Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (13/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-3   Win (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (1/9/13/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-10   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (15/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUSK         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
ARCHIVIST Jul27         (chichakly )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
KHALI'S STORM         (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
JINGLE JANGLE         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE         (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 114 15.00    
SCR  NEEDED Jul26         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  PRETTY UP Aug10         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
SCR  MARCO T. May11         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
GIOIA MIA         (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  PLAY FREE BIRD Aug09 Jul09 Jun23     (contessa gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
SCR  SUPERSTARSUSAN Aug10         (duggan p)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00    
SCR  KANT CALL IT Jul27         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 25% 3.10    
13  SOLOSHOT         (weaver george)RIDER TBA 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
14  LOVE THYSELF Jul26         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
15  FAST AND FRISKY         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Jul26 Jun15 May12     (summers chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fleet Indian Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S FOLLY Jul26 Jul02 May20 May04 Apr27 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
KRYSTALHEIR Jul15 May21 Mar18 Feb11   (coffey mariali)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 20.00    
SCR  CAIRO SUGAR Jul24 Jul02 Jun21 May26 Mar18 (bedard alan)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
TIMELY CONQUEST Aug11 Jun16       (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.40 34% 1.90    
ICHIBAN Jul26 Jul15 Jun25 Apr15 Mar18 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
 
SAR-3   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD West Point Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN Jul03 May29 Dec17 Dec04 Oct08 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
DAKOTA GOLD Aug05 Jul03 May29 Mar04 Dec26 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
CITY MAN May29 May06 Jan28 Dec31 Oct30 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.00 16% 5.30    
OCALA DREAM Jul20 May29 May06 Dec04 Oct30 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
JERRY THE NIPPER Jul30 Jul03 May29 Nov19 Sep24 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS Jul20 Jun10 Apr06 Feb17   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 13% 6.70    
SCR  BANKIT Aug11 May29 Apr15 Feb20 Jan08 (asmussen m)RIDER TBA 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 May29 Apr30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80 12% 7.10    
SCR  UN OJO Aug02 Jan19 Dec31 Apr02 Feb26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
 
SAR-4   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Funny Cide Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GRANDE O Aug18 Jul07 Jun16 May28   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
ALWAYS A WARRIOR Jul16         (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
WORKS FOR ME Jun23 May18       (lee joseph)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00    
WHATCHATALKINABOUT May12         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
TRUST FUND Aug11         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 13% 6.60    
THE WINE STEWARD Jul02 May28       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
SAR-5   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Yaddo Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNGIE Dec17 Oct30 Sep25 Aug14   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
NEW GINYA Jul29 Jun25 Apr27 Apr08 Nov06 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
CLASSIC COLORS Jul19 Jun14 May11 Mar30 Feb24 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
SHE'S DANCING Aug04 Jul21 Jul05 May22 Oct26 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.00    
RUNAWAY RUMOUR Aug02 Jul04 May29 Apr16 Oct30 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
GOLDEN ROCKET Jul19 Jul04 Dec29 Dec01 Oct20 (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
LISA'S VISION Jul19 Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 Sep23 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Aug06 Jul04 May26 Apr27 Oct20 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
SAR-6   08/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEARY FUNNY         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
CLEVER FOREVER Nov26         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  PRINCE OF TRUTH Aug17         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
NOBILIS Aug02 Jul07 May20 Sep29 Sep05 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLYING IN STYLE Aug02 Jun09       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50    
SCR  COACH PITINO         (levine bru)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
ROCKET AND ROLL Jan14 Dec16 Nov05     (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
PURE FIRE Jul08 Jun03 Jul24 Jun18   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
REFUAH Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 May20 Apr21 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Seeking Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Jul27         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00    
MY SHEA D LADY Jul01         (david carlos )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
CARA'S TIME Jun23         (friedman mitchel)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
TRICKY TEMPER Aug09         (englehart jerem)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
CONCERTI Jul14         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
STELLAMARIS Aug13         (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
SAR-8   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLER'S HONOR Jul02 Jul15 May30     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 39% 1.50    
BE OF COURAGE Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr15 Nov05 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SONIC SPEED Jul14 Jun22 May28 Dec16 Oct29 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 6% 16.50    
FACTUALLY CORRECT Aug18 Jul04 Jun25 May29 May05 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 May19 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
AMERICAN GRANT Jul13 Jun25 May14 Apr27 Mar31 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  INDIAN MISCHIEF Jul26 Mar26       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
BORN DANCER Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 Jul09   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
ONE HEADLIGHT Aug03 Jun01 May06 Apr14   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 16% 5.50    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 (terranova john)TORRES A 120 8.00 5% 17.20    
SCR  SELL SOMETHING Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 May14 Apr16 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00    
12  SHARED SUCCESS Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 (acquilano )SANTANA JR 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
13  GEM MINT TEN Aug03 Jun18 May14 Apr07 Feb26 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 6% 15.60    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 May11 Apr20 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  BANK FRENZY Apr22 Mar16 Jan29 Dec24 Nov12 (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  DR. MARBOOZ Jul28 Jun17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 125 12.00    
 
SAR-9   08/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKEND RAGS Jul08 Jun10 Apr08 Jan14 Nov20 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
U SHOULD B DANCING Aug06 Jun10 May14 Apr22 Jul08 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
SARATOGA GAZE Jul13 May28 Apr22 Mar26 Oct23 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SIKUM Jul29 Jul08 Jun27 May14 Apr22 (camejo m)TORRES A 119 10.00    
LINARITE Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 Jun02 May13 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
DANSEUR D'ORO Jul26 Jul10 Jun15 May21 Apr29 (morey william )GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
RANTING Aug11 Jul08 Aug20 Jul04 Jun05 (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
KERRY Jul29 Jun24 Mar29 Aug21 Jul24 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
BUSTIN BULLET Jun22 May18 Apr28 Nov19 Oct22 (miceli michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
10  QUEENS OVER THREES Jul19 Jun17 May18 Mar12 Feb11 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  THREE UNIONS Aug11 Apr22 Nov20 Oct28 Sep22 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
12  LITTLE LINZEE Jul19 Jun18 Apr23 Mar24 Jan22 (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL DANCER Jul08 Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 Sep17 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN Jul09 May14 Apr16 Mar11 Feb11 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
SCR  SANDY'S GARDEN Jul29 Jun21 May23 Jul04 Mar27 (tebbutt john)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jan29 Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 (barker edward )TORRES A 117 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Albany Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 6:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO AND ROYAL Aug01 Jul10 May30 Nov16   (englehart je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
MAKER'S CANDY Jul17 May29 Mar25 Feb25 Jan28 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 17% 4.80    
ALLURE OF MONEY Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 Oct25 Oct17 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
MARIACHI Jul15 Jun17 Nov26 Oct27   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Jul28 May29 Dec17 Oct30 Sep29 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
DRAKE'S PASSAGE Jul03 Dec08 Nov13 Oct16   (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 17% 4.70    
MIRACLE MIKE Aug10 Jul01 May13 Mar26 Feb09 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
 
SAR-11   08/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHINE MY TIARA Jul29 Jul03       (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  SHAMAN PRINCESS Jul22 Jun16 Apr29 Apr06 Mar11 (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
SCR  SPLASHY Jul29 Jul03 May21 Apr06 Nov19 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
BOSTON STRONG MAMA Jul08         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  ROAGNA         (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00    
SCR  AUTUMN Jul29 May27 Apr08     (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 6% 14.70    
NORTH END LADY Jul29 Jun17 May21     (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
SCR  OUTTA THE CLOUD Aug04 Jun26 Jun05 Nov23 Nov08 (tebbutt john)FLORES JEREMIAS 118 50.00    
SAIL WITH THE WIND Jul29         (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHELLY Jul03         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
11  LADY LAOBAN Jul29 Jun03 Apr08     (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  STARTS NOW Jul29 Jun17 Apr15 Nov18 Oct28 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  CHARISSE Jul13 Jun03 May05 Apr08 Mar11 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Jul23 Jun24 May18 Apr22 Sep30 (barrera oscar )TORRES A 113 15.00    
15  FOXY CARA Aug12 Jul15 Jun25 May21 Apr29 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 1.40 33% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.