Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LA-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LA-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-1   04/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONY'S BABE Apr15 Dec31 Dec03 Nov12 Oct30 (nune)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
COUSIN NIECEY Apr01 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Sep30 (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 6.00    
SCR  WETHERLY Apr15 Apr01 Jan21 Dec17 Dec03 (nunez jesus)HARVEY B 123 6.00    
SISKIYOU SKY Mar11 Feb19 Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 (aquino ang)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
SAI PHAR Mar25 Feb18 Jan22 Dec03 Nov13 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 3.50    
SHEILA'S CHARLIE Apr01 Mar25 Oct02 Jul08 Jun26 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 123 4.00    
 
LA-2   04/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POTENTE ALBA Apr08 Mar26 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (uranga jesus )PAYERAS EDGAR 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
ARRIVEDERCI ROMA Apr08 Mar26 Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 (vallejo ge)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 125 8.00    
TIZ INDY Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Dec17 Oct23 (farias )LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 3.50    
VERMEER Apr15 Apr08 Mar04 Feb04 Jan21 (william)CAMACHO JESUS 123 5.00 8% 12.20    
ELUSIVE VIRTUE Apr08 Mar04 Jan21 Jan07 Dec18 (nara)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 125 4.00    
RUNAWAY WYWY Mar19 Mar12 Feb04 Dec31 Dec18 (aquino angela )ORTEGA CESAR 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
LA-3   04/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTS MATTER Mar19 Feb04 Dec17 Dec09 Jul29 (farias )LOPEZ REYNOSO 125 3.00 39% 1.50    
NEAH BAY Mar25 Mar04 Dec31 Dec18 Nov27 (nunez j)HERNANDEZ C 123 6.00    
HOT PURSUIT Mar19 Mar04       (hedia oscar)GARCIA ERICK 123 4.00    
RESTLESS RAMBLER Apr16 Mar18 Mar04 Feb04 Jan21 (hedia osca)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
TWO BILLS Mar19 Feb04 Dec11 Jul03 May14 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 123 3.00    
STAY GOLDEN Mar19 Mar04 Jan07 Dec09 Oct01 (nara)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.