Handicappers' Racing Form

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Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MTH-1   Win (5/7/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-2   Win (11/3/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MTH-3   Win (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-4   Win (8/9/2/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MTH-5   Win (1/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-6   Win (8/5/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MTH-7   Win (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-8   Win (4/10/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-9   Win (7/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-10   Win (3/2/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MTH-1   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGING THE KARMA Jul29 Jun25 Jun04 May14 Nov29 (simon linda)COTTO L 123 4.00    
MAX'S GLORY Jul08 Jun10 May21 Oct22   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
GIANT JAMES Jun25 Oct08 Aug28 Jul31   (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 123 10.00    
WORD FOR WORD Jul23 Jul12 Jun25 Jun04 Oct22 (rodriguez darien)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
JERSEY GREGG Jul29 Jun04 May21 Oct22 Sep05 (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SOCIAL D Jun25 Jun04 May21     (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00    
VESPARO Jul29 Jun25 Jun04 Oct22   (huston rory)VARGAS A 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
JERSEY PERFECTION Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 123 10.00    
ALPHA COMPANY Jul08 Jun10       (huston k)FERRER C 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  JUST COMPLY Jul29 Jul08       (dini mik)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00    
11  STONE TEMPLE Jul29         (carango anth)RIVERA R 113 30.00    
 
MTH-2   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Aug12 Jul23       (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00    
SPIRITINTHENIGHT Jul23 Jul01       (margotta anthony)MOYA F 117 8.00    
LEGENDARY THUNDER Aug12 Jul23       (huston k)FERRER C 117 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  RUMAWAY Jul01         (hogan willia)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 30.00    
SCR  DONT ROCK THE BOAT Jul23 Jun17 Jun03     (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 117 5.00 21% 3.70    
T V MAN Aug12         (frangella jame)BATISTA A 117 30.00    
J. T. THREE Aug06 Jul23 Jul01     (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 10.00    
SCR  GOLD TRUST         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00    
OPTICAL BIJOU Jul23         (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
10  MIDHEIRFLYINHIGH         (ward dan)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00    
11  ELECTRIC EEL Aug12 Jul23       (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
12  TOWN KISSER         (spina charl)VARGAS A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEA STREAK         (owens )HUAYAS (JASON) 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
14  JASPER'S PRIDE Aug12 Jul23       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00    
 
MTH-3   08/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SWEET HEIST Jul23 Jul01 Jun03 May14 Sep30 (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 6% 15.10    
STEEL DRIVIN MAN Jul23 Jun24 Sep05 Aug13   (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
CASH KID Jul23 Jul01 May28 Mar11 Feb19 (servi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SALTIN' THE RIM Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 Jun04 Dec13 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
IRISH MEADOW Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May21 Nov24 (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (huston rory)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
COUNTRY MILES Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
AMATTEROFTIME Jul23 Jun17 Jun11 May21 May02 (ramirez silvino)OCASIO M 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
HIT ME I'M LUCKY Aug04 Jul23 Jun16 Oct04 Sep17 (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 120 20.00    
 
MTH-4   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ME SO LUCKY Jul21 Jun24 May29 Jan11 Nov09 (carango )GONZALEZ JR 123 30.00    
LOOKINGFORTREASURE Jul21 Jun01       (owens eddie )RIVERA R 113 6.00 12% 7.20    
FIRST REIGN Jul21 Jun24 May29 May20   (sweezey kent)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00    
DIXIE LARK Aug18 Oct07 Sep10 Aug28   (mcburney patric)IORIO MELISSA 116 20.00    
SINGLEBERYLBOURBON Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 May29 Oct21 (penalo)HUAYAS (JASON) 123 12.00    
DESERT PASSION Jul21 Sep10 Aug28     (milne jo)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 3.50 6% 17.10    
LADY TRIXMEISTER Jul23 Jun23 Sep10 Jul30   (skelton dawn)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00    
DUCHESS OF DESTIN Jul21 Jun24 May20     (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 31% 2.20    
PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 Aug28 Aug12 (breen j)FERRER C 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
10  BABY CAKES Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Sep11 Aug28 (ortega leop)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
11  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Jul23 Jun11 May20 Apr23   (mcburney patrick)LUZZI J 123 6.00 9% 9.90    
12  LILY THE KID Aug20 Jun09 May20     (penaloza miguel)COTTO L 118 20.00    
SCR  WHISKEY AND RAIN Aug19 Jul21 Jul09 Jun24 Jun09 (simon linda)COTTO L 118 30.00    
 
MTH-5   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO POP Jul23 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May21 (huston rory)VARGAS A 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
ROYAL COUP Aug05 Jul23 Jul01 May28 Feb22 (potts wayne)IORIO MELISSA 113 4.50    
I'M ON FIRE Aug13 Jul08       (mcburney patrick)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
JOHNNY OIL Aug06 Jul28 Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 (king clarenc)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
CASSATION Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 May28 May14 (margotta anthony)MOYA F 120 6.00    
DAYTIME LOVER Jul03 Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Oct17 (farro patricia)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNING RIGHT BY U Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 May28 May14 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 115 12.00    
MAGICAL JAIME Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 Apr16 Mar02 (delgado h)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
NOON TIME GEM Aug04 Jul01 Jun03 May14 Apr14 (alcala cesar)FERRER C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May21 Oct26 (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
MTH-6   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERRY ORIENTAL Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 (nunn dou)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00    
TE AMO Aug11 Jul16 Jul08 May29 Oct21 (penaloza miguel)COTTO L 120 4.50    
EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (sweezey kent)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 4.00    
SEA MAIDEN Aug11 Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 Jun02 (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 108 20.00    
ROB THE TREASURE Jul28 Jun30 Jun17 Sep23 Aug28 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 5% 17.70    
POLITELY CROWNED Aug11 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun17 (gonzalez cla)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 10.00    
DELIGHTFUL AVA Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 May20 Oct08 (frangella james )CAMACHO SAMY 115 8.00    
TOOT YOUR HORN Jul07         (mcburney patrick)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50 68% 0.50    
POSTINO'S PROPHECY Aug11 Jul16 Jun24 May29 Oct07 (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
10  MODEL BEHAVIOR Aug11 Jun17 Jun02 Aug28 Aug15 (carango anth)RIVERA R 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  JOY AND PROSPERITY Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 May29 Oct07 (sweezey k)VARGAS A 122 5.00    
SCR  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Aug11 Aug05 Jul09 Jun30 Jun16 (bailey ricar)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
 
MTH-7   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST New Jersey Breeders Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAKING May21 Mar10 Dec31 Sep24 Aug28 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 25% 2.90    
WILD MULE Aug05 May14 Mar23 Feb19 Jan20 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 117 4.50 7% 13.40    
DR. DOYLE Jul16 Jun16 May21 Oct21 Sep28 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
ON THE COME UP Aug13 Jul08 Jun16 Oct22 Sep18 (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 30.00    
LEMON CREEK LOUIE Jul23 Jul16 May29 Nov21 Oct26 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 15.00    
NO CENTS May21 Jan04 Nov23 Oct29 Sep18 (lynch cathal)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
POGI Aug12 Jun16 May21 Oct15 Sep18 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
ROYAL URN May21 Apr27 Aug28 Jul16 Jun12 (breen kelly)VARGAS A 119 5.00    
BUSTIN LOOSE Aug04 Jun16 Jun03 May21 Jun19 (spina charles)FERRER C 118 8.00    
 
MTH-8   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIBERON BAY Aug04 Jul09 Oct21 Sep18 Jul10 (milne joan)LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORETHANACONQUEROR Jun24 Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jun04 (harris holly)IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00    
GROUCH Aug06 Jul14 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (sweezey k)VARGAS A 115 4.00    
INDIANTOWN Sep30 Aug28 Aug05     (motion graham)JUAREZ NIK 120 3.50 57% 0.80    
IRISH RILL Aug06 Jun18 Jun04 May14 Mar10 (lynch cathal)RENDON JAIRO 115 5.00    
STEEL PIER Aug20 Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 (carango anth)RIVERA R 115 30.00    
SCR  KRATOS Aug06 Jul23 Jul14 Jun18 May28 (simon linda)COTTO L 120 30.00    
JESTERS HONOR Aug04 Jul02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug13 (dini mike)FERRER C 120 5.00 8% 10.80    
PAL Aug06 Jul14 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (frangella james )CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
10  DUQUESNE Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 Sep14 Aug28 (carango )GONZALEZ JR 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
11  HERE COMES BILLY Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 Oct21 Sep30 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
 
MTH-9   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Eleven North Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIENTE RUM Aug06 Jul08 Jun16 May27 Aug29 (hogan j)LUZZI J 116 20.00    
GET GROOVY Jul22 Jun04 May20 Sep05 Aug06 (huston rory)VARGAS A 117 30.00    
RANDOM LUCK Aug11 Jul15 Jul02 May20 Apr25 (cole-davis t)MITCHELL RICHARD 116 20.00    
SADIE BABY Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 May13 Sep10 (mcburney patrick)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00    
PRECIOUS AVARY Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 May27 Apr24 (shaw j)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 3.00 8% 11.70    
ROSELBA Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May20 (huston rory)VARGAS A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIA'S CRUSADE Jul08 Jun04 May20 Sep18 Aug28 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 49% 1.10    
I CAN RUN Jun04 May20 Oct02 Aug28 Aug12 (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50    
BEACH DAZE Jul24 Jul08 Jun04 May20 Apr26 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Jul15 Jun23 Jun04 May20 Oct05 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 10.00    
 
MTH-10   08/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILDOON         (huston rory)VARGAS A 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER'S COMIN Jul21 Jun30       (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 4.00 7% 12.60    
RED HEAD ITALIAN Jul21 Jun30       (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 65% 0.60    
CORACLE Aug13         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 117 8.00    
BELLA FAST         (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
DEE DEE SIX Jul21         (cipriano robert )LUZZI J 117 30.00    
WICKED SPICE         (king clarenc)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 20.00    
EATONTOWN GIRL         (frangella ja)RIVERA R 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER FLOWER         (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 110 10.00    
10  MOLLY'S A BULLET Jul21 Jun30       (margotta antho)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 10.00    
11  COURAGEOUS WILDCAT         (ward dan)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00    
12  GEE WIZ         (wilson faith)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00    
SCR  GRAVITY HILL         (lynch cathal)RENDON JAIRO 117 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.