Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Friday - July 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FAR-5   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(3/4)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FAR-6   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FAR-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   07/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMA Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Sep05 Aug24 (suter c)MARTINEZ R 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIG TIPPA Jun22 Jun14 May18 May11 Apr25 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 133 2.00 56% 0.80    
3  TRIP TO FREEDOM Jun22 Jun14 May18 Apr26 Apr06 (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 127 1.40    
SCR  SECRETLY SWEET Jun21 May30 May16 Apr12 Mar30 (haar robert )BETHKE A 121 6.00    
5  TAP THE HEART Jun22 May18 Apr25 Apr05 Mar21 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 123 3.50    
 
FAR-5   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST ASK JOEL Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 Jun07 (suter c)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00    
SCR  CALZONE Jul04 Jun14 Feb05 Jan04 Nov27 (dolphus jun)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 15.00    
SCR  ATOMIC TONE Apr13 Mar01 Feb08 Jan24 Jan03 (schindler l)SCHINDLER WAYNE 126 3.00    
4  ROCHESTER'S FINEST Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 May17 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00 32% 2.20    
5  FRISCO Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 Jun14 (moody skip)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.50 ★    
6  BRILLIANT COLORS Jul05 Jun27 Jun08 May23 Apr25 (ibanez alberto)HAAR NATHAN 126 6.00    
7  FAYETTE WARRIOR Jul04 May09 Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 4.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  DAKOTA PROSPECTOR Jun28 Jun15 Jul28 Jul21 Jun09 (longie j)BEETEM BRIAN 126 4.00    
 
FAR-6   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST NDTA Derby Preview Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLA'S MOON Jul13 Jun29 Jun21 Jun14 Aug04 (delorme mar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 6.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of SAMANTHA by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
2  LAST STAR Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 Aug04 Jul13 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 122 8.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
3  GOTTAMAKETHEWIRE Jun29 May16 Aug04 Jul13   (horst scot)WOOD DAKOTA 122 1.40 54% 0.80    
  (by LAUNCH COMMANDER out of STARSHIP MISCHIEF by GONE ASTRAY)
4  KID HERCULES Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 Aug04 Jul27 (martin dean)DELORME L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of BEARS GRACE by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  SPARKLE DANCER Jun29 Jun15 Aug28 Aug04 Jul27 (wilson robert)MARTINEZ R 122 1.20 ★    
  (by LAUNCH COMMANDER out of PISTOLERA by ZANJERO)
 
FAR-7   07/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALEM'S BREEZE         (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 122 10.00 32% 2.10    
2  JUSTTWOGRASSHOPPER Jun21 Jun15 Jun07 Jul27   (delorme marcus )WOOD DAKOTA 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  CAT WITH CLASS Jun07 May16 Apr19 Aug29 Aug01 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
4  LEGACYINTHEMAKING Jun21 Jun15 Jun07 Sep19 Aug29 (martin dean)DELORME L 124 4.50 ★    
5  BURN BOSS Jun29 Jun20 May30 May03 Apr12 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 1.20    
SCR  WESTOVER SUNSET         (ali raheem)MARTINEZ R 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.