Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Saturday - January 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LA-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-1   01/04/2025 1650ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOKIE MISTAKE Dec22 Nov03 Oct28 Oct15 Sep09 (aquino angela )ORTEGA CESAR 123 15.00 13% 7.00    
PAVEL PUFF Dec22 Oct19 Dec17     (farias )RAMIREZ J 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
RUNAWAY WYWY Nov16 Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Sep02 (aquino)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 10.00    
FACTS MATTER Dec15 Sep14 Jul28 Jun30 Apr13 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 1.80 23% 3.40    
CATBERNAY Dec08 Nov16 Sep22 Aug17 Jul28 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 123 4.00    
SCR  NEAH BAY Dec08 Oct27 Sep28 Jun29 Jun09 (nunez jes)OLAGUE J 116 4.00    
 
LA-2   01/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILING TONY Dec22 Oct27 Sep22 Sep14 Jan09 (raudales jose)GARCIA ERICK 123 3.50 12% 7.10    
HOMER WELLS Dec07 Nov24 Nov09 Aug27 Aug04 (becerr)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 2.50 58% 0.70    
STORMY JOE Dec22 Nov23 Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 (mona)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 3.00    
SAN JAC Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Oct27 Sep29 (figuero)RAMIREZ J 123 1.80    
NAUGHTY NIKO Dec22 Dec08 Oct20 Jul20 Jun30 (nunez jes)OLAGUE J 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.