Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Camarero Race Track (Pr)
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CMR-1   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY ALW10780 ($0K) Purse ($10.78K) 4UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOPE Jan06         (cruz j)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   21% 3.70    
SUPER KOJAK Jun10         (merced giov)ORTIZ-ROSARIO S null      
ICATIRO Jun10         (diazjr edwin)DIAZ JR null   31% 2.20    
EMAJESTIN Jan14         (ojeda a)HERNANDEZ ANDY null      
JESS'S STRIDE Mar05         (henriquez ghi)RAMIREZ ERICK null   27% 2.70    
 
CMR-2   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY MSW10780 ($0K) Purse ($10.78K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING IT ON         (diazjr edwi)SANTIAGO JAVIER null   20% 4.00    
GREAT AZABACHE         (velez kevin)HERNANDEZ ANDY null   20% 4.00    
PULPMASTER Aug20         (velez d)VELEZ I null      
KEEN CAUSEWAY         (rondon artur)ROBLES G null   20% 4.00    
DON DANY R.         (betancourt eri)REYES R null   20% 4.00    
 
CMR-3   01/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM4000NW5L ($4K) Purse ($6K) 4UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACONAO Feb25 Jan21       (arroyo nefer)RAMIREZ ERICK null   23% 3.30    
MILO ALBERTO Dec24         (henriquez g)ROSARIO KEDDWIN null   55% 0.80    
CARTILLERO         (negron ricar)MARCANO Y null      
HERALDO (CHI) Dec22         (bultron r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY null      
QUEQUE (ARG)         (orozcojr ram)NAVARRO JOSHUA null      
QUE BUENO ES Dec24 Jul21 Jul14 Jan07   (negron ric)MELENDEZ MARIANO null      
 
CMR-4   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM14000 ($14K) Purse ($7.35K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSMYLUCKYGIRL         (cruz j)CONCEPCION AXEL null   60% 0.70    
EYE CENTRAL Dec24         (betancourt e)HERNANDEZ ANDY null      
WEST LOVE Jun10 Apr27 Apr13 Mar10   (lisboa jason)NAVARRO JOSHUA null      
SURF SPA Dec22         (diazjr edwin)VELEZ I null      
SILENT RAIN Dec24         (diaz juan )RIVERA R null   18% 4.50    
SCR  SAMIRA A Dec24 Aug11       (pena stev)MONSERRATE STEVEN null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.