Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ruidoso Downs
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RUI-2   WIN (2/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-4   WIN (2/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-6   WIN (9/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/7)-(9/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/7)-(9/8/6/7)-(9/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-8   WIN (9/6/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/1/10)-(9/6/8/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/1/10)-(9/6/8/1/10)-(9/6/8/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-9   WIN (6/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RUI-2   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($8K) 2 F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT TO FANCY         (danley fred)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of ROLL BLOOMERS ROLL by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
2  MARK IT DOWN Jul09         (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 120 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by MARKING out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
3  STORM IN THE VALLE         (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of SUPER SISTER by YOUR EMINENCE)
4  PAYINGOFFMYMARKER         (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 4.50    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
5  MAKE UP A STORY Jun25 Jun09       (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by MARKING out of HOLIDAY HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
6  KENTUCKY GOLD         (buechler sim)FUENTES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of GOLD RUSH HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
7  STREET MARK Jul09         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
 
RUI-4   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($8K) 2 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPZ Jun25 Jun09       (fincher)FUENTES T 120 4.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of ZESTY SALSA by DOME)
2  SPORTY PANTS Jun25 Jun09       (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of BRYN'S FANCY PANTS by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
3  STORM CENT Jul09 Jun23       (valerio r)AMAYA RUIZ 120 15.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of WAGE A PENNY by VALID WAGER)
4  TAX FREE TEXAS Jun25 Jun09       (f)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of ROAD TO REASON by REDATTORE (BRZ))
5  JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Jun09         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of JUST KEEP MOVIN by TRAPPE SHOT)
SCR  MARKED UP         (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
7  MARK THE WINNER Jun23         (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 29% 2.50    
  (by MARKING out of UNOFFICIAL WINNER by ATTILA'S STORM)
 
RUI-6   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($8K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUANA RUMBLE Jun25 Jun09       (f)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of TIJUANA by DEVON LANE)
2  EVERYROSEHASATHORN Jun25 Jun09       (green greg)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of POISED BY DESIGN by MONTBROOK)
3  HOLY BULLET Jun23 Jun09       (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of CRAFTY CONTESSA by GIACOMO)
4  PRIVATE EQUITY Jun09         (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 5.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of SOUMA by MR. GREELEY)
5  HARRYS CHANCE Jun09         (hudson je)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of I'M THE QUEEN by BOOS)
6  AARON WHO Jun09         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMFORT out of WEEKENDS FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  SPORTS IDOL         (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of SHEZAPIRATE by DESERT GOD)
8  SHAME ON WHISKEY Jul09         (lambert)FUENTES T 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of DRINK MO HENNESSY by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
9  COMMUNITY LEADER Jun25 Jun09       (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 1.80 67% 0.50    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of MIDNIGHT SUMMER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
RUI-8   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($8K) 2 ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUG'S ROCKET         (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of ROCK THOSE HIPS by ROCKY BAR)
2  J M BIG BOY         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 120 8.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of ISOTOPE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  HORNS N HALOS Jun25 Jun09       (f)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of HALOSOVERHOLLYWOOD by IRON HALO (ARG))
4  VIPER BREATH Jul09         (wellborn )AMAYA RUIZ 120 20.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of VIPERVAPOR by DEVON LANE)
SCR  RAIL RUNNER Jun09         (olguin )FUENTES T 120 15.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of CLANCY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  RONCHETTI Jun25 Jun09       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 4.50 7% 13.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of BABY VAMP by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
7  LATIGO ELLIS Jun25 Jun09       (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of DOC'S FU PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
8  KID CUSTER Jul09         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of TWIXY ROLL by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
9  HIGHER ED Jun25 Jun09       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 70% 0.40    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of AFRICAN HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
10  FOOL ON A STOOL Jun23         (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of A DAY FOR DANCING by DANCE MASTER)
 
RUI-9   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZ MAN DO Jul08 May20 Apr29 Apr15 Mar21 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIT A NOTE May13 Apr16 Mar07 Jan10 Dec20 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
3  DECK HUMOR Jul08 Jun10 Jan22 Nov15 Oct31 (lambert)FUENTES T 123 8.00    
SCR  NEXT AFFAIR Jun18 Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Feb19 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 123 12.00    
5  DOS REALES Jun18 Apr29 Apr09 Mar07 Jan17 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 6% 16.50    
6  HE'S NO YOKE Jun16 May13 Apr16 Mar28 Mar07 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
7  THE GREAT DOME Jul08 May07 Apr09     (martinez fran)MARQUEZ LARRY 123 20.00    
8  REINING PESOS Jul08 Jun10 May07 Apr29 Mar28 (acosta carl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.00    
9  WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Jul08 May29 Apr15 Apr09 Mar07 (c)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.