Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/5)-(1/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/5)-(1/5/2/4)-(5/2/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/4)-(5/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/4)-(5/2/7/3)-(3/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/3)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/3)-(3/5/1)-(4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/6)-(3/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/4/5)-(9/4/1/7/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(9/4/1/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(9/4/1/7/8)-(3/10/11/6/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SA-7   WIN (9/4/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/7/8)-(9/4/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/7/8)-(9/4/1/7/8)-(9/4/1/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/1/7/8)-(3/10/11/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/4/1/7/8)-(3/10/11/6/2)-(9/2/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-8   WIN (3/10/11/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/11/6/2)-(3/10/11/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/11/6/2)-(3/10/11/6/2)-(3/10/11/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/11/6/2)-(9/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-9   WIN (9/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTJICA (FR) Apr05 Nov09 Oct12 Sep08   (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 126 3.50 17% 4.80    
2  FREE AND HUMBLE Apr04 Mar02 Feb02 Jan04 Dec26 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.00    
3  ANNIE'S JOY Apr04 Mar08 Feb15 Jan04 Nov17 (barocio libra)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  PORT ELLEN (IRE) Sep05 Aug16 May24 Apr13 Oct20 (baltas richar)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  QUARIA THUNDER Jun13 May24 Apr28 Mar29 Mar01 (miller peter)FREY KYLE 126 12.00 5% 17.40    
6  IDESSIA Apr05 Dec26 Nov24 Nov26 Oct15 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 2.50    
7  CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Apr25 Mar29 Mar08 Feb28 Jan16 (rheinford m)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 10.00    
 
SA-2   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST SERVICE Apr25 Mar09 Feb07 Jan26 Dec27 (mccanna tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 3.50 41% 1.40    
2  DORIS AVENUE Feb07 Dec07 Oct06 Sep22 Jul21 (rodriguez fra)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRONKO NAGURSKI Apr06 Mar23 Feb23 Feb14 Aug01 (miyadi steven)BAZE C 126 3.00    
4  UPLIFT Mar30 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 (ledezma )BAUTISTA L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIG BET Apr06 Mar29 Feb23 Dec18 Nov23 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 126 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  SIX HOT GRANDS May03 Mar15 Feb16 Jan23 Nov24 (stortz marc)CARMONA SERAFIN 121 8.00    
7  HERMELINDA'S FANCY Mar30 Mar15 Mar02 Feb07 Dec29 (aqui)ANTONGEORGI JR 126 4.50    
 
SA-3   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. MACHUPICCHU Mar21 Feb17 Jan19 Jan01 Dec14 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 3.00    
2  JAGUAR JON Apr27         (miya)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 5.00 24% 3.30    
3  I AM AMADEO Feb01 Dec01 Nov03 Oct06 Sep14 (ramos jesus)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAPTAIN WILLIS Apr20 Mar17 Feb28 Jan18 Dec06 (ledezma s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 118 20.00    
5  LEAD PIPE JOE Mar08 Feb22 Jan25     (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 118 1.00 44% 1.30    
6  STAN FROM MALIBU Apr26 Mar22 Feb21 Feb01 Jan05 (tamayo isid)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 10.00    
7  CLEMENTS RIDE Apr20 Apr28 Feb25 Jan27 Dec31 (cal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 4.00 6% 17.00    
 
SA-4   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEMOSIS Apr20 Mar02 Jun15     (bonde jeff)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAND TO SEA Apr27 Feb23 May25 Apr04 Mar29 (stute ga)BAUTISTA L 119 2.50    
3  PRINCESS DADDY Apr27 Feb28 Jan20 Jan01 Oct19 (palma hect)ORANTES R 113 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  QUEEN GIRVIN Dec14 Nov30 Sep22 Aug09 May31 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 6.00    
5  NALA Apr27 Mar21 Feb07 Jan01 Dec06 (jauregui j)MALDONADO E 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  FULL MOON GRAZEN Apr27 Mar17 Feb17 Jan23 Dec13 (morfin sergio)FREY KYLE 118 4.50    
7  NAIDA Mar08 Jan03 Nov22 Oct25 Sep09 (baltas rich)HERRERA A 126 3.50    
 
SA-5   05/10/2025 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Siren Lure Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE REFLECTION Mar16 Feb22 Jan25 Dec26 Dec01 (barocio libra)FRESU ANTONIO 122 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DEAL OF THE DECADE by TIZNOW)
2  FINAL BOSS Aug04 Jun16 May12 Mar10 Feb17 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SCREAMING SKYLAR by SMART STRIKE)
3  AIR FORCE RED Mar08 Mar01 Feb01 Dec28 Sep28 (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MESANA by MIZZEN MAST)
4  BRAN (FR) Jul21 Sep30 Sep02 Sep10 Jul24 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
  (by MUHAARAR out of BEST INTENT by KING'S BEST)
SCR  EYE ON RY Apr05 Mar02 Jan04 Oct12 Sep07 (ellis )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JR. CLARE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
6  LOVESICK BLUES Mar30 Mar08 Aug03 Jun22 Jun07 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by GRAZEN out of QUEENOFHERCASTLE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
 
SA-6   05/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 35 ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH A BREEZE Jul04 Apr21       (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 30.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of SUMMER GARDEN by GRAND SLAM)
2  PENALTY BOX         (mccarthy michael )FREY KYLE 118 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LADY ALIDA by STREET BOSS)
3  SIERRA SILVER Apr06         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of PROMISE ME SILVER by SILVER CITY)
4  CHEEVER         (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ELECTRIC FOREST by CURLIN)
5  VASA         (glatt mark)LEZCANO ABEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of CANADIAN FLAGSHIP by NORTHERN FLAGSHIP)
6  SOUTHERN GENTLEMAN         (baffert bo)VAN DRAYDEN 118 4.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SWEETGEORGIABROWN by MAZEL TRICK)
7  LEGAL HEIR         (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00    
  (by LORD CARSON out of EASY TO PRAISE by ALWUHUSH)
 
SA-7   05/10/2025 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY MUPPET Jan24 Dec13 Nov10 Sep27 Aug23 (rheinford m)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 10.00 7% 13.10    
2  BLUE FASHION Apr18 Mar08 Jan19 Nov16 Oct18 (polanco marce)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 12.00    
3  C'MON LETS SWITCH Apr22 Mar25 Feb26 Feb13 Jan23 (lucas robe)CRUZ DIAZ 126 30.00    
4  PETITE TREAT Feb08 Jan03 Dec01 Oct26 Sep28 (puype mike)ORANTES R 113 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  MISS MEAGHER (IRE) Oct12 Sep02       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 126 6.00    
6  LADY MARYANN Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 Dec26 Nov22 (gutierrez jor)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 3.50    
7  MUCHO MAGICAL Mar16 Jan24 Dec15     (marquez p)FREY KYLE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY OF SKY Mar14 Feb22       (periban jor)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  LOVIN' ON THE RUN Mar22 Feb01 Dec29 Nov29 Oct26 (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
SA-8   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUGHTY NIKO Apr27 Apr06 Mar22 Jan25 Jan04 (m)ROJAS EDUARD 126 30.00    
2  RED ON SUNDAY Apr27 Jan05 Nov16 Oct20 Sep13 (knapp steve)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY BUCKET LIST Apr20 Mar21 Feb17 Dec15 Nov29 (garcia antoni)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Apr20 Apr06 Feb08 Jan16 Nov09 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 12.00    
5  GOLF DRAMA Apr20 Apr06 Mar09 Nov24 Oct04 (dial troy)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 4.50    
6  MOMO'S KIDDO Apr20 Mar30 Mar21 Feb21 Dec01 (valdez jo)SEVILLA RIGOBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIVINE RASCAL Apr20 Mar30 Oct11 Sep22 May05 (vall)ANTONGEORGI JR 126 3.50    
8  WICKLOW HILLS Oct22 Sep18 Aug27 Jul29 Jul07 (uranga jesu)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 12.00    
9  NORTH COUNTRY Apr20 Dec18 Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 (badilla man)BARANDELA SOFIA 126 30.00    
10  BOBBY'S ALIBI Mar09 Feb17 Jan25 Dec13 Nov16 (rivera sally)HERRERA HUGO 126 8.00 20% 4.10    
11  BIG DON'S SMILING Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 Aug04 (mclean bill)KIMURA KAZUSHI 126 6.00 6% 15.30    
 
SA-9   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT SMILE         (mill)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 12.00 5% 18.90    
2  A FRIEND OF MINE         (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 5.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  LEAD THE WAY KAY         (puype mike)SMITH E 118 8.00    
4  INSOLENTA Mar29 Mar01       (puype mike)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 6.00    
5  DONTTELLOURWIVES Apr06 Mar08 Feb07 Dec14 Sep27 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 7% 14.30    
6  GUITAR GIRL Mar21 Jan24 Dec15 Nov22 Oct14 (gomez ruben)CARMONA SERAFIN 121 20.00    
7  MOONLIT COURAGE Apr19         (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 8.00    
8  EAST BOCA KIBBUTZ         (ellis ronald )VALDIVIA JR 126 30.00    
9  NIKOLINA Apr06 Feb21       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 118 1.60 56% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.