Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (8/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/6)-(8/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/6)-(8/2/1/6)-(8/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/6)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/6)-(6/1/2)-(4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/3/2)-(2/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(2/3/7)-(8/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(8/3/7)-(1/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/2/7/6)-(8/3/2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7)-(1/4/5)-(7/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/2/3)-(6/10/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(6/10/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/10/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/8/4)-(6/10/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/8/4)-(6/10/8/4)-(6/10/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAHMS HALO         (smith r)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
2  BISCUITARIAT Aug19 Jul16 Jun17     (west m)MURGIA A 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  WEGOTJACKSBACK Sep06 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 (livers cha)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 4.00    
4  MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN Sep04 Jul31 Jul11 Jun28 May24 (raines lindse)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00    
5  BALAMOR Sep04 Aug22 Jul20 Jan26 Jan11 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50    
6  KLIMTSTER Sep04 Aug15 Jul31 Jul10 Mar28 (blevins bil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  COUSIN JOE Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jun07 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 122 8.00    
8  ZAPTASTIC Aug28 May26 May01 Mar24 Feb25 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
BTP-2   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) Aug28 Aug14 Jul13 Jun26 Jun06 (hernandez debbie)MURGIA A 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  THISPOINTINTIME Sep04 Aug17 Aug08 Jul19 Jul03 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 5.00 6% 14.70    
3  SAVING MAMA Sep04 Aug10 Sep21 Sep02 Jun08 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
4  MARQUET MALICE Sep05 Aug14 Aug08 Jul22 Jun20 (douaihy )CALZADILLA JACKSON 123 4.50    
SCR  TONALTALITARIAN Sep04 Aug16 Jul31 Jul13 Jul03 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50    
6  EL CERRITO Sep05 Aug10 Jul20 Jun08 May22 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
BTP-3   09/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER PIKE Sep05 Jul03 Jun19 Aug22 Aug02 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.50    
2  GAMBLER Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jul13 Jun14 (cline c)BUSH V 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAROM Sep09 Aug20 Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 125 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  DROP IT Aug28 Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 Jun08 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  VIOLIN MAKER Sep04 Aug21 Mar16 Feb21 Jan25 (hernandez debbie)MURGIA A 123 5.00    
6  CAPPY HOUR Sep05 Aug14 Jul25 Oct05 Sep21 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 4.50    
 
BTP-4   09/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WACKER'S GIRL Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul17 Jun22 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 122 12.00    
2  BUCKEYE CRUISER Sep03 Aug15 Jul27 Jul08 Jun18 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  FANCIFUL Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 Feb01 Jan27 (caramori caio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 10% 9.10    
4  COMPUTER WHIZ Aug15 Jul17 Jun15 May31 Nov07 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
5  ARTISTIC LANEY Aug29 Aug03 Jul25 Jul10 Jun15 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
6  OPIE'S GIRL Aug15 Jul10 Jun15 Apr08 Mar20 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 4.00    
7  CHICA CHULA Aug15 Jul27 Jul17 Jun22 Jun07 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   09/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNTJOBUSINESS Aug24 Aug07 Jul15 Jun27 Jun08 (jones l)MOJICA JR 124 15.00    
2  RAZZLE RED Jul15 Jun24 May27 Apr17 Mar10 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 ★    
3  KATE'S CONCERTO Sep05 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jul06 (lucas wayne)SOSA LAUREANO 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
4  RAISON D'AMOUR Sep04 Aug09       (conto kevin)BUSH V 120 15.00    
SCR  FOREVER HOPEFUL Aug29 Oct12 Sep16     (west w)SERPA ANGEL 120 5.00    
6  JOIA RARA Aug02 Jul20 Jun25 May30 May12 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 ★    
7  KITTEN'S TEMPER Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 May31 May04 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  JUNOESQUE May31 Feb03 Dec23 Sep03   (ward a)FLORES R 124 4.00 59% 0.70    
9  JOYFUL CROWN (IRE) Sep06 Aug24 Jul11     (ramos rafae)JIMENEZ J 120 12.00    
10  DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE) Aug16 Jul17 May27     (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
11  HALCYON DAYS Aug24 Aug02 Jul15 Jul02 Jun01 (short thomas)MURGIA A 120 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDSOME RASCAL Feb09 Jan27       (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  ICE MINISTER         (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 5.00    
3  ADRIFT Jul03 Jun12 May10 Apr19 Feb09 (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 2.00    
4  LUMIERE         (cline c)BUSH V 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
5  PAIRED EXCHANGE         (albright raqu)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  POWDER SKIER         (wilson davi)BLANCHE RISHAWN 120 8.00    
 
BTP-7   09/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROJAN TALE Aug28 Oct28 Oct04 Aug18 Jul25 (maker michael)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50    
2  MORE LOVE Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug21 Jul11 (waltz brian)SERPA ANGEL 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  ONE RED CENT Sep07 Aug21 Aug12 Jul17 Jun29 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OUT WORK'N Aug21 Jul26 Jun26 May03 Oct11 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00    
5  HALLOWEEN Aug28 Aug01 Jul17 Jun26 May25 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL CAT Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 Jun12 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 119 8.00    
7  WHO DEY Aug11 Jun09 May04 Apr05 Nov25 (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 1.40 41% 1.40    
 
BTP-8   09/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOOQ Sep07 Jul19 Jun21 Jun08 May17 (hernandez de)MONCADA IRVING 118 12.00    
2  UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Aug28 Aug10 Jun15 May10 Mar06 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 6.00    
SCR  SCAT DANZ Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jul04 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 123 8.00    
4  LIBERTY BLUE Jul27 Feb23 Jan31 Jan11 Dec29 (kriple zvi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONJE SOLAIA Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul11 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 15.00    
6  ISLAND SWAGGER Dec29 Dec29 Dec08 Oct30 May19 (lynch a)NELSON TYRONE 123 4.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  MYTHOMANIA Aug22 Jul24 Jun12 Jan31 Dec09 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 2.50    
8  CENTAURO Sep09 Aug22 Jul15 Jun29 Jun13 (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  POGOERIACH Aug22 Aug10 Jun22 Jun05 May23 (o'donnell marcus)MCKEE J 123 5.00    
10  LANEHAYA Aug30 Jul17 Jun05 May03 Mar25 (cline c)MURGIA A 123 3.50 6% 16.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.