Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sacramento
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAC-2   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/2/3)-(6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/3)-(6/4/2)-(7/5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAC-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(7/5/3/4)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAC-4   WIN (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/4)-(2/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/4)-(2/3)-(2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SAC-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/5)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SAC-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/4)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAC-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SAC-8   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAC-2   07/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 ALL PT- 8:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETINA VIBRATING Jul05         (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
BUCKY'S DREAM         (ledezm)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 10.00 19% 4.40    
BEDOWNTOMESSAROUND         (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLAY MISTY CAT Jun08         (trujillo vi)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 119 4.00    
BIG CROWD Jun23         (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
AUTISM RESILIENCE         (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
BEACHLEY Jun22         (mathis andy)OROZCO IRVING 119 2.00    
 
SAC-3   07/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER ELLIE Jul07 Jun14 May25 Apr21 Mar31 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 122 2.50    
POKER ALICE Jul07 Jun02 Apr26 Mar29 Feb10 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jul04 Jun09 May25 Apr12 Mar22 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 6.00    
VULIN Jul07 Jun21 May24 Apr28 Feb24 (greiner gary)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
BROOKYS GAL Jun21 May27 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 4.50    
MASTERY KAT Jul14 Jun16 May25 May05 Apr21 (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
SAC-4   07/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMANTARI Aug27 Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 May13 (bonde jeff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 127 4.00    
CONQUEST SECRET Aug28 Jul23       (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 10.00    
READY TO GIG Jun29 Apr28 Apr06 Mar02 Jan20 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00 8% 12.10    
LUSMA Feb02 Jan01 Nov25 Oct02 Jul09 (perez s)HERRERA HUGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
KRISTIN LEE Jun21 May12 Feb02 Jan06 Dec01 (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
SWIFT NONNI Jul04 May11 Dec15 Sep30 Sep17 (stor)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 4.50    
TIGER QUEEN Jul06 Jun08 Apr22 Apr06 Mar15 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
SAC-5   07/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 9:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DR. ONE Jul20 Jun30       (rodriguez )MONROY FRANCISCO 117 8.00    
CROWN MAGIC Jun30 Jun07 Oct21     (specht steve)ALVARADO T 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
IT AINT OVER Jun28 Jun07 May27 Apr26 Jan06 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 119 5.00 13% 6.60    
WRONG DIRECTION Jun07 May04 Apr26 Mar29 Mar04 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 119 3.00    
BROTHER O' BRIEN Jun28 Jun02 May12 Apr26 Mar29 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 6.00    
ZEN STATE May25 May04 Mar09 Feb16 Jan20 (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 119 3.50    
 
SAC-6   07/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J T'S WATCH Jul13 Jun21 May27 May12 Apr21 (mcdaniel l)ALVARADO T 123 2.50    
SEA OF LIBERTY Jun21 May12 Apr12 Mar24 Feb24 (thomas jamey)OROZCO IRVING 121 5.00 56% 0.80    
GORDY'S BOY Jul13 Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 Jan05 (preciado)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 3.00    
SCR  LOADED MUSKET Jun02 May04 Apr14 Mar08 Feb16 (calvario sa)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 10.00    
BIG FLAME Jun22 Apr15 Mar17 Feb24 Jan15 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
MOVIETIME Jun08 Apr27 Mar23 Feb18 Feb02 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 2.00    
 
SAC-7   07/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK LOVES ANN Jun28 Jun07       (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.50    
PARTY WITH PADDY Jun08 May11 Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 122 1.80    
HOT CHICKS ONLY Jun30 Aug26 Jul29 Jun03 May20 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.50 55% 0.80    
NOVINOPHOBIA Jun29 Oct22       (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.50 13% 6.40    
SCR  BERTACCHI Jul06 Jun22 Jun07 May11   (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 122 5.00    
 
SAC-8   07/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELCONDOR Jul21 Jul04 Jun14 Jun08 Mar29 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50    
AMANOFMYSTATURE Jul13 Jun23 May27 May12 Apr20 (lenz)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.00 10% 9.30    
ALMANERA (IRE) Jul21 Jun15 May27 Aug12 Jul23 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 5.00 59% 0.70    
JERRY JEFF WALKER Jul05 Jun23 Jun02 May04 Apr12 (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
REFI NOW Jun23 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17 Feb03 (calvario sa)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 10.00    
DUPLICATION Mar29 Mar08 Feb18 Jan27 Jan19 (maravilla jor)OROZCO IRVING 125 4.00    
SCR  COOL MOUNTAIN LAD Jun09 Feb11 Jan15 Dec26 Nov25 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.