Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Tuesday - May 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-4   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-6   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TDN-7   Win (1/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA MUNECA Mar29 Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 Dec20 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50    
2  FLYING BUSINESS Mar13 Feb27 Feb07 Jan19 Dec31 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
3  DON'T MAKE ME BEG Apr08 Sep22 Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 (brooks ger)MARTINEZ A 119 3.00 15% 5.80    
4  IMMACULATE HEART Dec20 Nov29 Nov14 Oct03 Sep14 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 39% 1.60    
5  ANDIAMA Mar23 Mar07 Feb14 Jan10 Dec07 (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00    
6  ADULTING Mar29 Oct03 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 6% 16.70    
 
TDN-2   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY LITES Oct10 Sep20 Aug06 Jul20 Jul04 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50    
2  SAUNTER Apr05         (sweeting craig)TORREALBA JG 114 5.00 37% 1.70    
3  RAG TOWN Mar15 Nov11 Oct11     (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
4  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Mar29 Mar21 Mar08 Feb22 Feb06 (sullivan elliot)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 ★    
5  NYSSA Apr13 Jan20 Jan06 Oct27 Mar16 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  KISS IT GOODBYE Apr05 Feb22 Jan11 Dec11   (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 ★    
7  BLUE AGAVE Apr13 Mar01 Feb18 Jan18 Dec03 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   05/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLISHED GEM Apr10 Mar16 Feb06 Jan28 Jan03 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
2  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Apr06 Mar28 Feb14 Feb01 Dec14 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 15% 5.60    
3  BOURBON BUNS Mar07 Feb20 Jan24 Dec29 Dec15 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
4  CURT'S ANGEL Mar29 Feb15 Jan28 Jan09 Nov30 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Apr12 Mar23 Mar02 Feb15 Jan31 (huffman candace)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 3.00    
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS Mar20 Feb28 Jan03 Nov30 Oct19 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-4   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE RING Mar29 Feb21 Feb01 Jan19 Jan03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  PROUD MAID MARIAN Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
3  COWGIRL KIMMIE Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec08 (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
4  TALKBACK Apr15 Sep19 Aug25 Aug03 Jul11 (castillo ja)BRICENO M 114 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  SABELLE Apr15 Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 (castro)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 8.00    
6  NATIVE VALLEY Dec29 Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 Oct31 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHOVILLE Mar07 Feb16 Jan11 Jan02 Dec08 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  PRINCESS HALIME Apr24 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 (yoder susan )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  SILVER STICK STAIR Apr15 Mar30 Mar15 Feb08 Jan25 (poole c)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 11% 8.10    
4  GRAN MAMIBELLA Apr10 Mar22 Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
5  LUCKY TO HAVE ME Mar07 Feb16 Feb06 Nov21 Nov09 (hernandez ricar)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50    
6  BLACK BUTTE Mar07 Feb16 Jan11 Dec30 Dec08 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAINT GOAR Apr15 Mar13 Jan28 Jan03 Dec20 (pappada michael )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 ★    
2  THRU THE VINE Apr15 Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 Jan09 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50    
3  IRISH UNITY Mar27 Feb23 Feb08 Jan28 Dec22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
4  GRAYWING Mar30 Mar13 Jan17 Jan02 Dec13 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 ★    
5  MORESTRIDE Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 Jul26 Jul14 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.80 70% 0.40    
6  DARK OAK Feb28 Feb08 Dec31 Nov06 Sep06 (davidovi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 ★    
7  DYRDEK Mar22 Feb23 Jan23 Dec28 Nov28 (vecchio cary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID'S GEM Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 Oct07 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Apr25 Mar28 Feb20 Jan09 Dec20 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 ★    
2  NAUGHTY PRINCE Mar30 Feb23 Dec22 Dec08 Nov28 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 10% 9.10    
3  ATOMIC TONE Apr11 Feb23 Jan24 Dec27 Dec05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 6.00 ★    
4  MIGHTY ANGEL Sep06 Jul28 Jun25 May11   (flick jul)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 20.00    
5  LATIN SPICE Mar13 Feb23 Jul14 Jun11 May24 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
6  JOHN'S ROCK Apr11 Mar13 Feb08 Jan24 Dec08 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
7  FAT DADDY Nov28 Nov10 Oct14 Sep27 Aug16 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
8  FIRST CITIZEN Apr11 Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 Feb08 (vecchio cary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 12% 7.30    
 
TDN-8   05/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIN'S QUEST Mar30 Mar02 Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 7% 13.70    
2  TAMANRASSETT Apr12 Apr03 Mar16 Feb21 Feb07 (gomez alejand)WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 6.00 7% 12.40    
3  PATIO PARTY Apr11 Mar20 Mar01 Jan30 Jan11 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
4  SCORSESE Apr13 Mar30 Mar08 Feb20 Jan30 (trierweiler ca)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
5  SILENCE Apr12 Oct29 Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 12% 7.40    
6  GOLD N SILVER Apr13 Mar06 Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 119 1.60 52% 0.90    
7  MY BROTHER CAM Apr12 Mar14 Mar01 Feb07 Jan19 (ray kevin)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.