Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Golden Gate Fields
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GG-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/4/5/2)-(6/3/4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/2/5)-(3/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
GG-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3/1)-(4/2/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/6/1)-(2/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
GG-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GG-4   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1/6)-(2/4/3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(4/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(4/2)-(6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GG-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
GG-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/1/5)-(5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
GG-7   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/7/8)-(6/1/5/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(5)-(2/10/5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
GG-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/3/6/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(2/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
GG-9   WIN (2/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/5)-(2/10/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/10/5)-(2/10/5/6)-(2/10/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GG-1   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHELINA Dec30 Nov24 Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 (ledezma sergi)RIVERA SANTOS 123 15.00    
VALDINI Dec30 Nov24 Oct10 Mar27 Mar06 (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
FUNKY GREY Dec30 Nov24 Oct30 Sep24 Sep10 (miyadi stev)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 3.50 13% 6.80    
RELUCTANT Dec30 Nov24 Oct15 Sep05 Aug05 (ordonez aggie)COUTON JULIEN 123 4.00    
CAL ROUGH Jan06 Dec03 Nov13 Oct23 Sep11 (trujillo victor )PENA BRYAN 123 2.50    
PEACEHAVEN Jan06 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Sep17 (baker wa)ORANTES R 113 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
GG-2   01/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRESS REHEARSAL Dec30 Dec11 Nov26 Mar18 Feb06 (jackson e)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 5.00    
HEAT SEEKING LETA Jul29 May29 Feb18 Jan30   (meier r)OROZCO IRVING 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
LION'S LAIR Nov27 Nov06 Sep11 Jul29 Jul10 (torres arnold )HERRERA HUGO 123 10.00    
MIRACLE IN MOTION Jan08 Nov25 Nov06 May27 May07 (puentes jose)PENA BRYAN 123 1.60 55% 0.80    
BOLD DAUGHTER Jan08 Dec10 Nov25 Oct30 Oct22 (hansen roger)RADKE K 123 2.00 9% 10.70    
 
GG-3   01/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDYS NINA Jan14 Dec26 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 (trujillo ma)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 10.00 5% 17.70    
TYCHE AWAITS YOU Nov24 Oct29 Oct01 Aug27 Aug07 (markl)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 8.00    
ZAKKIYYAH Nov27 Oct21 Sep23 Aug14 May15 (haley gloria)OROZCO IRVING 123 1.60 24% 3.10    
SCR  RUNAWAY PRINCESS Jan08 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Oct29 (becerra i)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
CLUBHOUSE WAVE Dec26 Dec10 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 (puentes jo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
PETE'S INFERNO Dec26 Dec04 Nov25 Nov13 Oct23 (moger jr)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
GG-4   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEFTAIN'S LADY May06 Mar26 Feb27 Jan08   (baker wa)ORANTES R 113 8.00 5% 18.80    
COWBOYS DAUGHTER Jan02 Dec11 Nov06     (france reid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
FOCUS FIRST Dec26 Dec03 Nov19 Oct15 Sep17 (gilmour jim)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 10.00 17% 4.80    
MISS EVER READY Dec26 Nov24 Oct22 Sep18 Apr30 (tamayo is)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
HARBOR ABBEY Jan08 Nov26 Nov04 Sep30 Sep16 (franko daniel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.50    
MISS FLAWLESS (FR) Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 Oct22 Oct02 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
 
GG-5   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TROPICANA GIRL Jan16 Dec11 Dec02 Oct16 Aug18 (wong jonat)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.80 39% 1.60    
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Dec04 Nov26 Nov04 Sep16 Sep09 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 123 6.00 6% 15.20    
COCOA CENTS Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 (mccanna tim)RADKE K 123 4.00    
MOONSHINE CAT Jan07 Nov24 Nov05 Oct02 Sep10 (taylor faith)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  LAST INNING Jan06 Dec09 Nov05 Oct02 Apr22 (baker wa)ORANTES R 113 12.00    
ARISTEIA Jan07 Dec11 Nov24 Nov11 Oct01 (ramos jesus)OROZCO IRVING 123 8.00    
SHANGHAI MIST Jan07 Dec02 Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 (taylor fait)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 3.00    
 
GG-6   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUVOO Jan13 Dec09 Nov12 Oct09 Sep25 (wong jonat)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
MOTHER'S PRAYER Jan02 Nov27 Nov12 Sep25 Sep02 (specht stev)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50    
SCR  TRAVEL THE MAP Dec30 Dec03       (mccanna tim)RADKE K 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
MASTERY KAT Nov05 Oct01       (thomas jamey)AYUSO ARMANDO 115 8.00 18% 4.70    
SEA DOG Dec03 Nov05 Oct10 Sep11   (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
HAPPY DOES Dec30 Dec03 Nov05 Aug14 Jul24 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
GG-7   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS RYDER Dec04 Oct23 Oct10 Aug26   (oviedo ph)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of E B RYDER by BLUEGRASS CAT)
CORAZON DE LUCIA Dec20 Oct07 Aug21     (howey quinn)RIVERA SANTOS 120 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SAN LUCIA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
G'S LAST CHANCE Dec11 Nov20       (baker wayne)OROZCO IRVING 120 15.00    
  (by FIDELITO out of MA MEL by MCCANN'S MOJAVE)
BRONZE ONE Jan08 Dec16       (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
  (by BRONZE STAR out of ONE WAYOUT by UNCLE MO)
KIT KAT MAN Dec03         (wong j)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
  (by STROLL out of LA VIOLETTE by CORONADO'S QUEST)
DE LA LUNA Jan02 Dec04 Nov12 Oct09 Sep11 (howey quinn)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by TIZNOW out of MOON CONFIDENTIAL by MALIBU MOON)
SECRET TREASURE Dec26 Nov12 Aug26     (mccarthy w)RADKE K 120 3.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
TELOS Nov25 Aug26 Jul31     (kitchingman)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 4.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of CARONI by RUBIANO)
 
GG-8   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORMY JOE Jan13 Dec30 Nov25 Oct22   (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 118 15.00    
SCR  O B'S Jan02 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 1.60 62% 0.60    
SMOKIN' HOT Dec30 Dec03 Nov05 Sep11 Aug14 (wong jonathan)COUTON JULIEN 118 4.50    
IMPACT ZONE Jan02 Nov27 Nov12 Oct22   (mccanna tim)OROZCO IRVING 120 10.00    
HOT JOURNEY Jan02 Nov27 Nov12 Oct09 Sep05 (maravilla jor)RIVERA SANTOS 118 3.50 10% 9.30    
ITS THIEVERY Dec30 Dec03 Nov11 Oct02 Sep04 (mclean bill)RADKE K 120 3.00    
SUBURBAN PRINCE Dec30 Dec02 Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 (o'neill doug)PENA BRYAN 118 8.00    
 
GG-9   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S FANCY LIKE Jan06         (taylor faith)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
GET MY POINT Jan06 Dec02 Nov19     (wong jonat)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
STANDFORGRIT Jan06 Dec02 Nov19 Oct14 Oct01 (hansen ro)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 118 8.00    
HOT LINK Jan06         (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 120 12.00    
SUNSET PAYNTER         (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MO TOWN GAL Jan06 Dec10 Nov11 Oct21   (mclean bill)RADKE K 120 4.00    
LUCKY LOCKETT Jan06         (tamayo isid)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 10.00    
SCR  SMILE AND PROFILE Jan07 Dec03       (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jan08         (lenzini micha)COUTON JULIEN 120 15.00    
10  WHEREDIDITGO         (o'neill doug)RIVERA SANTOS 120 10.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.