Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(7/3/5)-(4/6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(4/6/5/2)-(10/3/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/2)-(10/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/2)-(10/3/1/6)-(4/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (10/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/6/8)-(10/3/1/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/1/6)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/3/1/6)-(4/2/6)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(6/7)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(7/3/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(7/3/4/1)-(4/1/2/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/1)-(4/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S HEART May22 May01 Apr18 Mar21 Oct12 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 111 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  BID ON BLUE Jun21 Apr24 Mar01 Feb13 Jan29 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
3  TOODLESWASMYNAME Jul03 Jun21 May30 May08 Apr26 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 1.60    
4  JUBAGOTTHEMONEY Jun19 May31 May15 Mar21 Mar14 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 118 10.00    
5  COURT TUDOR May23 Apr24 Mar07 Feb06 Jan25 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY BOY CLYDE May24 Apr24 Apr03 Mar07 Mar01 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
CT-2   07/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENISSIMO Jun05 May15 Apr05 Mar13 Feb26 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 30.00    
2  DREAM FORCE Jun28 Jun05 May15 Apr18 Mar28 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 ★    
3  RICK'SWARMHEART Jul05 Jun26 May10 Apr13 Mar22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 25% 3.10    
4  BLOOD BROTHER Jun05 May10 Apr23 Mar20 Feb27 (viands r)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
5  MY SLICK NICK Jun28 Jun13 May16 May02 Apr05 (conn lind)BOCACHICA J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HE'S A COMMISIONER Jun28 Jun05 May16 Apr05 Mar13 (lane j)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
7  COSTNER Jun05 May16 Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
 
CT-3   07/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARINA ANNA         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
2  CAN'T DENY THIS         (sigler ro)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  CLOUDYNCOOL         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SAINT PENNY by STREET MAGICIAN)
4  BLAMES HONEY         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by BLAME out of HONEY CHILE by INVISIBLE INK)
5  MASKEDANDMUMMED Jun28         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
6  TRUTH AND JUSTICE Jun28         (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00 27% 2.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of MISS CONSTRUE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  KAYLEE'S PROMISE         (clatter)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
8  SPOTLIGHT GIRL Jun13 May29       (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 4.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TAPIZAR GIRL by TAPIZAR)
9  PETTYISASPETTYDOES Jun28         (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
 
CT-4   07/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDE THE BRAND Jul04 Jun20 May17 Apr03 Mar22 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  DR RENDEZVOUS Oct05 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 May18 (shanley mark)STOKES J 122 15.00    
3  DESTIN'S RAINBOW Jun19 May31 Apr24 Apr03 Mar28 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 115 2.00 7% 13.40    
4  GREATANDGOOD Jul04 Dec07 Nov16 Sep26 Aug31 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
5  BULL RIDER Jun19 Apr26 Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 (figgins j)PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
6  RIVERLEE May31 Apr26 Mar27 Jun28 Jun07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TOBI WAN KENOBI May22 May08 Apr10 Feb19 Dec11 (robbins w)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
8  THE HOUND Jun19 May22 Apr23 Mar14 Feb28 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 118 12.00 ★    
9  RED HOT TODDY Jun19 Dec07 Nov16 Jun28 Jun07 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
10  STRIKE THREE Jun19 May22 Apr24 Mar28 Feb27 (joy j)HIRALDO JOHN 122 1.80 63% 0.60    
 
CT-5   07/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG DILEMMA Jun20 May30 Apr27 Apr18 Apr06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
2  MIA SAN MIA May31 May10 Apr19     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00 34% 1.90    
3  GOGOGETEM Jun06 May10 Apr25     (craig e)JORGE JULIO 118 15.00    
4  JOEL'S BOY Mar20 Mar04 Feb12 Jan23 Jan16 (ovando)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  WINK WICKED Jun07         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 119 20.00    
6  FIRENZE FOREVER May30 May09 Apr19 Mar07 Nov13 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACK IN BUSINESS Jun05 Apr06 Mar16 Feb14 Jan04 (simone mich)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00    
8  MR ON HIGH Jun27 Jun08 Apr19 Mar28   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 ★    
 
CT-6   07/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Jun29 Jun09 May08 Apr10 Nov27 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
2  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May24 May01 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL Jul10 Jun19 May22 May08 Apr19 (spriggs tosc)DIAZ JR 124 3.50    
SCR  CIDERHOUSE WAY Oct04 Sep19 Jun08 Apr05 Mar16 (gazzier)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
5  PENGUIN PARADE Jun05 May22 Apr25 Mar14 Feb28 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 4.00 ★    
6  BIG BAD BRASS Jun26 Jun06 May22 Apr24 Feb22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  HURRICANE ALERT Jun26 Jun06 May22 May01 Apr10 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   07/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jun26 Jun05 May24 Apr25 Apr05 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  JESTER'S SONG Jun22 Jun06 Apr13 Aug17 Jul15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00    
3  LADDIE DANCE Jun01 May15 Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  ON THE COME UP Jun06 May08 Apr23 Mar22 Mar06 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50 7% 13.80    
5  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Jun26 May22 May16 Apr24 Apr05 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
6  SESAME STREEK Jun05 May16 Apr25 Apr05 Mar20 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 120 15.00    
7  W V LAD Jun05 May15 Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
8  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jul03 Jun12 May23 May16 Apr25 (clatterbuck)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 20.00    
SCR  SARGENT KOBE Apr10 Mar15 Feb22 Feb06 Jan16 (lane j)BATISTA A 120 50.00    
 
CT-8   07/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Jul03 Jun19 May29 May09 Apr26 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  HARDLY EVER BETTER Apr17 Mar29 Jan23 Jan04 Nov14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 10% 9.30    
3  COLT ROCK May09 Apr17 Mar29 Feb19 Jan04 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAKE YOUR TIME Jun20 May23 May01 Apr17 Mar22 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
5  MINELLA Jul04 Jun19 May17 May09 Apr17 (rangel ri)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
6  BOSSME Jun26 May22 May10 Apr18 Mar28 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
7  ALWAYS A WARRIOR Jun26 May29 Apr18 Mar22 Feb27 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
SCR  ROCKING TO HOME Jun20 May09 May01 Apr17 Jan23 (obed-letts )CESPEDES JHORMA 115 30.00    
9  DOC ELM Jun20 Jul27 Jul06 Jun07 Nov16 (wilhelm tabith)CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.