Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/2/1)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(3/5)-(1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PLN-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/2)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PLN-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/3/5)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PLN-5   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(2/1/5/3)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-6   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(1/3/2)-(1/5/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PLN-8   WIN (1/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THECHIEFHASTRICKS Jun09 May20 May06 Apr16 Apr01 (puentes jose)FLORES P 125 20.00    
NAUGHTY NIKO May29 Apr29 Mar09 Jan29 Nov11 (sherman steve )ROMAN A 125 1.80 33% 2.00    
TEE SHOT Jun10 May12 Oct10 Sep24 Sep02 (france reid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.00    
DOGE OF VENICE Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Oct23 (france reid)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
NEVER HAD I EVER May28 May14 Apr22 Mar26   (wong jonat)AMERICANO MANUEL 112 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-2   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRASPY         (rich eduard)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GRASP by SOUVENIR COPY)
RAFANELLI         (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of WINE TRAIN by TIZ WONDERFUL)
HEY BARMAID May19         (wright blaine)HERRERA HUGO 122 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SLEW TUNES by SLEWDLEDO)
GENTLE JULIA Jul29 Jul02 Jun24 May27   (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00    
  (by CITY WOLF out of CLASSICALLY LIT by LITE THE FUSE)
LADY WOLF         (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 122 3.00    
  (by CITY WOLF out of SHAROANA by LORD CARSON)
 
PLN-3   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIVER'S BEHEST Jun10 May20 Apr30 Apr14 Apr01 (preci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 3.00    
BIG DON'S SMILING Jun03 May13 Oct22 Sep24   (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00    
MOB BOSS May05 Apr09 Mar19 Feb18 Jan22 (bonde jeff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
BOSS OF THEMOSS Sep24 Sep05 Aug13     (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 4.50    
NUESTRO ENGREIDO Dec26 Nov27 Oct28 Sep09 Jul22 (rondan fe)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
PLN-4   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEX HANLEY Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 (france re)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
FAR WEST May29 Apr30 Sep24 Jul24 Jul01 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 1.80 20% 4.10    
TWIRLING DERBY May07 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 (preciado gu)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 15.00    
SCR  NIGHT PROOF Jun04 May13 Apr22 Apr01 Mar05 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.00    
JERRY JEFF WALKER May14 Apr30 Apr02 Mar03 Feb18 (rivera leobar)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
 
PLN-5   06/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE AND WHISKY May14 Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jun19 (mccanna tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
WALKING BOSS Jun02 May13 May07 Apr02 Mar12 (greiner gary)RIVERA SANTOS 121 4.50    
BRONZE WARRIOR Jun02 May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 (greiner g)MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
POUR ON THE COLE Jun03 May07 Apr22 Mar26 Mar09 (puentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 10.00    
AWESOME DUDE Jun04 May14 Apr15 Mar19 Feb24 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
UNION GIG May12 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb20 (calvario samue)HERRERA HUGO 121 5.00    
 
PLN-6   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTISM BLUE May21 Apr28 Apr09 Mar19 Feb24 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 4.00 25% 3.00    
HANDR'SDREAM Jun04 Apr30 Apr15 Mar19 Jan15 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 4.50 44% 1.30    
AMANOFMYSTATURE May28 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb26 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALEXANDER'S DREAM May19 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 Feb05 (france rei)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00    
WINTER FALCON May06 Apr09 Mar12 Aug27 Jul28 (wright blai)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
THUNDER OF ZION May21 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.00    
BLAZE OF DREAMS May21 Apr30 Mar03 Feb04 Jan13 (meier r)HERRERA HUGO 125 15.00    
 
PLN-7   06/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY DOES May26 Apr30 Mar31 Mar04 Feb11 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
DOS VICIOS May28 May05 Apr15 Mar24 Mar03 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
SEA DOG May26 Apr29 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 1.80 20% 4.10    
RODRIGOKNOWS May26 Apr30 Apr07 Mar25 Mar04 (trujillo victo)ROMAN A 120 6.00    
GROSS PROFIT May14 Apr15 Mar19 Feb20 Jan29 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00    
 
PLN-8   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOLCROSS May13 Apr23 Jan29 Jan14 Dec04 (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
SYNC Jun03 May07 Apr21 Mar12 Feb11 (tamayo isidro)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SAFE COMBINATION May26 Apr21 Dec16 Nov24 Oct14 (maravilla jor)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50    
DI LAURIAN May26 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Jan27 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 8.00    
MASHHAD FLATS Jun02 May12 Apr30 Sep03 Aug04 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
BROKEN FINGER May26 Feb17 Feb04 Jan27 Jan07 (rivera leob)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
AWE May26 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar09 (bautista jorge)HERRERA HUGO 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.