP Jul05 Jun11 May25 Apr26 Apr02 (dolphus jun)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 8.00 6% 16.50    
CALZONE Jul04 Jun14 Feb05 Jan04 Nov27 (dolphus junior)BEETEM BRIAN 126 12.00    
 
FAR-6   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS BUMBLEBEE Jun21 May23 Apr12 Mar23 Mar09 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
OUR CLOVER GAL Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 May11 (ibanez albe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 6.00 18% 4.50    
HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH Jul13 Jun15 Jun07 Apr25 Apr18 (haar j)LUARK T 126 4.50    
CHERBOURG Jul13 May26 May17 Mar12 Feb19 (allery mark)DELORME L 126 2.00    
DELUSIONAL DREAM Jun07 Apr22 Mar12 Feb24 Feb10 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 3.50    
VICA POTA Jun21 Jun07 Oct17 Sep11 Oct05 (delorme marcus )WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
FAR-7   07/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST ND Bred X2 Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JEZAMAE KIDD Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 Jun16 (longie jr)MARTINEZ R 121 6.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
MARLEE MOON Jun28 Jun21 Jun14 Aug03 Jul20 (delorme mar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 121 8.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of MARLA DUNNIT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
PHENOMENALJOE Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 Sep24 (delorme marcus )WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.80    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
SCARLET MOON Jul13 Jun14 Jun08 Aug03 Jul28 (martin dean)PADILLA ANSELMO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
KORRA'S BREEZE Jun28 Jun14 May11 Aug03 Jul20 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 121 4.00 51% 1.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of SLIGO BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
LIAM'S CHALLENGE Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 May16 Aug03 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
RACHELLE'S MEMORY Jun28 Jun07 May17 Aug03 Jul20 (hurley tristin)LUARK T 121 2.50    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SWEETEST NICKI by NICK (CHI))
 
FAR-8   07/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS JOSIE Jun15 Jun06 May23 May10 Apr04 (ness john)WOOD DAKOTA 121 10.00    
EVERLEIGH'S QUEEN Jul13 Jun21 May26 Mar02 Feb07 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 121 1.20    
THINKN BOUT DRINKN Jul13 Jul08 Jun21 Jun14 May16 (champagne cora)LUARK T 126 6.00    
PASSING TIME Jul13 Jun21 May25 May08 Sep25 (hurley tristin)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 4.00    
FINBARFUREY Jul13 Jun21 Jun14 Jun07 May17 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 126 3.00 53% 0.90    
GRAVASTAR         (ibanez albe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 12.00 8% 12.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.