Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/1/5)-(5/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/2/6)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/1/6)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/3/5)-(7/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-9   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNAUDITED Aug31 Aug05 Jul03 Jun09 May12 (eikleberry ke)BACON W 115 1.40 55% 0.80    
DEVIL'S SHADOW Aug16 Aug05 Jul27 Jul03 Jun22 (loy dewaine)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00    
CARGO PANTS Aug16 Apr07 Mar09 Feb11 Jan19 (arceo salvad)JORDAN R 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
CAN'T BE CAUGHT Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Jun21 May26 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 5.00    
SCR  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Aug03 Jul21 Jun14 May25 Mar29 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 2.50    
 
PRM-5   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.332K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BOY BRAWNY Aug23 Aug10 Jul29 Jul12 Jun23 (hargens bob)BACON W 119 1.80 14% 6.40    
COUNTY JAIL Aug23 Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jun21 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
SING FOR UR SUPPER Aug08 Jul14 Jul03 Jun14 May25 (pearson paul )PUSAC ALBERTO 119 20.00    
GUNPOWDER N' LEAD Jul29 Jul12 Jun09 May25 Jan04 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 119 2.50    
ILLEGAL ICE Sep01 Aug11 Jul18 Sep11 Aug27 (figueroa nelson)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 13% 6.40    
 
PRM-6   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGSWOOD Aug19 Jul14 May27 Apr28 Mar31 (arnett g)CORBETT W 124 3.50    
LEATHERNECK Jul14 Jun16 Sep02 Jul23 Jun04 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
AMERICAN POSSE Aug31 Aug24 Aug17 Aug05 Jul05 (arnett g)TOHILL S 121 4.00    
CHARMING CHARLIE Aug24 Aug02 Jul14 Jun22 May24 (donlin larry )BACON W 117 3.00    
OCEAN RIDE Aug19 Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
DILLON ROCKS Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 Jun28 Jun16 (crabtree jas)JORDAN R 122 6.00 6% 17.00    
 
PRM-7   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDE THE DEMON Sep02 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
COST BASIS Jul26 Jul13 Jun14 May24 Apr05 (martin timoth)BACON W 118 3.50    
LATE FOR LUNCH Aug17 Jun09 Sep30 Sep18 Sep04 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 120 10.00    
MEDICINE TAIL Aug19 Jun17 May27 Apr27 Apr13 (donlin d)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
TRIPULANTE Aug10 Jul22 May25 Mar29 Jan31 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 1.80    
OCEAN OF STORMS Aug26 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun02 (arnett g)CORBETT W 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-8   09/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RED Jul29 Jul06 Jun22 Jun01 May19 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 123 3.00    
YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 Jun08 May04 (schnell don)TOHILL S 118 4.00    
DINNER AT CRUMPIES Aug23 Jul22 Jul13 May20 May04 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 14% 6.30    
EL ROJO VIVO Aug04 Jul13 Jun09 May23 May04 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
DARYL'S BOLT Sep07 Aug11 Jul29 Jun29 Jun09 (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GREY STORM Aug17 Jun21 Jun03 May18 Mar26 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
PRM-9   09/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIAN SECRET Aug30 Aug09       (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
MORA HOPPERTUNITY Jun23 May26       (gonzalez jose)BACON W 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLISTER BUG Aug25         (ibarra jo)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
SMILING BONITA         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  SPIRIT TO PASSEM         (ibarra)FLETCHER D 119 10.00    
JUST BARB Aug25 Aug02       (martin willi)JORDAN R 119 4.00    
BRUMBODOPPELGANGER Aug25         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 1.40 60% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.