Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (5/9/4/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/8/10)-(5/9/4/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/8/10)-(5/9/4/8/10)-(5/9/4/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/4/8/10)-(1/6/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/8/10)-(1/6/3/4)-(6/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(6/5/3)-(2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(4/5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/5/6/2)-(6/8/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(6/8/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(6/8/7/10)-(2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/10)-(6/8/7/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/10)-(6/8/7/9/10)-(6/8/7/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/7/10)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/10)-(2/3/5)-(10/5/1/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(10/5/1/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(10/5/1/4/9)-(1/10/5/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-8   WIN (10/5/1/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/4/9)-(10/5/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/4/9)-(10/5/1/4/9)-(10/5/1/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/1/4/9)-(1/10/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/10/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/5/11)-(1/10/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/5/11)-(1/10/5/11)-(1/10/5/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Aug28 Jul24 Jun04 May14 Mar25 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00    
2  LITTLE HENRY Aug28 Jul12 Jun21 Jun10 Nov09 (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 125 20.00    
3  LORD SEABEE May14 Apr23 Mar19 Feb28 Feb07 (jenkins suz)NUNEZ Y 125 15.00    
4  TEXAS AIR FORCE Aug28 Jun21 May18 Oct07 Sep15 (lake a)MOYA F 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
5  ROLLY Sep09 Aug15 Jul11 Jun04 May22 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  DAVE DID IT Sep09 Aug28 Mar14     (bedard a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
7  FULLY COMMITTED Sep08 Aug10 Jul14 Jul07 Jun21 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00    
8  PACIFIC STATES Aug28 Aug08 Jul24 Jul15 Jun26 (solis jacinto)OCASIO M 125 8.00 8% 11.00    
9  WHY STOP THERE Sep04 Aug28 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 (flores-coba fe)AGUILAR JEAN 117 4.00 17% 4.90    
10  A COMPLETE ANIMAL Sep09 May14       (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-2   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ME GENTLY Sep09         (padilla hug)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  BITCOIN BABY Sep09 Jul22 Jun24     (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 1.60    
3  BROWNISTHENEWBLACK         (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 8.00 10% 9.10    
4  INTERNET BIDDER         (padilla o)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 8.00 10% 9.10    
5  IMPERIO AZTECA Aug26         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00    
6  DEADLY ANGEL         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 11% 7.90    
7  ELECTRICA         (diaz jorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
PRX-3   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Aug30 Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 May13 (aristone phili)AGUILAR JEAN 117 12.00    
2  MATTY BO Sep14 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 Jun17 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.50    
3  GIA'S FUEGO Sep03 Aug24 Jul20 Jul09 Jun25 (diaz jorge)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FOREST MAIDEN Aug18 Jul14 Jun21 Jun08 May14 (linder l)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.00    
5  LEVIOSA Sep10 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 (gonzalez-mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  VITAEMI Jul03 Jun08 May13 Apr10 Mar05 (serey juan)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
PRX-4   09/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLADRIEL Aug20 Aug03 Jul02 Feb25 Jan19 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 128 6.00    
2  AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Sep11 Sep02 Aug08 Jul24 May20 (pino mic)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  FLASHNDYNAMITE Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 Jun29 Jun11 (gallimore tre)OCASIO M 125 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  BLACK ICE Sep11 Aug31 Jul10 Jun11 May07 (romero alexis)RUIZ ELISEO 125 5.00    
5  OUR UPTOWN GIRL Aug20 Aug01 Jul10 Jun11 May20 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 128 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  EMIRATES AFFAIR Sep03 Jul23 Mar26 Feb28 Feb14 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 1.80    
SCR  MENDED WE STAND Jul02 Jun17 May14 Apr23 Mar19 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 125 6.00    
 
PRX-5   09/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK RUNNER Aug31 Aug22 Jul19 Jun26 Jun04 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
2  NONEEDTOWORRY Sep02 Jun26 May14 May06 Apr10 (whylie herold)OCASIO M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOOSTER SHOT Aug27 Jul23 Jun26 May28 May08 (santaella-c)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 4.00    
4  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Aug17 Jul24 Jun28 May17 Apr20 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
5  LEVEL UP Sep02 Jul24 Jun26 Jun11 May04 (rodriguez ir)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE Sep03 Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 (smith everton)AGUILAR JEAN 117 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  DANCE A DINI Aug27 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 May04 (montoya )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
8  I'M NOT A BABY Aug21 Jul22 Jun26 Jun16 May29 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 6.00    
 
PRX-6   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BOX Sep09 Aug29 Jul17 Jul09 Jun16 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUS JONES Sep09 Aug19 Jul24 Jun18 Jun08 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 122 8.00    
3  JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Sep11 Aug20 Jul28 Jul10 Jun08 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 122 20.00    
4  SIX WHIPS Sep04 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (servis j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
5  ALMOND CIDER Aug30 Aug16 Jul21 Jul01 May29 (perez ruperto )ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 15.00    
6  FLAT LUCKY Sep11 Aug29 Aug15 Jul22 Jul03 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 125 5.00 50% 1.00    
7  HARLEY'S CHARLY Sep09 Aug19 Jul23 Jun25 Jun18 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  HE'S INCREDIBLE Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun11 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
9  PEACH NECTAR Sep09 Aug24 Jun14 Jun01 Apr12 (perez flor)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 ★    
10  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Aug28 Aug15 Jul28 Jul19 Jun29 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-7   09/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISH FOR PEACE Aug16 Jul24 Jun25 Jun08 Apr24 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
2  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE Aug27 Jul17 Jun24 Apr09 Mar20 (moore mi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  CHELONIAN Sep02 Aug01 Jul01 Jun09 May18 (rodriguez irvin)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  JARDANI Aug31 Aug10 Jun28 Jun01 May09 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50    
5  ROAN MOUNTAIN Aug27 Aug16 Jul17 Jun25 May28 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YODEL E. A. WHO Jul19 Jun25 May27 May07 Apr16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
7  THIRSTY PAPPY Jul24 Jun24 Jun12 May22 Apr30 (dunn fel)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00    
 
PRX-8   09/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNAPPY RIDE Sep10 Aug20 Jun08 May20 Apr30 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 9% 9.80    
2  SUNDRIA Sep11 Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 Aug21 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 10.00    
SCR  PACHELBEL Sep21 Sep02 Aug26 Jul09 Jun11 (padilla-preciad)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
4  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Sep16 Aug26 Jul15 Jun12 May20 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  JEZEBEL JADE Sep10 Aug26 May18 Apr23 Apr02 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  TOOTALOO KANGAROO Aug26 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 May21 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
7  THAT'STONY'SSISTER Sep04 Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 May14 (moore micha)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00    
8  SHETALKSTOMUCH Sep10 Aug26 Jul09 Jun11 May20 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
9  LADY ANNABELLE Aug28 Aug15       (stites f)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  PAULA'S SURPRISE Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 Nov22 Nov09 (kravets bruc)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00 41% 1.40    
 
PRX-9   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORRACHO CONCHO Sep03 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May21 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  IT'S A PITY Aug27 Aug18 Jul27 Jul10 Jun16 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
3  MILAGROSO Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May22 (king cla)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 15.00    
SCR  THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
5  BIRTHDAY BOND ROB Aug24 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 (brown howard )RIVERA D 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  CHASIN' WHISKEY Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 May16 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 10.00    
SCR  THIRD WATCH (GB) Aug26 Jul20 Jul04 Mar29 Mar15 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 2.00    
8  Z'S SO GOOD Jul02 Jun04 May01 Mar25 Feb28 (soto c)AGUILAR JEAN 117 12.00    
SCR  PLENTY OF TIME Sep16 Sep08 Jun16 Mar12 Feb22 (castillo mi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00    
10  DOUBLE O OTTO Mar27 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Dec21 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
11  SHARP SENSATION Jul26 Jul02 Feb06 Dec27 Dec05 (mccasli)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.