Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(4/3/1)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/1/6)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(2/5/3)-(7/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-9   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(7/3/2)-(7/4/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-10   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2)-(7/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(7/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(7/4/8/9)-(8/9/2/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-11   WIN (7/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9)-(7/4/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/9)-(8/9/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/9)-(8/9/2/3/5)-(4/5/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRM-12   WIN (8/9/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/3/5)-(8/9/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/3/5)-(8/9/2/3/5)-(8/9/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/2/3/5)-(4/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRM-13   WIN (4/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/9)-(4/5/8/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/9)-(4/5/8/3/9)-(4/5/8/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE SURPRISE Sep08 Aug04 Jul20 Jun28   (fett bran)DE CRUZ 116 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PRETTY SURPRISE by CONGRATS)
2  TAKEOFF TIME Sep13 Sep01 Aug04     (arnett g)TOHILL S 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIMELINE out of SOARING GODDESS by DESERT GOD)
3  TOMS PROSPECTOR Sep02 Aug12 Jul19     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MISS WAIKIKI by MISWAKI)
4  BAXTER Sep08         (anderson l)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THEPERFECTVOW by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  ESPERANZA'S SPIRIT Aug25 Aug04       (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  HARRY BLUEBLOOD Aug26 Jul26       (martin willi)JORDAN R 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by BLUEBLOOD out of MAIMIE by MAIMONIDES)
7  SUNSET FOR SANDRA Aug25 Aug04       (chleborad lyn)BACON W 111 4.00 ★    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of APRISE by COMMISSIONER)
 
PRM-6   09/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Donna Reed Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY AIN'T I Sep23 Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAFMIL out of JEFFELL by SAARLAND)
2  FLAT OUT STORMIN Sep01 Aug09 Jul05 Jun01 Sep30 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 117 3.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of WHENTHETIMEISRIGHT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
3  INTERSTELLA Sep01 Aug09 Jul19 Jul07 Jun21 (martin timoth)BACON W 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KRISTELLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  MY HAPPINESS Sep01 Jul28 Jul03 Sep30 Aug27 (hicklin christin)BIRZER E 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of MAYFIELD ROAD by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  PEGGY RULES Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 Jun24 May31 (martin timot)JORDAN R 117 6.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of LIL PRICKLY CACTUS by CACTUS RIDGE)
6  ELLLL E Sep01 Aug11 Jul05 Jun09 May19 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of LOOKIN TO SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
PRM-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Classic Distaff Sprint Purse ($66.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIT AND FAMOUS Sep08 Jan06 Sep30 Jul03 Jun02 (tracy tanner)BACON W 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCK HOP out of FIT PERFORMER by FIT TO FIGHT)
2  DEMIDANU Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 May17 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 119 3.00    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of SOARING GODDESS by DESERT GOD)
3  ADDASQUECKTOIT Sep13         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 116 4.00    
  (by STROLL out of ADDEDUP NICELY by ADDED EDGE)
4  ADDABABY Sep09 Aug05 Jun21 May20 Sep29 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 32% 2.20    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of ADDEDUP NICELY by ADDED EDGE)
5  HANKS GIRL Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 Jun17 May27 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by PALACE out of AINTNOSHAKIN by CROSS TRAFFIC)
6  OURPEPPERMINTCANDY Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul07 Jun21 (anderson )DE CRUZ 119 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RAINBOW SPARKLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
PRM-8   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dan Johnson Sprint Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEARACAP Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun09 May18 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of ADDEDUP NICELY by ADDED EDGE)
2  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Sep16 Aug23 Jul14 Jun24 May31 (eikleberry kevin)BIRZER E 119 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of CAGEY GIRL by CROWD PLEASER)
3  WILDATLANTICSTORM Aug23 Jun22 May31 Apr06 Feb04 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of IMSORTASPECIAL by BIG BROWN)
4  TIME GOES ON Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 Sep30 (von ke)JORDAN R 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAWNIE MACHO by MACHO UNO)
5  OUR LAST CHANCE Aug23 Jul22 Jun22 Apr21 Apr05 (anderson )DE CRUZ 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ABC ME WIN by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  PALACE GUARD Sep16 Aug17 Jul14 Jun09 May19 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ADDY ANNIE by POSSE)
 
PRM-9   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Governor Terry Purse ($110K) 4UP C/G PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTEEN BLACK Aug18 Jul26 Jul03 Jun23 May26 (eikleberry kevin)BIRZER E 121 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AMERICAN SUGAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  AIN'T LIFE GRAND Sep02 Aug10 Jul06 Jun08 May05 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  FINISH UP Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 May31 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GOLDEN ELITE by ELITE SQUADRON)
4  MINECRAFT MANIAC Aug23 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 Sep30 (anderson l)CORBETT W 117 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
5  BIG LUKE Sep02 Jul20 Jun22 May31 May10 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
SCR  WARREN L Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 May31 Apr21 (anderson )DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
7  SUCCESSION (GB) Sep16 Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 Jun23 (fett brandi)JORDAN R 119 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of KORNY SUE by GILDED TIME)
 
PRM-10   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Breeders' Derby Purse ($110K) 3 C/G PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIALSORTASTORM Aug24 Jul20 Jun23 Jun01 Oct27 (ashford t)TRIANA JR 118 4.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of IMSORTASPECIAL by BIG BROWN)
2  STROLLIN NORMAN B Aug25 Aug02 Jul22 Jul08 May26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STROLL out of SASHA PEACH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
3  DAWSON'S STORM Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 Jun01 May11 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
4  SINCERELY MINE Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul03 Jun15 (fett brandi)JORDAN R 118 3.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
SCR  ORPHAN SANDY Sep08 Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Jul03 (young nicole)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 15.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
6  FREEDOM TO SPEED Aug25 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 (anderson )DE CRUZ 116 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SPEEDY GIA by GIACOMO)
7  TEE OFF TIME Aug24 Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAWNIE MACHO by MACHO UNO)
 
PRM-11   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Sorority Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MINGO Sep07 Aug11       (young nic)TRIANA JR 118 4.50    
  (by BLUEBLOOD out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
2  KANJENG Sep07 Jul27 Jun28 Jun10   (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 118 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DE QUEEN by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
3  KANOJO Aug30         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of MYWOMANFROMTOKYO by NEKO BAY)
4  AINTNOSHAKIN KID Sep07 Aug04 Jul20     (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by PATAKY KID out of AINTNOSHAKIN by CROSS TRAFFIC)
5  FINLOND Sep08 Aug18 Jul20     (fett brandi)JORDAN R 118 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of L. A. WAY by TIZWAY)
SCR  ALEXIANA Sep07 Jul28       (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of KRISTELLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  MISCHIEVOUS BRIA Aug18         (anderson l)BIRZER E 118 3.50 58% 0.70    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MY SISTER MADI by HAYNESFIELD)
8  JACKIE SPARROW Aug25 Aug04 Jul07     (von kel)BACON W 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  UNSPOKEN TRUTH Aug23 Jul27 Jul05 May26   (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
 
PRM-12   09/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Breeders' Oaks Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 9:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HEART'S ON FIRE Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun08 (fett brandi)PUSAC ALBERTO 116 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY HEART'S LOVE by A.P. INDY)
2  GISELE'S MAP Sep13 Aug19 Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MSBROOKLYNBRAWLER by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  CLASSIC CASH Sep16 Aug16 Jul29 Jul07 Jun08 (fett bran)TRIANA JR 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ANNIEBEAR by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  SHEZAWILDSTORM Aug30 Aug11 Jul19 Jun21 Sep30 (ashford tristan)BIRZER E 116 1.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of A WILD NOTION by NOTIONAL)
5  THAT'S OUR VISION Sep13 Aug11 Jul28 Jul19 Jun28 (chleborad lyn)BACON W 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILBURN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  QUIET I'M NOT Aug30 Aug11 Jun21 May24 Sep17 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 5.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ELEGANTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Aug23 Jul28 Jul19 Jul03 May31 (guillory henry )ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by STROLL out of DE QUEEN by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
8  C'MON LUCKY Aug30 Aug04 Jun28 Jun09 May10 (von hemel)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SUMLIN by ESKENDEREYA)
9  DREAMIN IT UP Sep13 Aug23 Jul19 Jul07 Jun21 (schutz pam)JORDAN R 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of MISS WINED UP by ROMAN RULER)
 
PRM-13   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Cradle Purse ($110K) 2 C/G PT-10:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A HUNCH Sep02 Aug12 Jul19     (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 118 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TANGO'S KITTY by JERSEY TOWN)
2  VIRTUE'S REWARD Aug26 Aug12 Jul19     (chleborad lynn)TOHILL S 118 15.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
3  BAND'S FREE SPIRIT Aug24 Aug12 Jul26     (chleborad lyn)BACON W 118 3.50 ★    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LEADING THE BAND by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  AMOROSA Sep07 Jul26       (eikleberry k)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of AMYLIMEHOUSE by LIMEHOUSE)
5  RUN FOR GOLD Sep07 Aug12       (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUN WITH THE BRAVE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  BIG MAN STAN Sep07 Jul19       (von ke)JORDAN R 118 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ONE LAST EMPRESS by DAAHER)
7  MO LUTE Aug09 Jul06 Jun15 May12   (ashford t)TRIANA JR 118 30.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SMARTY MO by SMARTY JONES)
8  BETTER THAN GOOD Jul19         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STROLL out of EMPIRE STRIKES by SMART STRIKE)
9  CAN DO ANDREW         (anderson )DE CRUZ 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RAINBOW SPARKLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
10  FIVE CHARLIE Sep08 Aug26 Jul19     (anderson l)CORBETT W 118 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GOLDEN ELITE by ELITE SQUADRON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.